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DCOrange

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Everything posted by DCOrange

  1. Nobody else is going to mention the idea that a 3rd round slot WR can be an AB type player, who doesn’t even play in the slot and is one of the best WRs of all time?
  2. Would be a fine pickup but you gotta remember we have to make an offer that Cleveland isn’t interested in. Would probably be a decent overpay plus giving up a pick. Idk if he’s really worth it.
  3. I'd be fine with it. Think Buffalo looks to address this spot in the draft instead though.
  4. Seems like a pretty smart trade for both sides really. Zeitler and Will Hernandez (and Solder if god forbid he gets it back together) is a pretty solid nucleus for what has been a terrible OLine in the past.
  5. That's totally fair to not want him for those reasons, though I think he has far more agility than his combine tests where he slipped would suggest. He was definitely utilized as basically a two trick pony in college though, either running fly routes or comeback routes.
  6. Metcalf was pretty productive before he had even turned 20 with 646 yards and 7 TDs as a redshirt freshman (the equivalent of an 860 yard/9 TD season in the NFL). His dominator rating (his proportion of yards/TDs compared to the team as a whole) was over 20%, which is considered the "breakout" point. His breakout age lines up with Calvin Johnson, Julio Jones, and Josh Gordon. His final year, he was on pace for 1,275 yards and 11 TDs prior to his injury, which would have basically been on par with Calvin Johnson's final season and better than both Julio and Gordon. His overall dominator rating pales in comparison to Calvin (which might be the highest dominator rating ever), but it's in line with Julio and exceeds Josh Gordon. These are generally some of the best indicators of success in the NFL and he has checked all of those boxes. You can see how he compares to the rest of the draft class below:
  7. It's not just tackle and guard for Jonah; some scouts believe he's best suited to play Center and I read somewhere that Alabama viewed him as a Center when they got him, but felt that putting him in as a tackle was the best way to utilize all of the talent that they had. Neither of these guys are my preferred options at #9, but if forced to choose, I think I'd lean towards Williams due to the versatility.
  8. I highly, highly doubt Beane trades for Brown after putting out the statement he did. Also seems like he pretty much had to say something considering the legs that this grew. Acquiring a player of Brown's stature would be a seismic huge deal and if it was actually never close to happening, it was obviously best to put a statement out there rather than letting fans continue to frenzy.
  9. I don't think that's really true to be honest. Buffalo needs multiple impact WRs this offseason and Brown was one option for a relatively cheap acquisition (in terms of what they give up). It would have allowed them to focus on other positions first and circle back to a WR in the 3rd-4th round range. Now they're back in desperation mode again.
  10. Yeah, I can't think of any good reason why people would think Buffalo would be interested in a big name WR...
  11. That's not really true; his stats are actually pretty much in line with all of the good prospects that he's been compared to; it's just clouded a bit because he got hurt (which is a legitimate concern, but you and I simply won't have access to the medical reports that Buffalo will have). Probably doesn't matter ultimately though; I don't think Metcalf will be available at #9 after the AB trade fell through. Teams will know that Buffalo wants a WR so if anyone is interested, they'll know to jump in front of Buffalo.
  12. In the very least, this showed Buffalo’s cards. Beane and McD have been trying to downplay their interest in a #1 WR. I don’t think that’s believable after this, which means teams that might be interested in DK Metcalf will probably try to trade up ahead of Buffalo/means if Buffalo does want Metcalf, they probably have to trade up at this point (which I would not be in favor of even if I like him a lot).
  13. Ed Oliver and DK Metcalf are my preferred options at this point but I wouldn’t be mad at basically any of the directions they seem likely to go. Montez Sweat, Brian Burns, Jawaan Taylor, etc. it’s all fine to me.
  14. I don’t think his acceleration or agility are special at all; not even sure it’s average relative to NFL WRs to be honest. But I’m also just referring to getting open on routes. That’s completely different from a kickoff return or a screen pass. He “separates” in that first clip because the guy falls over. If he can run through guys in the NFL to the point that they fall over, that’s great, but that’s not really what I’m talking about when I’m talking about getting separation on his routes. But again, getting open isn’t really going to be in a highlight package anyways so it’s not that big of a deal that it’s missing from this video. I do think that’s a weakness of his in general though. He relies on making contested catches for most of his production. It’s a good skill to have, but like I said, I think guys like Arcega-Whiteside and Harmon and possibly Butler can provide that a round later. I still have Harry rated as my #3 WR so I’d be fine with taking him in the 2nd round but I’m not sure he’s available there and even if he is, I’m not sure he’s the best value play. Still a good prospect though.
  15. https://theathletic.com/849173/2019/03/07/teds-film-room-post-combine-top-five-big-receivers-rankings/ Pretty good read for those that have a subscription to The Athletic. If you don't, I'm happy to post some snippets on request. The author, Ted Nguyen, is a film junkie that generally focuses on the Raiders but in this case, took a look at the WR draft class. For this article, he focused on his top 5 "big" WRs, basically guys that he expects to play on the outside in the NFL. WRs that he provided scouting reports on (ranked in order from best to worst): Outside WRs: 1. Hakeem Butler - Top 10 pick 2. DK Metcalf - Top 15 pick 3. JJ Arcega-Whiteside - 2nd rounder 4. Miles Boykin - 2nd-3rd rounder 5. N'Keal Harry - 2nd-3rd rounder
  16. I do still like him, and granted it's highlights so it'll tend to be more about the contested catches than anything else, but he didn't really show any separation skills in this video. I don't think he's as stiff a route runner as some say, but I think his ability to get separation is a larger concern than it is for DK, who has similarly been attacked over that. I think Kelvin Harmon and JJ Arcega-Whiteside are similar prospects that can be had maybe a round later than Harry.
  17. Count me among those that doesn't have interest in this guy. The FA market being as weak as it is is going to make almost none of these free agent WRs worth the money. If you can sign one of them to a short-term deal, then I'm fine with it, but they're basically all going to be overpaid on an annual cost basis. My preferred option with the WRs is to let other teams blow their load early on and then swoop in after the spending spree is over and sign a couple guys to relatively cheap deals. The ones I have my eye on in this regard are: Jermaine Kearse Phillip Dorsett JJ Nelson ArDarius Stewart Randall Cobb/Cole Beasley/Jamison Crowder (I think one of these three will slip through the cracks as the other slot guys get paid)
  18. He was already being mocked around the top 10-15 prior to the combine, with a few people pegging him as the Bills' pick. Seems like after the combine, people don't really expect him to make it to 9, but if he does, then that's basically where people had always expected him to go. I think the main argument against drafting him (outside of the injuries which the Bills will obviously know far more about than any of us) is the fact that the WR class is so deep. Even if Metcalf is a better prospect than all the other WRs (which I think he is), you could pretty strongly argue that it's a better value play to just wait until the 2nd or 3rd round to get a WR while addressing other position/s in the first round or two. As far as production goes, he basically checked that box already. He was a significant player for Ole Miss before he had even turned 20 years old, which is generally a very good sign for a WR prospect. In his final year, he was on pace for roughly 1,275 yards and 11 TDs before he got injured. At that point, AJ Brown was projected to have like 50 more yards but "only" 8 TDs (which is still good), so they were basically neck and neck in terms of production despite the fact that as the underneath option, AJ received far more targets. Based on Metcalf's skillset, I think he could be utilized more in the NFL than he was in college, but I also think the basic framework of the Ole Miss offense (despite it being pretty rudimentary) is more or less what Buffalo could go for and would be highly valuable to have. Ole Miss basically sent Metcalf and DeMarkus Lodge deep every play while AJ worked underneath. This basically forced defenses to play two safeties deep because Metcalf and Lodge were so dominant down the field, thus opening up a ton of space for their run game and AJ's short range passes to be effective. It's not hard to picture the Bills doing the same with Robert Foster and Metcalf going deep all the time and opening things up for whoever their slot WR or TE ends up being, not to mention the run game as well as Allen's run game specifically. Metcalf has the potential to turn into the go-to guy for an offense, but in the very least, his size and athleticism opposite Foster would be a huge game changer for the offense IMO.
  19. Sounds like Preston Williams is absolutely bombing his Pro Day. His draft stock was already on the decline and this will not help.
  20. Not including the QBs, I have: Quinnen Williams Ed Oliver Nick Bosa Devin White Josh Allen DK Metcalf Rashan Gary Josh Jacobs Clelin Ferrell Christian Wilkins
  21. Do you have a source on this? Based on Spotrac (see below), it looks like it's starting DT money. Of course, it's possible (I haven't seen it declared otherwise yet) that the $4.5 mil is with incentives that he may or may not be likely to hit and that the real deal is lower than that, but for now, it does look like a bit of an overpay (though I don't think it matters much since it's a one-year deal). https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/rankings/cap-hit/defensive-tackle/
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