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Everything posted by DCOrange
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Almost nobody in the NBA can match up with him either IMO. I'm not sure anyone in the NBA right now has his combination of size and athleticism and he's a really skilled dude too. He's easily among the 3-5 best prospects to come out since LeBron IMO and might be the best.
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Don't think I'll ever have a mock draft play out this well for me again on The Draft Network: 9. Quinnen Williams, DT, Alabama - #1 player in the draft IMO 40. Dalton Risner, OG/OT, Kansas State - One of, if not the highest graded O-Lineman per PFF and seems like the type of guy Buffalo loves 74. Dru Samia, OG, Oklahoma - Big part of the best O-Line in the country, Buffalo has scouted multiple OU games this season, met with him at the combine, and worked with him at his Pro Day 112. Darrell Henderson, RB, Memphis - IMO the #2 RB in the class 131. Kaden Smith, TE, Stanford - Big TE with good hands, didn't test well at the combine but looks better on tape IMO 147. Stanley Morgan Jr., WR, Nebraska - I have him pegged around the #5 WR in the class 158. Derrick Baity, CB, Kentucky - Think his skillset is perfect for this defense 181. Ben Burr-Kirven, LB, Washington - A depth pick here, undersized but solid LB 225. Tyre Brady, WR, Marshall - Like Stanley Morgan, I have him pegged in my top 5 WRs in this draft class, though he ran a slow 40 at his Pro Day unfortunately 228. Will Harris, S, Boston College - Been one of the leaders of one of the best secondaries in the country; good awareness and good athleticism but lacks playmaking skills.
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With all the moves, I'm now conflicted at 9
DCOrange replied to Virgil's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Howard was literally like the #1 or #2 TE in the league according to PFF. He just happened to get hurt but he was playing great outside of the injury. -
KR/WR Andre Roberts (Jets) to Bills
DCOrange replied to FluffHead's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Just being realistic, the Bills will almost certainly keep 5 or 6 WRs on the roster with Roberts included. 3 of those spots are now spoken for via our free agent signings. I personally think Foster's spot should be relatively safe while Zay's should not be safe, but it seems that people expect both of them to be on the roster. That gets us to 5 without including Duke, McKenzie, or any rookies. My main point isn't even about specifically a WR, it's about spending a roster spot on a guy that just doesn't make much of an impact. No kick returner in today's NFL really makes a significant impact, Roberts included. The vast majority of kicks and punts are not returned at all. Even with Roberts in New York, 68% of the Jets punts were touchbacks or fair catches. We're talking about roughly 1 or 2 punt returns per game for Roberts. Because of how few opportunities a punt returner gets over the course of a season, the difference between the #1 punt returner (Roberts last year) and a league average punt returner is basically one single return that happens to be a big play. Roberts himself has jumped back and forth from elite to below average over the past 5 years. I just don't think it makes logical sense to spend a roster spot essentially on one big play in a season that he may or may not even make. -
KR/WR Andre Roberts (Jets) to Bills
DCOrange replied to FluffHead's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Kick returns might literally be legislated out of the game within the next year or two and even without that happening, the % of touchbacks and kick returns that only get to the 25 anyways makes kick returners mostly negligible. As for punt returns, both the Jets and Bills had roughly 20-25 punt returns last year. I just don't think it's worth a roster spot or money for someone that will rarely ever do anything and the idea of it costing us a shot at a legitimate starting WR in the draft just makes me sad. -
KR/WR Andre Roberts (Jets) to Bills
DCOrange replied to FluffHead's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Typing from my phone so not gonna be able to provide the links and everything, but per Football Outsiders, Roberts incredible season added 22 points above the average with his kick and punt returns. Buffalo was at -9 points so if Roberts plays at his peak level again (which I think is highly unlikely), you’re talking about roughly a 30 point increase or a little less than 2 points per game. It’s just not a big difference maker. I’d rather use that roster spot to carry, for example, a rookie WR in this very deep class, and have someone go out and just take a touchback on every kick. Go Syracuse! -
Draft Network: Christian Wilkins 5-Play Scouting Report
DCOrange replied to DCOrange's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Yep, my thoughts basically mirror both of your posts. I rate Oliver higher but I'll be happy with Wilkins too and as I mentioned in the OP, I expect McD to want Wilkins pretty badly. I don't necessarily think Wilkins ceiling is low but I do think Oliver's is higher. -
With all the moves, I'm now conflicted at 9
DCOrange replied to Virgil's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I view Oliver as the likely BPA at #9. I view Quinnen as the #1 prospect in the draft and think he'll be gone in the top 2. He's the only prospect in the draft that I would consider moving up for if he slid outside the top 5. -
https://thedraftnetwork.com/articles/5-play-prospect--clemson-idl-christian-wilkins Can't help but read this excerpt and feel like this is 100% the guy that McDermott wants at #9.
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KR/WR Andre Roberts (Jets) to Bills
DCOrange replied to FluffHead's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I don't know what the contract is, but I'm pretty disappointed with this one. I think having an open roster spot is more valuable than signing a kick returner personally. Roberts had a year that he almost certainly will not be able to replicate for us, and even then, had a minuscule impact for the Jets. He isn't much more valuable than just having someone take a touchback on every kickoff. I'll be pretty upset if his presence results in Buffalo not drafting one or two WRs in this year's draft, and it appears that's where this is headed. -
KR/WR Andre Roberts (Jets) to Bills
DCOrange replied to FluffHead's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
From this perspective, my bias aside, I think Syracuse's Jamal Custis would make some sense. He's not quite the physical freak that DK Metcalf is, but he played the same role in Syracuse's offense as Metcalf did while also providing tantalizing physical traits (see his spider web relative to Metcalf below). He was also a very good special teamer, playing as the gunner for Syracuse. Custis was a late bloomer and his hands were pretty inconsistent, which have both played a factor in his relatively low draft stock, but with his physical traits and his abilities as a vertical threat, there's some potential there for him to develop into a good WR while playing a special teams role in the meantime. Might be a solid Day 3 investment if Buffalo is interested in the idea of a player like Metcalf but doesn't want him at #9. -
A lot of Competition at WR For The Bills in 2019
DCOrange replied to BillyWhiteShows's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I’m confident that Brown, Beasley, Roberts, and Foster will be on the 53 man roster. IMO, Zay and McKenzie are in that bottom group with Duke and company competing for the final spot. Edit: At least, this is my thought before seeing Roberts' contract, but it seems relatively safe. -
Kinda funny that they sign him after everyone was using McKinnon’s deal as the framework for Tevin but makes sense with Shanahan there.
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Bills did not Tender Logan Thomas Now a UFA
DCOrange replied to MAJBobby's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
We’ll almost certainly draft a TE but I think this means we sign another TE too. Would think we want more than 3 roster-capable TEs heading into training camp. -
Do you really need to have a top tier #1 WR to be successful?
DCOrange replied to Magox's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Doesn't need to be an elite #1 guy, but probably needs to be better than John Brown. -
What if Metcalf is BPA at draft time?
DCOrange replied to Toledo Bill's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I don't think he'll be IMO the BPA at #9, but I do have him like #6 or 7 on my big board so he could be. These FA signings should have zero impact on our willingness to draft him. If they're as high on him as I am, he could be the best WR on this roster from Day 1 with a far higher ceiling than any of these guys. -
Predict the next Bills UFA/Trade signing
DCOrange replied to N.Y. Orangeman's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
LB Bruce Carter, Craig Hodges, or Will Compton -
No. But he'd still be a decent buy-low candidate.
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WR Cole Beasley (Dallas) to the Bills
DCOrange replied to FluffHead's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The only way this deal doesn't end up being good is if he's lost a step with his age. Otherwise his skillset is exactly what this team needs in a slot WR. -
On a one-year deal no less lol
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Bills one of 6 teams in on Leveon Bell
DCOrange replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Yes, especially if it only costs $11-12 million as Breer is speculating. Hell, the Bills could clear roughly that much space just by cutting players they don’t need in the event that they sign Bell. -
Bills one of 6 teams in on Leveon Bell
DCOrange replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Based on his Twitter profile, it looks like he started following players from each of the 6 teams that were originally mentioned as possibilities despite it sounding like the Jets are the only one really pursuing him at this time. -
WR John Brown (Ravens) to the Bills
DCOrange replied to blacklabel's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It was 14-0 at half and Flacco still threw it almost 40 times. -
Bills one of 6 teams in on Leveon Bell
DCOrange replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
That's the "Jets getting played" part -
Bills one of 6 teams in on Leveon Bell
DCOrange replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
If this is true (and while JLC is pretty spotty in general, he is connected in the DMV area), either the Jets are getting played or someone else is negotiating with Bell and wants it to be kept quiet.