DCOrange

Might ultimately be nothing, but this seems like the first discovery of actual evidence pointing to the name change. This guy on Reddit found evidence that the new team name may be the DC Sentinels.

The Colts QB situation wasn't rated any higher than Buffalo's, but honestly, I wouldn't at all be surprised if teams would prefer to have a vet that they think they can count on and a couple potentially promising young QBs than just having Allen and nothing behind him. Indy probably has more flexibility to bring in a new QB as well since they haven't really hitched their wagon to a QB like Buffalo mentally has. At any rate, I think that one could go either way, which seems to be what ESPN believes as well. And I think you're just flat out wrong about Pittsburgh. I think most teams would likely take Roethlisberger and future draft picks over hitching their wagon to Allen. Ben is still viewed as arguably a top 10 QB in the league or at minimum top 15. The Colts situation is definitely more debatable, which is why their QB situation tied Buffalo's.

That's totally fair and I certainly hope you're ultimately proven right. Also, just FWIW so I don't get lumped in as someone that has hated Allen from the get-go, I had a top 15 draft grade on him (and also said I'd be comfortable taking a chance on him in the top 10) and predicted that Buffalo would trade up into the top 10 to take him. https://draftqbs.wordpress.com/2018-draft/josh-allen/ https://draftqbs.wordpress.com/2018-draft/2018-mock-draft/

I mean, of course he can't tell you Allen has for sure plateaued. None of us can see into the future. I won't try to put words in Biscuit's mouth, but my opinion is essentially this. Historical trends have shown that QBs statistically improve pretty significantly from Y1 to Y2. From Y3 onwards, the historical trend is that it's just up and down from there on out, ultimately evening out as being pretty much a flat line. You can find evidence of that from a lot of different sources, but Skarecrow over at Buffalo Rumblings has an article specific to Allen and what kind of progression (or in some cases, regression) we should expect from him in Y3 based on historical trends. https://www.buffalorumblings.com/2020/2/28/21155523/how-big-of-a-leap-should-buffalo-bills-expect-josh-allen-to-make-in-2020 And for reference, here was his piece where he compared 2019 Allen to what he projected for 2019 Allen (TLDR: Allen improved by pretty much exactly as much as you'd expect from a QB in Y2). https://www.buffalorumblings.com/2020/2/7/21046646/how-big-of-a-leap-did-josh-allen-take-in-2019-buffalo-quarterback I think Allen has the physical tools and intangibles to make him as likely as anyone to buck the historical trends and continue making meaningful improvements to his game statistically speaking. But make no mistake, he will be an outlier if he's able to do that, and if he isn't able to do that, it will be difficult to justify giving him a long-term contract. That doesn't mean the sky is falling or anything. With the defense and the offensive supporting cast we have, we can certainly win with him. And being on a cheap salary for two more years, he has plenty of time to prove himself before we have to lock him in long-term. We're in a really good spot as a franchise.

I don't think that's true if the product drops off this year (which...how do we even quantify that?) If play is more sloppy this season, it isn't necessarily due to the lack of preseason games. Players' offseason routines were totally thrown off this year as well as training camp and preseason.

I think he carried a very heavy load in that playoff game, but it would also be accurate to say he wasn't able to carry the team very far in that game. Definitely had some let downs from teammates at particularly bad times (like the John Brown toetap for example), but at the end of the day, the defense gave us an opportunity to build an insurmountable lead and all we could muster were a bunch of field goals against one of the worst defenses in the league.

For those that are interested, the data set can be viewed here: QB Share Data I also at least attempted to adjust for the number of starts by using a team's average offensive yards per game. This makes Allen's rookie season look very good, though it's possible this is partially skewed by the fact that he came off the bench for half a game. At any rate his rookie season was probably better than his sophomore season in terms of his share of the team's offense if I had to guess. It should also be noted that in 2019, he technically started all 16 games but played very little of the last game and therefore that will hurt his 2019 number. I also created a second data set of QBs that started all 16 games in a season dating back to 2010. From this set of 151 QBs, Allen's 2019 season ranks 134th.

Ah, gotcha. I'm blind.

The Dallas game was undeniably great and that was one game where he made up a very large portion of the team's offensive yards (77%, which if he had done that for the whole season, would have been #5 in the league). But again, all I was saying is that examples like that are pretty few and far between to this point in his career. I've now gone ahead and added in the rushing yards for other QBs so that I can be more accurate in my statement before. This past season, there were 20 QBs that started at least 14 games. Of those 20, Allen ranks 16th in terms of his share of the team's offensive yards, and he's only that high because he started all 16 games while others did not. If you adjust for the number of starts, Allen falls to 18th out of 20. If you recall, the original reason I brought this up was because another poster said that "Allen has been the entire offense the past two years". The truth is the opposite; he's a smaller proportion of the offense than most QBs and the offense that he's a smaller proportion of has been one of the worst in the league during his 1.5 years of starting games. By either of those metrics, he has not carried as much weight offensively as we should be demanding of a long-term solution. Obviously he still has a year or two to show he can get there, but he simply hasn't played to that level yet. Some of the guys that ranked ahead of him in terms of his proportion of the team's offensive yards are: Kyler Murray (#3 in the league as a rookie) Jared Goff (generally not thought of as carrying the offense, but he was #4) Dak Prescott (same deal as Goff and he came in at #5) Baker Mayfield (who is a good comparison for Allen as they're from the same draft class; granted Baker was more pro-ready) Mitch Trubisky (who obviously we hope Allen does not turn into) Also, just because it cracks me up: Jameis Winston was #1 at 84.2%. #2 was just 79%. Obviously the results for Jameis were extremely mixed last year, but that is an absurd percentage. If we specifically look at QBs that started all 16 games in one of the past two seasons, Allen ranks 27th out of 29. If you include QBs that started at least 15 games (Allen technically started 16 but barely played in one of them, though that may also be true of others), Allen ranks 30th out of 36. And for those interested in the other QBs from his draft class: Baker was ahead of 2019 Allen in 2019. He was lower his rookie year due to only starting 13 games though. Same goes for Darnold, who was higher than 2019 Allen in 2019 despite only starting 13 games, but lower his rookie year while again starting 13. Lamar was below 2019 Allen, though he may have passed him if he had started all 16 games. Rosen was a long ways behind Allen and was still behind Allen even if you tried to adjust for Rosen only starting 13 games.

I didn't want to track down every starting QB's individual numbers, but if one QB ran for enough yards to pass Allen, then the statement of accounting for less of his team's offensive yards than most other starting QBs is true. The yardage numbers are on Pro-Football-Reference. Some math is required.

Just from Pro-Football Reference. Josh Allen's passing + rushing yards last year divided by the team's offensive yards compared to every other team's passing yards / offensive yards (not even including the QB's rushing stats for the other 31 teams). Allen comes in at 16th. I presume that at least one QB would pass him if you add in rushing yards, but it's possible he's smack dab in the middle.

Relative to the rest of the league, he's been below average in terms of his share of the team's total offensive yards each year of his career, and he's done that on one of the worst offenses in the league during that span. He does less than most QBs and the offense he leads does less than almost all other offenses. He certainly didn't have much to work with his rookie year, and even this past season the supporting cast was probably below-average, but that doesn't change the fact that he's rarely the main reason the team wins. Again, I don't mean to come off sounding like I hate him or anything. As I said, I liked him a lot in college and still like him a lot today. But it's simply accurate to say we've mostly relied on the defense to keep the scores down so that our bad offense has a chance at the end of games.

Trevor Lawrence too, no?

On the flipside, we don't really know what good QB play looks like outside of watching Tom Brady against us for the past 20 some odd years. I'm still kinda torn on Allen personally. I liked him a lot when he was playing for Wyoming and was very excited when we drafted him (though I preferred Lamar at the time). At this point, Allen generally avoids making back-breaking mistakes that some of our past QBs like Fitzpatrick and Losman for example made too often. He certainly shows flashes of greatness. But overall, he's very rarely the reason that we win games, which isn't totally his fault but he has had some opportunities. With the defense that we have, they are generally the reason that we win games, and Allen essentially just has to not screw it up. I'm hoping that if we have a season this year, we'll see him step into the limelight more and more often be the main reason we win. But through two years, he and the rest of the offense simply haven't carried the same weight that the defense has. I suspect that's part of what the national football people are waiting to see as well. Many other young QBs have shown more in that regard, but as is generally the case, they've shown lower lows due to being relied upon more as well. He's shown enough IMO to warrant picking up his 5th year option barring some sort of catastrophic season, but I wouldn't currently feel comfortable giving him a long-term top 10 QB contract like he'll likely be aiming for until he shows us more.

FWIW, they have the Colts QB situation tied with Buffalo's. I also think there's uncertainty baked in for both teams. If Allen doesn't develop more (which is generally the rule of thumb for QBs after two years, though I tend to think Allen has as good a shot as anyone of breaking that rule), then he's probably viewed as a below-average starter in the league and Buffalo could be searching for a new QB during the 3 year window. Rivers is probably viewed as the better QB right now but obviously a much higher likelihood of them needing to replace him during the 3 year window. I wouldn't be surprised if they think Brissett is only slightly worse than Allen/Eason could develop into a better QB than Allen. Again, I would tend to disagree with this, but it wouldn't surprise me if that's their thinking. Tampa and Pittsburgh are rated higher at QB because their current QBs are viewed as significantly better than Allen right now. They very well may need to be replaced during this 3 year window as well, but I think the perceived gap between current day Brady/Ben and Allen is enough to outweigh that level of uncertainty. Much like Buffalo, I think all three of those teams are set up for success regardless of the QB, so I'm not surprised that they're all viewed very close to one another.

Yeah, I think the drafting is the part that stands out. Not sure if it's meant as actual drafting ability, future draft picks, or some mix of both. It also could be heavily influenced by their relatively low opinion of Allen, who Beane traded quite a deal to acquire.

As is always the case with stuff like this, there's always questions about how to weight that kind of uncertainty. Those guys could end up being their teams' starter for the next 3 years or they could retire after one. I think they at least attempted to bake that into the rankings already. I imagine Brees is viewed as more than the 9th best starter in the league, but that's where the Saints QB position was ranked. Likewise with Tampa and Pittsburgh being #13 and #14 respectively at QB. And the Colts are tied with Buffalo as far as the QB ranking goes (i.e. they think both are below average). I think the overall point is that those teams are set up for success even if they end up with a new QB during that time frame and the same goes for Buffalo.

For those that are interested, the rest of the rankings are as follows: Baltimore Kansas City San Fran New Orleans Dallas Philly Pittsburgh Seattle Tampa Indy Tennessee Minnesota New England Buffalo Green Bay Cleveland LA Chargers LA Rams Las Vegas Atlanta (tied with Miami) Miami (tied with Atlanta) Arizona Houston Denver Detroit Washington Cinci NY Jets NY Giants Carolina Chicago Jacksonville

Strictly off-ball linebackers. Each team's top 10 players was leaked (though some overalls have been different already such as Tre being a 90 instead of the reported 89), but based on that relatively limited sample of players: 1 Bobby Wagner 982 Lavonte David 903 Eric Kendricks 894 Demario Davis 895 Dont’a Hightower 886 Fred Warner 877 Deion Jones 868 Darius Leonard 859 C.J. Mosley 8510 Roquan Smith 8311 Leighton Vander Esch 8312 Jamie Collins 8313 Avery Williamson 8314 Benardrick McKinney 8215 Joe Schobert 8216 Anthony Barr 8217 Myles Jack 8118 K.J. Wright 8119 Isaiah Simmons 7820 Raekwon McMillan 76

And also a guy texting one of the women that was on her way to a new job saying that if they hug on her way out and she feels something on her leg, it's just a stapler in his pocket. And also they allegedly caught a guy on a recording talking inappropriately about one of the co-workers and when it was reported to the legal department, they just took the recording and locked it up so nobody would hear it.

In my opinion they already screwed the pooch by giving Zeke his contract. He was the obvious choice to let go to maintain cap flexibility. Having said that, with the way the NFL salary cap is, I honestly think they'll be able to make it work just fine as long as they draft well.

I think these two posts kind of point to the difference between absolute potential and probable peak. Seems like Biscuit is more focused on the probable peak, which is likely lower than what Dak is right now, whereas Gunner is talking about pure potential if Allen becomes as good as someone with his tools can be. I think both are totally reasonable takes; at this point I think it's probably unlikely that Allen becomes as good as Dak currently is, but I don't think it's impossible either. And with Allen's work ethic and physical tools, I think he has a better chance than your ordinary young QB of defying the odds and becoming an elite QB.

Of course, but you have no idea when you say those things if they are or are not welcome. In a workplace, you have to assume they are not, especially considering someone that simply overhears it can be the person that treats it as unwelcome versus the person actually on the receiving end of the comment.

Um, yeah, that's pretty much the definition of sexual harassment.

My company is too large for me to really say, but my department at least is nothing like what this article describes (at least as far as I know). But even then, I vividly remember at our holiday party that a coworker grabbed another coworker's ass. I didn't personally see it but I heard the woman say "oh my god he just grabbed my ass" either to herself or to another coworker. And I know some of my friends haven't been as relatively lucky as me in that regard either. Quite a few have been pretty much scarred including at least two that ended up quitting their jobs because it was so bad.