RocCityRoller

Dumping generally doesn't happen. When it does there are a few reactions based on the the actual value of what is being dumped. When what is being dumped has no value, ignore. When what is being dumped has value, buy. People are dumping stocks due to panic selling. Buy now. Especially energy stocks, bio-med stocks, grocery staples. buy low sell high, it's complicated right?

So buying while prices are low to improve US strategic reserves and stabilize prices is a bad thing now? Usually people/ organizations do pretty well buying low and selling high.... Are you using a reverse strategy? Do tell... Also, if Russia was in cahoots with Trump, why would they wait until a viral scare and an election year to dump oil in the market? Hurting a high growth economy while it is down due to a 'Pandemic' doesn't seem like a neighborly thing to do to someone you are supposedly backing..... I'm loving this COVID-19/ Oil panic sell off. Moved a good chunk of IRA I failed to time properly 4 years ago from bonds to stock Friday. Investing in a few bio labs approved by the FDA/CDC as we speak, maybe I'll add some oil futures too.

You said he was a major FA signing. I asked you how is he considered a big FA signing? His 5.4 million is 15th in the NFL among TE's. So your logic is a middling starter salary is a 'big signing'? By that logic if Buffalo signs Cooper or Clowney you will be apoplectic. Given the FA TEs his salary will slide down to 16-20 range. Ertz is 12.5 million Kelce is 11.2 Hunter Freaking Henry is 10.7 is he worth it? Same arguments about Kroft can be applied to Henry. Darren Waller makes 7.5 (who?) These salaries are not in line with us and our real world jobs. 5 million is like 2% of the cap. It's chump change. Sometimes a restructure means less of a cap hit if released. In Buffalo's case it is a no penalty exit in 2021. Kroft is officially in a 1 yr prove it deal now, and it would cost more to cut him than see what he can do on a one year $5 million deal as depth. Last I checked the FA period hasn't started yet, and the draft hasn't either.

That is the Sunrise Attack of the Zombie Horde! Ironic that fear shopping like this increases your risk of getting sick. COVID or not. It is still flu/ cold season.... Time for REM

Hey Hapless, you are informed and have shared some good info here. My point is that there are a number of factors tied into the delay in getting accurate tests out. They should all be noted. Let's look at a quick timeline of the response. 1) January 22 - 580 cases of COVID-19 confirmed Globally https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ 2) January - Early lack of samples to create a test stalls labs around the world in late January. 'BioMérieux just released three versions of its coronavirus test this week, after beginning work on it on January 23. Miller says that with every viral outbreak, the company’s biggest problem by far is getting access to virus and patient specimens so that it can validate its tests. Even when working with nonauthoritarian countries, a combination of government processes, researcher reticence, complex shipping regulations, and patient-privacy concerns makes getting samples difficult for diagnostic companies like his.' https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/03/why-coronavirus-testing-us-so-delayed/607954/ 3) January 31st - Department of Health and Human Service issues notice that a public health emergency exists. (On January 31 there were @12,000 confirmed cases of COVID-19 globally.) "As a result of confirmed cases of 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV), on this date and after consultation with public health officials as necessary, I, Alex M. Azar II, Secretary of Health and Human Services, pursuant to the authority vested in me under section 319 of the Public Health Service Act, do hereby determine that a public health emergency exists and has existed since January 27, 2020, nationwide." https://www.phe.gov/emergency/news/healthactions/phe/Pages/2019-nCoV.aspx 4) Early Feb - CDC had test kits early in February, and they proved to be faulty due to reagent issues yielding false positives. Results from early screening kits developed in China, South Korea and Japan are now in question as screening practices in those early infected areas also improves. 5) Feb 29 - As CDC screening test issues were corrected an FDA EUA was modified to allow CLIA certified labs to submit request to begin manufacture of test kits. 6) March 12 - EUA amended to use test kits developed by Roche Molecular Systems, Inc.(RMS) while manufacture and distribution of FDA approved lab kits accelerates. The Roche kit requires widely used lab testing systems that can each process 4000 COVID-19 samples a day, 4x faster than current testing processes. 7) March 13 - TaqPath COVID-19 Combo Kit (Thermo Fisher Scientific, Inc.) approved for use. https://www.fda.gov/media/136113/download General Timeline Source: https://www.fda.gov/emergency-preparedness-and-response/mcm-legal-regulatory-and-policy-framework/emergency-use-authorization From the actions above I see an ever evolving response to a novel (new) virus outbreak that is rational and prudent. What would have happened if 1.5 million defective screening kits had been allowed to be used? BTW I was a data manager at ACM Labs (CLIA certified) on over 70 FDA clinical trials projects. Anecdotally there were times where screening tools, developed internationally were faulty. It was the stringent processes in place that assisted in developing more accurate screening tools in the US. I don't claim to know everything about the whole process, but I do know there is a process in place for good reason.

That is a good one, I shared the Johns Hopkins dashboard in a long thread earlier this week https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html It has a fancy map where anyone can see infections/ deaths/ recoveries/ remain by country and for the US and China by state/ province

Since when and by what measure was Kroft a top free agent? If a team signed a 'top free agent' to a position why would they spend a decent mount of draft capital drafting two more people in that position in the same off season? The penalties and mistakes were largely on Lee Smith, a different TE. This FO does not, by it's nature make big splashes. Mitch Morse was the 'big splash' top FA added last year and that worked out pretty well. All of the below are middling or low FAs from last year. Pretty good track record to me. Kroft - miss Brown - success Beasley - success Spain - success Feliciano - success Long - miss K Johnson - success

Was going to bring this up. The public certainly is not going to be helped by tests that are inaccurate, and neither are the organizations trying to create policy to mitigate the spread. False positives and false negatives are both dangerous in this situation. When creating a test for a new strain of a virus (hence novel Coronavirus) samples of that virus are required just to conduct lab testing, much less determine if that same test that was validated in the lab is accurate in a human population. This is why there are FDA regulations for approving lab tests before they go out to the general public, and why officials are pressing for a coordinated effort. Having a bunch of disparate labs with differently created tests rushed through the proper vetting process is not an acceptable answer. I find it interesting you neglected to share the entire portion of the Atlantic article below, which is a pretty key factor in developing an accurate test: https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/03/why-coronavirus-testing-us-so-delayed/607954/ Hard-to-Get Virus Samples Labs and companies need samples of the virus itself in order to make their tests, but delays in getting access to samples further slowed down the test-development process. The coronavirus originated in China, and as several microbiologists told me, the Chinese government does not allow specimens to be shipped outside its borders. Many researchers have had difficulty getting their hands on samples even as the virus has spread. “I was working the phones to try to get access to the virus,” Greninger said. BioMérieux just released three versions of its coronavirus test this week, after beginning work on it on January 23. Miller says that with every viral outbreak, the company’s biggest problem by far is getting access to virus and patient specimens so that it can validate its tests. Even when working with nonauthoritarian countries, a combination of government processes, researcher reticence, complex shipping regulations, and patient-privacy concerns makes getting samples difficult for diagnostic companies like his. Miller said it would help if researchers, governments, and companies firmed up pathogen-sharing contracts in advance of an outbreak, but so far that hasn’t happened. “The problem is that in the past, industry has been viewed as this dirty participant in all of this, and we can't be trusted, and why would I have contracts with you?” Miller says. “But that’s ignoring the plain fact that we’re the ones that create the product in the end.” We are now seeing cases of people in Japan and South Korea who were cleared of coronavirus testing positive with a new test. Who knows what is really going on in China? Is it the virus, or use of a more accurate test? A coordinated effort that yields an accurate test is the rational response. Limiting information as to why the test kits are delayed is intellectually dishonest and dangerous.

I thought this thread would be about a point defense weapon in case COVID-19 mutates people into zombies. Very let down, very.

that's double what a Nigerian Prince offered me!

FACTS AND LINKS FROM CDC, WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION AND JOHNS HOPKINS BELOW. Long read but check the data for yourself. Unlike the 'news' I provide links to my data sources and conclusions, you are free to check them out yourself, make your own opinion. Oh Chicken Little, according to the news and Democrats the sky is falling. Plenty of news outlets and lefty social media know-it-alls claim President Trump is 'making up numbers' or too dumb to respond to the Coronavirus. As usual it is claimed that anyone that backs him up is an idiot, or doesn't 'understand math'. I work at a higher education institution and the daily email of alarmist nonsense is pervasive. My Governor is also spreading the seeds of worry and chaos. It allows him to take draconian measures without question. Mini Mussolini recalled all SUNY students abroad in 6 countries and forced them to go into quarantine. The rational approach would have been to reach out to these young adults and allow them to make a decision as to whether they felt at risk (speak with your parents and doctors) and allow a plane fare home if they needed it, and to note that with the plane trip home came a voluntary quarantine Not Mini Mussolini, he ordered all SUNY students in 6 countries home, and forced them into quarantine. Somehow Westchester County couldn't be burdened with the quarantined, and was too close to a major metro like NY, so the quarantined, like NYC feces, will be shipped upstate to the metro Rochester area, a metro of only 1 million people.... Have fun paying a premium price for local organic sourced tomatoes grown in human feces at the new Whole Foods. And hey we added some Coronavirus for zest. With the spare acreage we have from cutting down the trees along the Erie Canal from Lockport to Spencerport, and the new flood lands along the Lake Ontario Shoreline there is plenty of room right? What an environmentalist Cuomo is, but I digress. It's not like the use of human feces to grow food has led to any Cholera outbreaks or anything. Let me ask a basic and fundamental question: Cui Bono? Who benefits from manipulating the public into a frenzy? The Left and their media allies couldn't create a second 'Red Scare', so it has latched onto this virus to scare the public and it is being blown out of proportion. President Trump's flu virus statistics are coming directly from the CDC website. You can see their current and historical statistics. Look at the 2019-2020 flu season numbers from the CDC directly. If you don't believe the president I dare you! https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/preliminary-in-season-estimates.htm Google CDC and flu statistics and you can find a decade worth of data. It all backs up what the President says about the flu. In one of the Obama years 50,000 people died of flu, even after Obama Care. No outrage, strange how that didn't happen. According to the CDC there have been 34-49 MILLION cases of flu in the USA this season alone. The variance is due to the fact that not everyone with the flu seeks medical attention or is tested for a positive result. No virus, including the Coronavirus, has a known infection rate. From known deaths and statistical modeling the CDC estimates 20 to 52 thousand deaths in the USA from INFLUENZA this year alone. The 10 year average is also in that range. No one freaks out that 20-50k people die in the USA from the flu every year, but with only 22 deaths from Cornavirus people freak out and call this president dumb. 20,000 to 50,000 average deaths vs 22.... I'll need a Democrat to explain that math, since it only makes sense to them, and apparently I am too dumb to understand math. My most trusted source for Coronavirus data is from Johns Hopkins University. https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 According to this dashboard the total number of confirmed Coronavirus infections GLOBALLY is 113,584. The number of confirmed deaths GLOBALLY is 4012 at the time I write this. So put into perspective CASES: FLU - USA minimum 34,000,000; maximum 49,000,000 CORONAVIRUS - USA (known) 605 CORONAVIRUS - WORLD (known) 113,605 FACT: At Minimum for every one case of Coranvirus in the USA there have been over 55,000 cases of flu in the USA. FACT: The flu has infected 431 Americans for every 1 person infected by Corona virus Globally. MORTALITY: FLU - USA - Deaths 20,000 minimum, 52,000 maximum CORONAVIRUS - USA - Deaths: 22 CORONAVIRUS - WORLD - Deaths: 4012 of which CORONAVIRUS - HUBEI PROVENCE (WUHAN) - Deaths: 3024 FACT: You are still 5x more likely to die of the flu in the USA than you are the Coronavirus Globally. FACT2: You are 909% more likely to die of flu than Caronavirus in the USA today. FACT 3: Hubei Provence (Wuhan) has 75% of all global Caronavirus deaths The mortality rate for Coronavirus globally is 3.5% from known cases and known deaths (Johns Hopkins and WHO). 4012/113605 = 3.5%. But as mentioned earlier no known virus infection rate is 100%. Let's account for the number of Coronavirus cases that were not diagnosed in Asia early on. If a person isn’t tested and recovers it is considered a bad flu or cold. All of those early infected and survived numbers are not calculated into the denominator. After reading a few links from CDC and World Health Organization it is estimated the actual mortality rate of Coronavirus is about 1.5%. This seems high given that in China alone the mortality rate outside of Hubei Provence is 0.16%. Like the flu, Coronavirus deaths are focused on infants, the elderly and those with compromised immune systems at areas of outbreak. The concentration of US deaths has been unfortunately in a senior community in Washington State. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-death-rate/ Digging even deeper into the data according to the World Health Organization: The total Chinese Coronavirus Mortality rate was 2.1%, well below the 3.5% noted Deaths in Hubei Provence (Wuhan) were 3024 of the 4012 global deaths. (75%) The mortality rate in Chinese provinces other than Hubei is 0.16%. The current global mortality rate of Coronavirus, not including Hubei is 0.8% The Hubei provinces are where the virus first appeared, and containment efforts were botched including the allowance of a large festival. Unknown are the number of early infected that survived. To be fair since it is a novel virus (novel = new) there was no test for Coronavirus. There is no known 'catch and survive' rate. The death rate for known Coronavirus infections in China is 0.16% when removing Hubei. The mortality rate for the common flu is 0.1% to 0.2% in the USA, as has been noted by many. Using six sigma methodology the infections and mortality rates noted in Hubei are statistically significant. In plain English the infection and mortality rates in Wuhan (Hubei Provence) are almost 3x higher than what is to be expected globally. (3 sigma from the mean higher). But hey I am a dumb Republican that doesn't understand math. So Chicken Littles, is the sky falling? Do not believe the sensationalism of the 'news'. Did you know that Saudi Arabia and Russia are in an oil production spat? Probably not, it's hardly mentioned on CNN or MSNBC. Go figure. The market would have dipped without the Coronavirus scare. Add a viral outbreak scare to an oil spat and you have a classic buy opportunity. Pro Tip: Invest at the end of the week when the bloodletting subsides in the market. To those freaking out, thank you for believing big media, thank you for not doing your own research from the CDC, WHO, Johns Hopkins. Thank you for denigrating everyone you know who is telling you to keep calm even if they have facts to back them up. I will be retiring on my 'Coronavirus' dollars. But hey I 'don't do math' or my own research since I think conservatively.

thanks, here's your bag of skittles in lieu of a participation trophy ?

Spent my days with a woman unkind Smoked my stuff and drank all my wine Made up my mind to make a new start Going To California with an aching in my heart Someone told me there's a girl out there With love in her eyes and flowers in her hair Took my chances on a big jet plane Never let them tell you that they're all the same

Run, run, run, run [repeat line four times] You better run all day And run all night And keep your dirty feelings Deep inside. And if you're Takin' your girlfriend Out tonight You better park the car Well out of sight 'Cause if they catch you in the back seat Trying to pick her locks They're gonna send you back to mother In a cardboard box You better run

but did she ask you to crawl into a suitcase after? And was it vintage Louis Vuitton? Most importantly, what day was it?

I only get locked into Louis Vuitton, so to Florida woman, no. You haven't lived! In Rochester we call that Tuesday

sure, I have nothing better going on, and she will be a pleaser.

RB - Austin Ekeler Edge - Matt Judon If Judon is a bad positional fit how about Arik Armstead or Ngouke at DE? a guy can dream in Feb right?

Just a quick question, can we sign Xavier Rhodes if Minny cuts him? I'd love to have 2 of the 10 best CBs in the league. I'm curious too. Steve Young? John Elway? In the conversation. Jim Kelly? But I'm a homer. What would SF, Dallas, Buffalo, Denver or KC have done in the 80s-90s with their respective teams and Dan Marino? It feels like multiple rings to me.

Per 1280 WHTK (Rochester Sports Radio) it sounds like Aaron Rodgers, and Richard Sherman were two of the team designated players that turned down the contract. From what I understand, Aaron Rodgers liked aspects of the CBA, but the player reps for the 32 teams did not have access to the whole contract, and while there were things he liked, when polling his teammates he had to vote no. Richard Sherman backed him up shortly after on Twitter. Agree or disagree with them, I do think Rogers and Sherman are pretty bright guys. It's been interesting to follow.

It does, think I acknowledged that. But I would like a right of first refusal if an offer is manageable. J Phillips found a fit here, and I'd like a chance to keep him without overvaluing his market.

Is Austin Ekeler an unrestricted FA? I'm seeing mixed info. I like him a lot. If Rivers is moving on (speculated) and Henry moves on then maybe the Chargers go rebuild mode? There were a few nice snags in that video. How much passing to RBs did Boston College have? I was unaware they were an air it out type of team. Solid hands isn't great hands or even very good hands. He made some clean catches as a bigger back. I'd rather have Kenyan Drake or Austin Ekeler in a do it all role at this point, but I have admittedly been a Drake fan on here for a while. For me ideally I would have a mix like: Singletary - tough runner, slippery Drake/ Ekeler (?) - very good hands, 3rd down/ change of pace back, still a good runner AJ Dillon type - bigger back, wear down a defense

you are correct on a transitional tag, it's only a right of first refusal Other tags are different. I stand corrected on the transitional part. I will be interested in seeing what his market rate is, and if it would be worth it to match.

Hoping having a stud Defensive Coach as a HC helps with input to Beane as to who he thinks can excel in this defense.

As for Phillips nothing wrong with a transitional tag on a DT that played in 16 games, starter in 9 (per NFL.com), had 9.5 sacks and will get paid by someone. It's a 50-50 gamble that he would be top 10 money after FA, but bluff a bit Buffalo. When you transition tag a DT with 9.5 sacks, ears perk up a bit. Boost the value of a guy about to walk away for nothing. Should add to a comp pick at worst if it's played right. J Phillips is the model Transition tag player IMO. Top 10 salary when flush with cash for another one year/ prove it contract (motivation if he is on the Bills), and will get compensation if another team outbids the Bills. Buffalo is woeful in managing this aspect of the cap. From Sporting news (2019) Non-exclusive tags are most commonly used. It means a team will pay the tagged player no less than the average of the five highest salaries at the player’s position, or 120 percent of the player’s cap number from the previous season, whichever is greater. The player is allowed to negotiate with other teams, but his current team can match any offer sheet. If a player's current team declines to match another team's offer, it will be awarded two first-round draft picks as compensation. Transition tags pay a player the average of the 10 highest-paid players at his position. A tagged player is allowed to negotiate with other teams. The player’s current team can match any offer given to a transition-tagged player, but the team will not be given compensation if it decides not to match.