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DCOrange

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Everything posted by DCOrange

  1. He had a pretty bad second half of the season and his arm strength and lack of mobility has always held him back along with the spread offense concerns. I still think he's probably drafted somewhere between the 3rd and 4th round though.
  2. To an extent, Matt Stafford, Jay Cutler, Cam Newton, Alex Smith. And his accuracy wasn't bad in college by any stretch, but Aaron Rodgers tweaked his mechanics a bit and turned into arguably the best passer ever.
  3. No clue. I just know the following: Junior year: 22 sacks, -128 yards Senior year: 48 sacks, -348 yards (most lost yards in the country by the way)
  4. Yeah, that's definitely what it is. You'll notice the same thing for most pocket QBs. Josh Rosen, for example, rushed for -154 yards in his UCLA career. As a sophomore, Luke Falk rushed for 3 TDs while gaining -114 yards lol. You figure each sack is somewhere between -5 and -10 yards...-258 equates to roughly 35 sacks if he doesn't rush for any yards at all. I'd guess he probably got sacked around 50 times this year based on his rushing numbers.
  5. Yeah, he's definitely had a nice week of practice.
  6. He could be the Ansah to our pass rush needs! ...I'll be here all week.
  7. I liked Falk a lot during last year's draft process when there were rumors he might declare early and I was really impressed by his game against USC this year; I thought he looked better than Darnold in that game. I haven't seen too much of him since, but from what I hear, he had a really poor stretch in the 2nd half of the year. I still like him a decent amount though; whenever I've seen him play, he's shown good ball placement and is willing to step into a hit in order to make a good throw, whereas nearly every top QB in this draft class shies away from contact. My main question with him is velocity, much like most of the small school guys that I like, is velocity. Outside of my top 5, I'd basically throw all the prospects in two categories: (1) Physical tools but inconsistent accuracy, and (2) Good accuracy but questionable arm strength. Physical Tools: 1. Chase Litton 2. Riley Ferguson 3. Kurt Benkert 4. Mike White Accurate: 1. Kyle Lauletta 2. Logan Woodside 3. Luke Falk (I give a tiny edge to Woodside but those two are very close) 4. Mason Rudolph (don't really think he's accurate either, but I put him in this bucket due to the lackluster velocity)
  8. As far as I know, that's just Ben Allbright, who's notorious for being wrong about damn near everything he reports. There's also been reports that Allen might go #1, that GMs think Allen has been by far the best QB at the Senior Bowl, etc. Sounds like he and Baker have both been pretty amazing today from all the reports I've been reading.
  9. Carolina had the #1 scoring offense that year and their passing game was top 10 as well, along with the rushing numbers you mentioned. Even taking away the rushing, Cam was one of the best QBs in the NFL that year. And while Allen isn't as good a runner as Cam is, rushing will absolutely be a part of what he brings to his team. Allen helped take one of, if not the worst team in the conference to one of the best two years in a row and they literally couldn't score, much less beat anyone when he missed time. Edit: One of the games Allen missed this year was against the 127th best defense out of 130, giving up 42 points per game. Wyoming completed under 50% of their passes and scored 17 points. They scored 25.5 points per game with Allen this year versus 12 points per game without him.
  10. Charlie Campbell, who's pretty well connected, reported that Josh Rosen was declaring for the draft in December. Rosen basically got pissed that he reported it before Rosen had had a chance to do it on his own terms. Campbell said something stupid along the lines of "I know my source is correct (and to be fair, everybody knew Rosen was declaring...it didn't even really need to be reported in the first place) and if it turns out that my source is NOT correct and you stay at UCLA, I'll pay you a month of my salary. If my source is correct and you do declare, you owe me a month of yours" or something childish like that. Walter, the main guy at WalterFootball, is just a despicable person. Charlie is usually fine, and he's pretty well connected so I think his stuff is generally valuable to read, but he just came off as such a douche with the Rosen thing.
  11. He won't be there at 21. The ones that might be there would be Mayfield (unlikely) and Lamar Jackson (I'm guessing a 50/50 thing).
  12. I've watched a few games of his. He certainly has the physical tools you look for in a developmental guy. However, his ball placement is very inconsistent and he seems to take a long time to process what's happening around him. I'd be fine taking a chance on him in like the 6th or 7th round, but I prefer a handful of other guys once we get past the 1st round guys. Eliminating the guys that I view as 1st rounders (Darnold, Rosen, Allen, Mayfield, and Lamar), I'd go with: 1. Kyle Lauletta 2. Logan Woodside 3. Luke Falk 4. Mason Rudolph 5. Chase Litton 6. Riley Ferguson 7. Kurt Benkert 8. Mike White
  13. I definitely think it's useful, just perhaps not for looking at the overall QB score. Having said that, they also publish an annual in-depth report on all the QBs and it's insanely cool to look through.
  14. The way I see it, while Allen is a pretty amazing athlete in his own right, Lamar is on a completely different level athletically. Lamar is also a better passer right now than Allen is. Allen has possibly the strongest arm I've ever seen and Lamar does not, but Lamar's arm strength is probably #2 or 3 in this class in his own right while being more accurate than Allen currently is. Both have to clean up their footwork a significant amount, but Lamar is at least comparable as a passer to the other top QBs in this draft class; I don't really think Allen is right now. I also think Lamar is more comfortable in the pocket right now than Allen is.
  15. As a fan of both Allen and Lamar, I really don't understand how someone that likes Allen can possibly dislike Lamar. I can understand people that like Lamar might not like Allen, but the inverse just doesn't make any sense.
  16. Unrestricted Free Agents QB Joe Webb - Go RB Mike Tolbert - Go RB Travaris Cadet - Go RB Taiwan Jones - Camp deal WR Deonte Thompson - Go WR Jordan Matthews - Go WR Brandon Tate - Go WR Jeremy Butler - Idk, camp deal? OT Seantrel Henderson - Go DL Kyle Williams - Stay DL Cedric Thornton - Go LB Preston Brown - Go LB Ramon Humber - Go CB EJ Gaines - Stay if he'll sign for around $5 mil; Go if it'll be close to $10 mil CB Leonard Johnson - Stay if it's super cheap CB Shareece Wright - Stay if it's super cheap S Colt Anderson - Go S Shamarko Thomas - Camp deal Exclusive Rights Free Agents TE Nick O’Leary - Stay TE Logan Thomas - Go DE Eddie Yarbrough - Stay CB Lafayette Pitts - Don't care
  17. As I mentioned above, I'm guessing it's one of two reasons. PFF has graded Tyrod as an above average starter each of the last 3 years; they probably don't think Buffalo needs a replacement They could be expecting Buffalo to look to the draft to fill the need.
  18. They may not think Buffalo needs a QB; they've graded Tyrod out as an above average starter each of the last 3 years. Can't say for certain though; could also be a case where they just think Buffalo will get a QB in the draft.
  19. He seems like a guy that would have been considered a really good LB in a different era. He's just simply not good in coverage at all, which makes him a poor fit for McDermott's scheme IMO. I think Carter at least makes some sense, but it's a pretty rough year to be in the market for a free agent LB.
  20. Taking this post from the Bills sub-reddit: Here's the link for those that have a PFF subscription and can read it: https://www.profootballfocus.com/news/2018-nfl-free-agency-tracker For those that don't have it, PFF publishes a massive PDF breaking down all the free agents-to-be, and part of their breakdown is pairing them up with the team they believe the player is the best fit for. The exact methodology is as follows: The end result is the following list of players for Buffalo, in order of the positions listed in the guide: RB Damien Williams FB Derrick Coleman WR John Brown WR Andre Roberts TE Jeff Cumberland OT Austin Pasztor DT Daequan Jones DT Kyle Williams DE Ezekiel Ansah DE Arthur Moats LB Bruce Carter CB EJ Gaines
  21. This I agree with. I'd take Mahomes over any of the QBs in this year's class honestly.
  22. Not really true, especially if you think the issue is more footwork related rather than simply not having a sense of how to lead WRs (which is debatable, but seems that the leading theory right now is that if you can fix Allen's footwork, the accuracy will come). Matt Stafford, Jay Cutler, Alex Smith, and Cam Newton are four guys that weren't accurate early on but made significant improvements and went on to have pretty good careers. I think we can all agree that Stafford, Cam, and Smith have become above-average QBs, and while Cutler has turned into a meme, he was roughly an above average starter for nearly a decade. And 3 of the 4 don't have the physical tools that Allen does. Allen certainly seems to be the riskiest of the 1st round QBs (assuming teams aren't super worried about Rosen's injury history), but he has incredible potential and it's not unheard of for players to improve their accuracy in the NFL.
  23. You have to put this in the context of where this team was a year ago. Buffalo didn't have all that much cap space to work with, and they spent it on good defensive pickups. I'm not sure this is an issue of talent evaluation so much as it is an issue of a lack of talent, period, as well as being straddled with a terrible offensive coordinator. The Dennison hire scares me more than the talent evaluation aspect does, but I'm glad McDermott was so quick to dump Dennison. Moving forwards, this team still has holes galore, even on the defensive side, but they have more flexibility now to address the holes. It's a long process, but I have faith in them for now at least. Ask me again after this offseason and my answer could change.
  24. I'd rather trade up if that were going to be the strategy. Now taking a QB like Lamar at 21 and then following up with another QB later in the draft (like Lauletta, White, Litton, etc.)? That I could get on board with. With the number of needs this team has, I'm not sure how I feel about a trade up, but I definitely would not be on board with taking multiple QBs in the 1st round.
  25. Dating back to 2010's draft, in order: Sam Bradford Tim Tebow Cam Newton Jake Locker Blaine Gabbert Christian Ponder Andrew Luck Robert Griffin III Ryan Tannehill Brandon Weeden EJ Manuel Blake Bortles Johnny Manziel Teddy Bridgewater Jameis Winston Marcus Mariota Jared Goff Carson Wentz Paxton Lynch Mitch Trubisky Patrick Mahomes Deshaun Watson Edit: I bolded the ones that I think most would agree worked out pretty fine (maybe not Tannehill?) The Underlined might be a little bit too early to say for sure, but they look like they'll probably work out. I didn't touch this past year's class since we've seen so little of all of them.
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