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whatdrought

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Everything posted by whatdrought

  1. Quinton Spain jumps to mind. Brown and Beasley, one of them will likely regress due to Diggs getting targets.
  2. Yeah, and I said as much. I think a lot of people missed me saying that I don't care too much where the Bills are ranked (though i do think with the sample size, Motor is clearly a better back than Jordan Howard and Matt Breida, who are both higher)... my biggest offense is the Jets bs here.
  3. Yeah, I was saying 10% to be very generous. I do wonder about long term damage, that's a real case for concern on this that's not going to be known for some time. As for the last line- I do wonder at what point in the risk v reward analysis we get to a point where my outlined scenario has to happen. I mean, even places that were (are) shutdown had "essential" businesses and industries continuing on. The definition of essential is very different for a nasty virus with a sub 5% death rate (not sure where they're estimating it now, I've seen some that say sub 1%) than it would be for something with a 40-50% death rate. I guess all that to say, without a long term solution (vaccine, prevention, dynamite treatment, etc) how long can something like the NFL, a purely entertainment, truly non-essential enterprise be held hostage by this? Not to be flippant about it, just wondering what the new normal looks like in lieu of a transformational solution.
  4. Asking just for your opinon on this as someone whose studied the crap out of this: Assuming football player x is a healthy, above average specimen of a person (as they all are to some degree or another) and has no real pre-existing issues that would magnify the seriousness of covid... If player x was to get infected, with the insanely tight monitoring and the vast healthcare availability at his disposal, what would you say his real chance of serious harm/death would be? I imagine in that scenario it would be less than 10% chance? Obviously that eliminates all of the secondary concerns such as spread and complications and those who might have random things that make them higher risk. But I think it would be hard to not play under those circumstances.
  5. https://www.foxnews.com/health/cdc-now-says-coronavirus-does-not-spread-easily-via-contaminated-surfaces https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/health/2020/05/20/coronavirus-does-not-spread-easily-surfaces-objects-cdc/5232748002/ The problem with a Novel Virus, everything is new. People overreact to so many little things they're told only to have them walked back or completely changed a month or so later. [Hap sez: very good points both, and thanks for sharing. For me, the issue is the large number of cases where the source of transmission are not known. There are still the data that it can live on hard surfaces such as metal and glass for a couple of days. It's probably correct that the focus should be on person-to-person, airborne transmission, but I'm not sure that rules surface transmission out. There are a couple contact-tracing case studies where the only discernable contact was sitting in the same seat at a church service that someone with covid-19 had occupied earlier or similar, so it can happen. Let's just say if you're scrubbing your gallon of milk then huddling up shoulder-to-shoulder at a bus stop unmasked, that's probably misplaced concern]
  6. Wolverine and Deadpool as DE's. Captain America as MLB (Clearly), Winter Soldier as OLB Iron Man as SS (hitter plus he can play the middle and can help run the Defense with the MLB, as long as they can get along), Falcon as FS (talk about ballhawk) Quicksilver at CB1, Spiderman at CB2 (real sticky coverman) Scarlet Witch would be our nickle (she's shifty but can still hit) On Offense Hawkeye would be our QB (accuracy kills), with Starlord as our Backup (i like his swagger) Juggernaut would be our RB1, Black Widow our RB2 cause she's a good elusive option Vision, Jonny Storm/Human torch and Mr. Fantastic would be our WR's with the invisible woman being our 4th/gadget player (talk about slipping behind a Defense). Ant man/giant man as TE Hulk at LG, the Thing at RG, Drax at C, Groot at LT, Colossus at RT
  7. QB's, Chiefs - can't argue with that. RB's, Browns- Chubb and Hunt will be great together TE's, Eagles- Ertz and Goedert are the best 1, 2 in the league, Gronk was a shell of himself before retiring and I'll believe he's a star when I see it, and Howard has always been overrated. WR's, Bucs- Evans and Goodwin alone make the room, but I expect Johnson to be good for them as well. I honestly have the Bills at number 2 just because of the consistancy of the top 3... The Chiefs are good but break it down step by step: Hill > Diggs, but it's closer than it seems. Brown > Watkins. Beasly > Hardman though that's apples and oranges. OL, Colts- This one is pretty obvious. Cowboys have lost that title lately, Maybe the raiders as a close second? DL, 49ers- really demonstrates how much better they were than the pack that they can replace one of their best with a rookie and still be here. Not even sure who would be second at this point? Maybe the Bucs as a darkhorse? LB's, Bills- Yep. I'm doing it. 49ers are a good option, cowboys will be up there, Vikings are a consideration as well. DB's, Chargers- I think this is one more on projection than what last year was. Hayward was the best CB in football two years ago, Derwin James is probably the best safety in the NFL when healthy, and Chris Harris is a stud being added to that team. ST's- Ravens. Justin Tucker, enough said.
  8. Even then, that's a 2 TD increase in passing TD gets you the over, right? Still seems like safe money if he's healthy.
  9. He had 29 total touchdowns last year, his offense improved in every tangible way, and they're putting it at 21.5? Short of Injury that seems like cash in the bank.
  10. I'm pretty sure you can get the 211.5 difference in drops alone from last year. Diggs has got to be worth a 300+ increase at minimum!
  11. https://www.nfl.com/news/which-nfl-head-coach-has-best-chance-to-win-first-super-bowl?campaign=Twitter_atn 4 Votes for Kyle Shannahan, 1 for Arians, and 2 for Sean McDermott.... The coach of the Buffalo Bills.... 2020 in a gif:
  12. File this one under "umm, wat?" I usually like Miller but there are some real head scratchers here. https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2892620-ranking-the-nfls-top-backfield-duos-for-2020?share=twitter Biggest takeaway: Bills ranked 25th which seems low, though I understand it's a tiny / non-existent sample size so I won't go to the grave fighting that. However... The Jets tandem of Bell and Gore as the third best in the league really makes the rest of the article a joke. 3.4 yards per carry combined. COMBINED!
  13. Also, I know McAfee is a specific taste and some love him and some hate him, but I gotta say I find his show really really well done. just watched the BB one and that was great!
  14. I'm sure this was likely discussed when it was new, but I stumbled upon it today and thought it was worth a share. Love and miss Kyle.
  15. https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/pete-priscos-top-100-nfl-players-of-2020-patrick-mahomes-takes-top-spot-lamar-jackson-cracks-top-10/ Two bills make the list: White listed as the third CB behind Gilmore at 6, and Ramsey at 26. Diggs is the 13th WR behind some obvious inclusions such ad Thomas, Hill, Hopkins, etc, and some really questionable ones such as AJ Green, JuJu, and OBJ. Not one Bill mentioned in the "just missed category." though WR's like DJ Moore, Allen Robinson, and Devante Parker get mentioned while I think Brown is equal to those guys. Also, Safties like Marcus Williams and Eddie Jackson get mentioned with no mention of Poyer or Hyde. Not that I should be surprised, but definitely some questionable choices as far as Bills recognition goes. White was better than Ramsey last year, and even if you give Ramsey the nod due to his body of work, I still don't see him being twice as good as White as the numbers suggest. Plus, if we're looking at entire careers then it's hard to put Gilmore so high. Also, AJ Green over Diggs feels like a clear mistake. But what should be expected from someone who considers White a "Good man cover player"?
  16. He can take his solidarity, wrap it in his useless mask and shove it up his arse.
  17. No doubt. But their whole division got better and everyone is always out to get the king. I would be surprised to see them win 12 games.
  18. Okay. Moving past that throw, Jackson got exposed in the playoff game. Instead of MVP he was LVP. The team has no balance unless he’s doing everything and when he can’t they don’t win. Again, not saying he’s terrible or that they will be, but 12 wins is a big ask even if everyone stays perfectly healthy.
  19. The throw was too high for a 6 foot 5 target. I’m not sure why you need to defend Jackson, but by no objective standard was he good In that playoff game.
  20. I really don't know what you're talking about... He struggled throughout the game and didn't look at all like an MVP. He air balled a pick on the first drive, and then wasn't able to move the offense at all.... It was one bad game, yes, but it was indicative of the larger issue in that when teams slow the run down, he can't make the throws. I'm not saying he's bad or that they will be bad, but winning 12 games in the NFL is tough tough work and there's few teams that that money is worth- especially a team who has a QB whose setup for a regression.
  21. Betting any money on the Ravens winning 12 games is foolish, I think. Someone didn't watch the playoffs... also, losing a Hall of Fame guard?
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