DCOrange

It's a little low, but I think the usual number is around 20 give or take.

My point is that the idea that Allen busts = front office overhaul isn't the case with just Allen. It's likely the case with whatever QB the front office ties itself to. The idea that the Pegulas would fire Beane if Allen busts but not if Darnold, Rosen, Mayfield, Lamar, Rudolph, etc. bust makes no sense.

Josh Allen never played against Colorado and his completion percentage was never 53%.

This is probably the case no matter which QB they take

I’d be okay with Rudolph at 96.

I'm relatively low on Rosen (have him as my #5 QB), but I don't really buy the lack of winning argument personally. The guy led one of the best offenses in the country despite having WRs that dropped a lot of passes. I agree on basically all the other stuff though.

It's possible that Buffalo lied, but I think the assumption is that Buffalo told Tampa that they'd make a trade if Baker is on the board at 7.

Presumably he got excited and tweeted it out and then his source said he was only telling him under the condition that he keep it to himself or something.

I'm guessing that's what happened here. He got excited and tweeted it out immediately and then his source was like "...but don't tell anyone" and then Allbright deleted it

The ones that make me hesitate: Saquon simply because the odds are pretty bad; if god forbid the Giants trade down he could easily slide past 4 and even if he doesn't, those aren't good odds. I concur with the first responder about the Ridley one. Gun to my head, I'd guess he's the 1st WR taken, but I could easily see DJ or Sutton going ahead of him. I'd rather take the odds and bet on one of those guys.

Allbright doesn't work for either of them and already said he will absolutely be tipping picks as he receives them.

Anyone else notice how misleading the headline is? Mayock doesn't actually say that at all; he simply says that if HE were in charge of the Cardinals, Allen would be the guy that they take.

Could definitely see the Bucs targeting Vita Vea and the Bears Tremaine Edmunds. I think Tampa waits to see if Nelson, Barkley, or Chubb slides to them before they'd pull the trigger on a trade though. Indy is really interesting; could definitely see them wanting to accumulate draft picks but I have a gut feeling they take Denzel Ward at 6.

Top guys available in my mock at 12: Lamar Jackson Minkah Fitzpatrick Tremaine Edmunds Vita Vea

I think Tampa would accept before Beane even completed his sentence if that was being offered. I'd guess it costs a first and a second to move up to 7 as long as Nelson, Barkley, and Chubb are all off the board.

I find this at least semi-believable because OP would really have to think this out pretty well to make up this scenario haha. I guess the assumption here is that Buffalo discussed a deal with Tampa (which has been pretty widely speculated already) that was contingent on Baker being available.

McShay had Gabbert ahead of Cam as well; I didn't really remember that many people preferring Gabbert but I guess it was actually a thing.

And Lauletta at 66

I think Darnold and Allen are the top two on the Bills board; not sure of the order.

I'd be happy to have any of the top 5 (Darnold, Allen, Rosen, Mayfield, Jackson). I just wish that we wouldn't trade away a lot of picks in order to get a specific one when we can probably get one of them at 12 or at the worst by moving up to the 8-10 range.

Made some tweaks to the page this morning: Added a page under the 2018 Prospects menu that includes all of the charts that I've posted here/at Buffalo Rumblings in the past Added a page under the 2018 Prospects menu that lays out my number grading system, my grades for the 2018 prospects, and my grades for them relative to the 2017 prospects Some formatting tweaks to the player-specific pages, making my rankings more obvious Added player comps for the lower-tier prospects that I've scouted (Falk, Litton, and Woodside; the film on Luis Perez is so limited that I don't feel comfortable making comparisons for him).

I do mention who I think the best overall prospects are when you open up a prospect page, but the short cut is that they’re listed in order of my overall rankings, so I think the top 5 in order are Lamar, Darnold, Allen, Mayfield, and Rosen. I’d also say that ranking who the “best QB will be” is a pretty complicated exercise. For example, I think Mayfield and Rosen likely end up being better than Allen, but the potential with Allen is high enough that I’d take him ahead of them. Regarding the “similarly” thing, I wrote the Allen report first and originally just had it organized in a Word document so it made sense at that point and I guess I forgot to look for that when converting it to the web page.

Feel free to flame away, but I figured some of you guys would enjoy reading this. I plan to build it out a bit more with my free time to add some of the fancy charts I threw together throughout the draft process. This webpage was originally designed to basically bring all the videos on each prospect together under one roof. I got busy at work/some of the sources I used for videos got banned from YouTube and I'm now beginning to repurpose it for basically a historical catalog of my take on the QBs. Obviously I had opinions on last year's class, but I have no proof of how I felt about them at the time, but beginning with the 2018 class, you can view my thoughts, comparisons, etc. through the following link. The home page and 2019 draft class pages are all under construction still (unchanged from how I had originally designed them, but you'll see a drop down menu under 2018 prospects that lists the QBs based on my personal rankings and each prospect's page has a scouting report (reports are smaller once you get past Luke Falk). https://draftqbs.wordpress.com/2018-draft-prospects/

As I mentioned in my follow-up post, what he was able to do in college is a testament to how talented he is because his footwork is holding him back a ton and he still showed off really impressive ball placement more often than not in college while also being more of an anticipatory passer than most of the other guys in this draft class. I'm slowly starting to think he's more of a project than people let on though, and it's making me reconsider my ranking of him. If I believe both of them are projects, do I still prefer Darnold over a guy like Josh Allen that has far better physical tools to work with? I don't really know to be honest; I'm starting to see why the Browns are reportedly so tempted to go with Allen instead. Edit: Sidenote, you can definitely see the Allen-overstriding thing that I believe Jordan Palmer referred to in an interview a little while back.

Watching more of his 2017 tape again, I still like Darnold quite a bit. His footwork is pretty horrifying though. It's a testament to his abilities that he's as productive as he is while setting his feet to throw maybe like 20% of the time but I think he's going to be a bust if he can't fix his footwork. A lot of potential there for him to increase his ball velocity if he gets his mechanics right (and I'm not even talking about the loopy throwing motion; that's an eyesore but the footwork is way more important).