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Everything posted by DCOrange
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On the DK Metcalf topic, Charlie Campbell had this to say:
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Been waiting for this: The Draft Network finally reviewed one of the WRs that jumped out at me last year during my QB scouting: Marshall's Tyre Brady. If you're tired of watching the Bills' WRs drop passes over and over, this is a guy that can fix that. His hands and body control are awesome IMO. https://thedraftnetwork.com/2018/12/27/2019-nfl-draft-player-profile-tyre-brady/
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Justin Herbert Returning For Senior Season
DCOrange replied to Jay_Fixit's topic in College Football
I really think he might fall out of the first round next year. -
[Name Only Title] DeSean Jackson
DCOrange replied to FLBillsGuy's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Considering Adam Humphries is a free agent and DeSean will probably be cut or traded, I doubt Godwin is remotely available. He's a stud though. I'd rather cut McCoy than keep McCoy and use his friendship to sign DeSean, but that's just me. DeSean would be a healthy upgrade over the current WR corps though. -
I’d rather go with Ed Oliver and Deebo but this is pretty much as good as it gets IMO. Probably my #1 and #2 WR prospects in the draft.
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http://walterfootball.com/nflhotpress/article/Teams-Project-Jonah-Williams-in-Mid--to-Late-Round-1
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Breakdown of one of my favorite WRs in the draft class. Would love to target this guy on Day 2 or early Day 3 depending on where his draft stock is by April. https://thedraftnetwork.com/2018/12/19/video-content-stanleys-morgan-vertical-route-running/
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I don't know why people are even mentioning Aaron Donald as a possibility. There's no way that a defensive player on a below average defense is going to win the MVP award. We went through this with JJ Watt already, who had a far stronger case for it IMO. Oddshark has it right; it's Mahomes or Brees with an outside shot of Rivers and a super outside shot of Luck.
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Possible New RB's if Shady and Ivory are Still Wounded
DCOrange replied to JMF2006's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Martez Carter from the Saints practice squad. -
Zay Jones & Robert Foster - Advanced Metrics
DCOrange replied to DCOrange's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
For those wondering why catches + drops doesn’t equal catchable targets, watching Zay today was a good example of it. He really struggled to make contested catches. -
I said that McCoy is paid like a top 3 RB and is not that level of player anymore and you asked if I was sure about that. At any rate, we'll have to agree to disagree on McCoy being good still. Even ignoring the O-Line, he's simply not as elusive as he used to be. His elusiveness rating has dropped off from being elite early in his career to simply being good/great for a few years and has now been flat out bad for the past 2 years. Ivory, on the other hand, has been more successful in terms of making people miss, which is part of the reason that Ivory is ranked 22nd by PFF while McCoy is ranked 52nd out of 63. McCoy is dead last in DVOA versus Ivory being 29th out of 40, and Ivory is 30th in success rate versus McCoy being 36th. Pretty much everything out there suggests that Ivory is better than McCoy at this point and Ivory is at best a below average starter. The O-Line was relatively fine last year and McCoy still ranked among the worst qualified RBs in the league in all those categories with the exception of PFF where he rated as a below average starter.
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And if he is, then it's only a wash of an investment. That's the whole point. Having the 2nd pick in the draft is a gigantic asset to be used at a position where you can actually extract value. Paying an elite QB backup QB money for example is life-changing for an NFL franchise. Taking Bradley Chubb there and having him pan out would be a great value. Taking Saquon and having him pan out is basically a net-zero investment. He's already being paid like an elite player whereas taking a QB, pass rusher, corner, etc. at that spot would be paying them like an average or below average starter.
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Even if Barkley were the best RB prospect in NFL history, I wouldn’t take him at #2. The Giants are paying Saquon roughly 1,200% more than the Broncos are paying their rookie RB and the Broncos arguably have the better player. The Giants would have been far better off taking a QB, Chubb, Denzel Ward, or basically anything other than Barkley.
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Potential Cut Candidates in the Offseason
DCOrange replied to DCOrange's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Yeah, I can't see Robinson or Star being cut personally. I fully expect DeSean Jackson to be. He's just too expensive for what his role is in Tampa at this point. Evans and Godwin are a great 1-2 combo and Tampa can free up $10 million by cutting DeSean. The ones that I'm personally interested in are: Robinson (but like I said, I highly doubt he gets cut) Kenny Stills Marvin Jones Demaryius Thomas And not super interested, but I could see Buffalo bringing in a veteran presence like Pierre Garcon if he's cut. I'd be fine with taking a shot on Devante Parker too. -
Am I sure that McCoy is no longer a top 3 RB in the NFL? Yes. Are you actually questioning that? I honestly didn't think anyone would object to that at this point. If you think McCoy is still an above average starter, I can at least understand that even if I don't personally agree, but I don't think anyone in their right mind can argue that he's a top 3 RB anymore.
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Barnwell: Progress Report on 2018 1st Round QBs
DCOrange replied to DCOrange's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
You're trying way too hard here. Obviously Allen is not an exact clone of Tyrod. Tyrod was a running QB who took deep shots but didn't force passes. Allen is currently a running QB who takes deep shots and does force passes. That is the comparison. And the comparison is being made because Tyrod was, based on PFF, QBR, etc., performing as roughly an average starting QB and Buffalo decided to move on to find a guy that was presumably more of a pure passer, which has made the comparison even more fun to look at because Allen has been the opposite so far. The other rookies were all replacing career backups (McCown & whatever the Browns had last year), guys that retired (Palmer), or were forced to play due to injury (Flacco/Lamar) so the comparisons for them aren't remotely as interesting.
