DCOrange

I realize that my initial comment wasn't very specific... A few of the RBs and WRs that I have my eye on right now: WRs: N'Keal Harry - Still early, but I have him as the #1 WR in the draft class at the moment. Kelvin Harmon - Good combination of route running and hands. Probably a first round pick, maybe top 15 Collin Johnson - Might be what Kelvin Benjamin should have been for us. I'd guess he's valued around the 2nd or 3rd round for now, maybe higher if he has a good Combine. Olamide Zaccheus - Sometimes listed as a RB...he's explosive as hell however you want to use him. If Buffalo liked Ray-Ray, they'll like this guy too. Probably a Day 3 pick if I had to guess but I'm keeping an eye on him. Tyre Brady - Always stood out to me when I was watching Chase Litton tape. Seems to be a Day 3/UDFA guy at the moment but I think he's undervalued. RBs: Damien Harris - Media views him as the #1 RB prospect in the draft this year, and given his connection to Daboll and his natural fit for where I think this offense is going, I think this is a serious possibility, especially if Buffalo trades McCoy. Strong runner, good vision/patience, willing pass blocker, good hands out of the backfield; the main flaw is that he looks pretty slow, not really elusive, and while he always falls forward, he doesn't seem to really run through people and keep going. Matt Colburn II - I'd guess he's on the Day 3 radar right now, but he kinda reminds me of Doug Martin coming out of Boise State. Just seems like a good all-around RB to me. Darrell Henderson - Absolutely tearing the country up right now; basically this year's Bryce Love while also bringing some pass-catching ability to the fold. Probably a Day 2 pick. Karan Higdon - I think he might be the best RB in the class. Explosive, agile, and feisty as hell. My two complaints are that he has a smallish frame (School lists him at 5'10" 202 lbs, but I've seen him listed at 5'9" 190 elsewhere and he looks pretty small) and he hasn't had much of an opportunity as a receiver.

How about neither? Neither guy is a 1st round pick IMO and there’s better options in the 2nd and 3rd round too. Between the two, I’d take Love, but I’m not really sold on either.

They all have either good weapons around them, or a good coach, but they obviously also play a heavy hand in that themselves. For example, Kenny Golladay is the highest rated WR on the Lions this year. Chris Godwin was rated higher than DeSean Jackson last year. Kamara IS the weapon; I think he was the highest rated RB in the league last year and he's a huge reason the Saints offense is what it is this year. Hunt's running ability played a large role in allowing Alex Smith to throw it deep for the first time in his career. And Buffalo has to start somewhere as far as weapons go. To me, the chance at adding even more cap space and also having a swing at another highly rated draft prospect is more than enough to trade McCoy. My main argument in favor of trading McCoy for a 3rd or 4th round pick would be this: You can replace McCoy for roughly half the money we are currently paying him. You can also hope you draft well and just draft his replacement for pennies compared to McCoy. Or you can both sign a player of roughly McCoy's current/long-term playing level and also draft a RB that may also be that same level. It's not terribly difficult to find above average RBs anymore, which is optimistically what you're hoping McCoy will be moving forwards.

The Kamara draft was likely a flukey year, but it really is pretty crazy to look at. 9 RB/WRs went in the 3rd round that year. 6 of them are above average starters this year and 5 of them are elite according to PFF.

Not sure if it's really been discussed as a possibility here, but I've been trying to tell Bills fans that Marpet would not hit free agency this offseason. Terms of the deal have not been made public yet but I'm guessing roughly 5 years, $65 million. Edit: 5 years, $55 million is the official number.

If you actually provided film breakdowns, you could be. That's kind of the beauty of America; if you're willing to put the work in and know what you're doing, there's a decent chance you can carve out a niche for yourself like he has.

Cleveland is a very talented team IMO. One of the best O-Lines in the league, two decent RBs (plus whatever you think of Chubb), a good WR in Landry, and two talented TEs in Njoku and Fells. The Jets aren't a very good team, but their RB tandem is playing as well as anyone in the league outside of the Gordon/Ekeler and Kamara/Ingram tandems, and they have a pretty good group of WRs (missing a #1 guy but have a bunch of solid options). And the only starting QB in the league that has a lower grade from PFF than Darnold is Allen himself. They've both struggled immensely overall this season. Rosen had a strong debut for the Cardinals but he came back down to Earth this week. And he at least has Fitz, Kirk, and David Johnson to work with. That OLine is a mess though. I do think all 3 of them would be playing better for Buffalo than Allen presently is, but I also think Buffalo has the worst supporting cast by a decent margin between the 4. I believe Marino is a Bills fan who happens to have been breaking down film for awhile now. The guys at TDN do a lot of blending film study with advanced stats.

I think it's pretty much a certainty that Lamar is taking passing reps in practice. He hasn't had an opportunity to show it in live games yet, but in terms of footwork, I think Allen presently has more issues than Lamar does (Lamar has his own as well to be sure though).

I do think it's okay for now, but for example, a guy like Rosen (who I did not and still do not like anywhere near as much as Allen) would not be displaying the footwork issues that Allen is. The gamble with Allen is that with his work ethic and intelligence, he'd eventually iron out those issues and coupled with his physical tools, turn into an elite QB. To me, I'm down to make that gamble every time on a guy with those tools and personality. But having said that, in terms of the development curve, he's most definitely behind the other rookies that are starting right now and might be behind Lamar too.

They're literally just stating which game the team has the lowest chance to win. The game in New England is a lower probability than the game in Buffalo; that's all they're saying.

Update after Week 5 (underlined names are names that were added this week): Quick Summary: Vlad Ducasse enters the bottom 5 offense for the first time this year and is now ranked as one of the worst guards in the NFL. Taron Johnson debuts in the top 5 defense after his big INT this week. Jordan Phillips is nearly the lowest rated DT in the NFL, though I'm guessing this is mainly based upon how he played in Miami but I'm not entirely sure. Eddie Yarbrough appears in the bottom 5 defense. A slight uptick for Josh Allen, but he's still the lowest rated starting QB in the league. A slight downtick for Edmunds as his struggles have continued (according to PFF). Star Lotulelei drops another 20 spots in the DT rankings, down to #99 out of 110 that are ranked. Top 5 Offense: Chris Ivory - 79.0 (3 out of 56) LeSean McCoy - 68.1 (24 out of 56) Dion Dawkins - 64.7 (39 out of 73) John Miller - 62.5 (34 out of 71) Jordan Mills - 61.9 (45 out of 73) Bottom 5 Offense (1 being the lowest): Ryan Groy - 42.6 (34 out of 35) Vlad Ducasse - 48.8 (67 out of 71) Josh Allen - 48.9 (35 out of 37) Andre Holmes - 50.9 (113 out of 117) Robert Foster - 53.6 (108 out of 117) Top 5 Defense: Lorenzo Alexander - 89.0 (5 out of 100) Jerry Hughes - 78.1 (13 out of 100) Micah Hyde 77.7 (17 out of 84) Matt Milano - 75.5 (11 out of 82) Taron Johnson - 73.1 (16 out of 111) Bottom 5 Defense: Jordan Phillips - 44.3 (108 out of 110); I have no idea what Phillips was prior to coming to Buffalo Tremaine Edmunds - 50.9 (66 out of 82) Star Lotulelei - 56.8 (99 out of 110) Rafael Bush - 58.1 (67 out of 84) Eddie Yarbrough - 60.9 (68 out of 100)

I call BS. Guy has probably led the NFL in personal fouls the past 4 or 5 years and he suddenly got scared of a flag this one time? He either thought Mariota got the pass off or he thought the play was dead due to forward progress. The penalties haven’t stopped him from sacking the QB all year but we’re supposed to believe it stopped him this week after the refs have clearly stopped calling it as strictly?

Pretty much all of his targets have come when the game is already getting out of hand. He's been targeted on like 3% of his routes if you take the garbage time out, which is to say he's almost invisible.

I wish they had posted the team O-Line stats that they mention in the article. I'd be curious to see where the Bills fall.

Of course he's also played 1 less game (which, given the fact that he got hurt again, is obviously another thing that detracts from Sammy's value). He's played very well this year though, whereas Zay has pretty much sucked.

Very fuzzy, but you get the idea. I don't know why uploading the picture after I numbered it made it even fuzzier. 11 is the kicker and he's outside the shot of the camera but he's right over by that spot. They actually stayed in their lanes for most of the play, but once Wycheck started making his cut to the right, everyone chased him at that point. Also, just for the record, I know people will hate me for saying it, but I think it was always pretty obvious that it was in fact a backwards pass.

Haha I was waiting for this. He's certainly off to a good start.

For what it’s worth, all four of the guys at TheDraftNetwork.com have Metcalf ranked as their #1 WR in the draft.

He also went ahead of: Juju Smith-Schuster Taywan Taylor Chris Godwin Kenny Golladay Dede Westbrook Ryan Switzer All guys that are easily better than Zay.

It was mostly screen passes and drag routes, which require pretty much zero technical skill.

Just some thoughts in no particular order: The season is basically going as I expected it too, though the win over the Vikings was surprising to me. The defense was worse than I expected to start the season but appears to be settling in the past couple weeks. I still think it likely shakes out as an average defense by the end of the year, which paired with the putrid offense, should put Buffalo firmly in the discussion of a top 5 pick. I'm pretty pleased with the flashes of good play that we've seen from Tremaine Edmunds. He's been inconsistent, and at times, an outright liability, but I think that was more or less to be expected given how young and raw he still is. I think a lot of people were placing unfair expectations on him coming into the season; it's okay that he's likely a downgrade from Preston Brown in the short-term. I'm a little disappointed with the play of Josh Allen to be honest. I've been high on him for two years now, and I knew he had some flaws that would likely be present once he hit the field, but I was hoping to see more progress out of him than I've seen to this point. He still has the same mechanical issues throwing to his left that he had in Wyoming and doesn't appear to have made many strides overall. I still believe that with his toughness, desire, and physical tools, he'll ultimately develop into a very good QB, but I was hoping for more than I've seen so far. The offense in general is so incredibly devoid of talent right now. Kelvin Benjamin seems to have gotten worse as he's gotten healthy for some reason. Zay Jones continues to be a pretty terrible football player. The other WRs have been as bad as one would expect. The offensive line has probably been slightly better than I expected to be honest, but is still quite bad. Chris Ivory has definitely been better than I expected him to be, but I still think it was a pretty poor move given his contract and given how deep the rookie class was this year. I also still desperately want this team to acquire a receiving threat out of the backfield. Guys like Nyheim Hines were there for the taking but for whatever reason, the Bills don't seem to value having playmakers out of the backfield. Needless to say this side of the ball needs a massive infusion of talent in the offseason. Unfortunately, there aren't really any top-notch free agents to be unless they decide to release McCoy and bring in a new highly-paid RB like LeVeon Bell. To me, the plan for the WR position has to be to acquire two veterans and then also draft a WR early. Something like Randall Cobb, Chris Conley, and N'Keal Harry would be great IMO. I also like Tyre Brady as a Day 3 sleeper candidate. I still question Brandon Beane's ability to properly utilize the assets that he's helped to create, but I think we pretty much have to give him the shot. Buffalo hired him knowing that this was always the plan so I don't really see a good reason to deviate from that now.

To be clear, he's not eligible for this year's draft. He'd be a 2020 draft candidate.

I don't know if it's kosher to post this stuff here or not, but I do have access to it. To be on the safe side, the big movers in the top 32 are: DT Derrick Brown from 12 to 8. DT Jeffery Simmons from unranked to 12. CB DeAndre Baker from 17 to 14. DT Raekwon Davis from 8 to 15. QB Justin Herbert from unranked to 16. DE Montez Sweat from 22 to 18. WR D.K. Metcalf from unranked to 19. QB Ryan Finley from 16 to 20. QB Drew Lock from unranked to 21. RB Bryce Love from 14 to 23. RT David Edwards from 20 to 24. WR Hollywood Brown from 30 to 25. S Johnathan Abram from 21 to 26. QB Jarrett Stidham from unranked to 27. LT Trey Adams from 15 to 28. C Elgton Jenkins from 25 to 29. RB Damien Harris from 24 to 30. S Marvell Tell III from 27 to 31. WR Deebo Samuel from 28 to 32.

I've been tracking Allen and Edmunds the best that I can, but you have to pay like $150 for the game-by-game scores and I just pay for the cheapest PFF subscription. The scores appear to be adjusted each week, so it makes it difficult to track. For example, players are scored on a 0-100 scale, but after Week 3, to get to Tremaine Edmunds' updated rating, he would have needed to have a negative score in Week 2, so therefore his score from Week 1 must have been adjusted after the fact (PFF had publicly posted their Week 1 and Week 3 grade, so I could piece together what the Week 2 grade should have been based on that).

Looking at NextGenStats.com: Ivory ranks #1 in efficiency (basically measures how much of a north-south runner you are). He faces 8+ men in the box on 38.71% of his carries, which is the 3rd highest in the league. I imagine those two things help. He's rated the 9th best rusher by PFF and the 13th best receiver out of the backfield. The Chargers game is weighing him down big time right now. He's still not playing very well from game to game, but that Chargers game I think he received the lowest possible grade from PFF, so I imagine his grade will likely improve as the season goes on and that game hopefully becomes a blip on the radar.