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I mean, Mahomes is about to be named the MVP in his first season as a starter; I think the writer is probably correct that Buffalo would take that in retrospect.

For what it's worth, Matt Miller rated Gary as the best pass-rusher in the class at DT. Seems odd considering he's had 9.5 sacks combined in 3 years, but yeah.

Palmer played 25 games for Oakland; it seems silly to only look at roughly half of them. In Cinci, Palmer threw INTs on 3.1% of his passes, and that ballooned to 3.4% in Oakland. Jameis has thrown INTs on 3.0% of his passes, so yes, Palmer was more INT-prone than Jameis was pre-Arians. And again, I don't know why you would focus on just one season for Jameis when he's now played four years in Tampa. During that time, he has thrown 88 TDs to 58 INTs, which still isn't great but it's significantly better than Palmer's 35/30 split in Oakland. Looking at Palmer Pre-Arians, he put up 189 TDs to 130 INTs, which is a worse ratio than Jameis. Palmer was also worse in terms of TD%, INT% (as I already mentioned), ANY/A, QBR, and passer rating. Edit: Obviously this doesn't mean that Jameis will now turn into a borderline MVP candidate like Palmer did under Arians, but Jameis is basically in the same exact spot as Palmer was before he linked up with Arians, except Jameis is almost 10 years younger.

If you're looking for strictly the top 5 or 6, I would guess (in no particular order): Haskins, Lock, Daniel Jones, Kyler Murray are the easy choices and then I think there's another group of Brett Rypien, Will Grier, and Jarrett Stidham.

As I mentioned, Palmer put up 35 TDs to 30 INTs in Oakland. Jameis has 88 TDs to 58 INTs in Tampa. Jameis has undoubtedly been better in Tampa than Palmer was in Oakland, and probably better than Palmer was in Cinci too. It wasn't until he got to Arizona and was coached by Arians that Palmer learned how to protect the ball; up until then, he was more turnover prone than Jameis (at least in terms of INTs).

Their actual 40 times almost always turn out slower than their reported times in the offseason, but he supposedly ran a 4.38 during Oklahoma's winter workouts last year. Seems like he's expected to comfortably be in the 4.4's.

Not just first rounder. A lot of teams seem think he’s potentially the first QB taken which means we’re talking top 5-10

Jameis has often been compared to Big Ben (though obviously Ben has been better as a pro), was once upon a time viewed as the best QB prospect since Luck (obviously hasn't panned out that way in the NFL), and you could argue that he's been better in the NFL than the version of Carson Palmer that Arians acquired in Arizona. When Arians got his hands on Palmer, Palmer was coming off two years in Oakland where he threw a combined 35 TDs to 30 INTs. Palmer was like 6 or 7 years removed from his last great season before he showed up in Arizona.

The Dirk Koetter special. Afraid your OC who seemed to be doing well with your rookie QB would leave, so you promote him to be your new HC. Obviously they'll hope this works out better than it did in Tampa.

I don't think all that highly of Rosen, so I don't think trading him and taking someone else is the worst idea in the world, but there's no way they would do it for just a 4th round pick. They would probably require a 1st round pick if someone wanted Rosen. I also personally think Rosen was a better prospect than Haskins is, so I wouldn't personally subscribe to this plan. But I know most people seem to be higher on Haskins than I am.

Fitz is a free agent. Arians took the Bucs job because he loves Jameis (and also the Bucs GM).

Just for context because I was curious about this myself: for the past few years, Buffalo has gone into training camp with at least 12 WRs on their roster (obviously this is before cutting guys). Buffalo currently has 8 under contract for next season (I would guess they bring all of them into training camp but I guess we don't know that for sure), so at minimum, we have room for probably at least 4 more WRs to sign this offseason between free agency, the draft, and UDFA.

They’ve already announced that Jameis will be their starting QB next year and Jameis was one of the main reasons Arians wanted the job.

Between the two, I’d prefer Hollywood. But neither one is in my top 5 WRs for this class.

Bucs traded a 6th round pick to Arizona for a 7th round pick and the rights to Arians. You can probably have Gerald McCoy, Vinny Curry, and maybe Jason Pierre-Paul if you're lucky. I would guess they plan on building around Vita Vea, Lavonte David, and Kwon Alexander.

I would say the reason for getting rid of him is the same reason that teams shouldn't sign him, Flacco, Foles, etc. Paying below average to average starting QBs $20-25 million per year (in Tannehill's case, it would actually be more than that if Miami keeps him) is the worst place to be in football IMO. I'd rather sign someone cheap like Fitzpatrick and draft a rookie and pray than to invest that much of your salary cap in players that you know aren't good. If Tannehill, Foles, Flacco, etc. are your best option as a starting QB, I think you should just invest that money in other positions and go cheap at QB and hope you strike gold.

Nick Bosa, because it means we traded up.

I think Tampa wants to get rid of DeSean regardless of if he buys in with Arians or not. I don't think either the player or the team are happy with him being there. They'd probably rather use that cap money to re-sign Adam Humphries but they might just let both of them go since they have Evans, Godwin, OJ Howard, and Brate if they keep him.

Some potential cut candidates: Bortles: $9.5 million if cut with June designation DJ Hayden: $3.5 million post-June Sefarian-Jenkins: $4.4 million Hyde: $4.7 million Dareus: $10.5 million All of them besides maybe DJ Hayden are locks to be gone at this point and those moves free up roughly $29 million, giving them roughly $22 million to use between free agency and draft picks to fill like 10 roster slots, most of which won't be expected to be starting caliber players. Again, if they simply don't think Jackson is worth the money anymore, they should cut him. But if they think he's worth the money, they can probably afford to keep him.

Arians loves Jameis; that's one of the reasons this pairing was so obvious beyond the fact that the GM and Arians are good friends.

I understand the situation, but they have a lot of other players they can cut without necessarily cutting Malik Jackson. If they simply don't want him anymore, then yeah, obviously they'll cut him, but they can get out of their cap troubles pretty easily without moving him. Dareus, Sefarian-Jenkins, Barry Church, Bortles, one of their WRs or CBs. They can all be cut and save a lot of money without necessarily cutting two DTs. They still very well might just want to get rid of both anyways but I don't think it's a definite that they cut Jackson.

I grew up in Rochester, but have lived outside of DC for the past few years now. I don't care about the Redskins at all. I actually grew up a Tampa Bay Bucs fan but I always went to Bills training camp and rooted for Buffalo on the side and then became more of a Bills fan after I moved away because it's given me an easy way to stay connected with my family (all Bills fans). So at this point, I'd say I'm a Bills fan who roots for Tampa on the side. I'm completely indifferent to the Redskins.

I still kinda think someone else will be the first QB taken, but we'll see. I anticipate three QBs going in the first round and Haskins will obviously be one of them and probably go in the top 10.

My current rankings pre Senior Bowl/pre Combine: DK Metcalf - I just think his physical tools make him a worthy gamble amongst a class of good but not spectacular prospects Deebo Samuel - I concur with the scouting report in the OP; love pretty much everything about Deebo. I think people are underrating him a bit due to his size, but he's as good beating press coverage as anyone in this draft class. To me, he's someone that can line up anywhere on offense and be good at it. N'Keal Harry - Can't help but love the body control and YAC ability that he shows for a guy his size. He has the speed question to answer at the combine and I come away disappointed with how he deals with press coverage, but he's another good prospect IMO. Tyre Brady - I love him. To me, he might have the best hands in the draft and he shows great body control along with it. Has pretty good athleticism as well. The Senior Bowl will be a big opportunity for him to prove himself but I think he's been slept on big time this year. Riley Ridley/Kelvin Harmon - Both appear to be good well-rounded receivers. Ridley is a bit more explosive IMO but I think Harmon is better at the catch point.

Which one? They have two that are expected to be potential 1st or 2nd round picks this year. I'm guessing you mean Fant?