DCOrange

Sure, but we'd laugh because we don't care about the other team's next 15 games; we only care that we stole the first one. Moving the ball on a consistent basis in week 1 is much more promising than a couple flukey turnovers are concerning.

Yeah, this is where I'm at. Kinda weird that he thinks Allen is that bad of a fantasy option though; I think he's pretty clearly going to be on the fringe of a top 12 fantasy guy this year.

I think the process is actually a lot more important than the results when you're talking about a sample size of one game. Moving the ball is more important than actually scoring because moving the ball suggests that the scores will come and will be repeatable. Obviously if it's week 17 and the Bills are still turning it over 4+ times per game, it doesn't matter if they moved the ball or not, but for Week 1 of the NFL season, moving the ball is probably more important for the rest of the season than some likely flukey turnovers are. Of course it's entirely possible that the Bills ability to move the ball so easily ends up being a fluke too, but the specific turnovers that we had yesterday almost certainly are.

Kyler has everything you’d ever want in a QB. He’s gonna be a star if he stays healthy. Really special talent.

This was from last year. Also, I wouldn’t be surprised if the pass were picked off had he thrown it. I feel like the guy underneath might have been able to jump it if he threw it at that point.

Yes, but the point is that he's not facing 8+ in the box on the overwhelming majority of his runs. Do you think the defense is just guessing wrong and stacking the box on all the pass plays or do you think, maybe, just maybe, that they just don't stack the box against Dallas all that much with or without Zeke?

FPI has Buffalo rated tied for the 6th best defense in the league. However, Buffalo is tied for 9th worst special teams and the 3rd worst offense, ahead of only Miami and Arizona. Also, it should be noted that prior to the start of the regular season, the biggest factor in FPI ratings are Vegas odds, which as we all know, don't have Buffalo rated highly this year. Other factors include returning starters (offense is pretty much brand new, so that probably cancels out a lot of the talent upgrade) and the remaining starters were average or worse last year. Knowing the criteria that they use, it shouldn't be surprising that the offense is graded particularly poorly.

Zeke was 20th out of 55 qualifying runners in the league in terms of how often he faced 8+ in the box last year, meaning he was basically average in that regard. He was behind guys like Royce Freeman, Alfred Morris, Austin Ekeler, Sony Michel, Dion Lewis, and Elijah McGuire. There isn't really much evidence that teams key on him any more than they do anyone else, and there also isn't really much evidence to suggest that teams stack the box against the best RBs in general, as the following RBs faced 8+ in the box less than the average RB: Alvin Kamara Christian McCaffrey Dalvin Cook Adrian Peterson (which is just really odd considering how bad the rest of the team was last year) LeSean McCoy Joe Mixon Kareem Hunt and 3rd least in the league: Todd Gurley

Think this sums up my thoughts well:

Yeah, he can handle a lot of touches. That's cool and all, but I can get 3 RBs for far less money that can do that too. I'd take almost any other team's RB situation over the Cowboys, especially considering the OLine Dallas has. Correlation =/= Causation. These stats are purely correlation. Teams only get 100 yard rushers these days when they're running the clock out with a lead. On the flipside, you're more likely to accrue more passing yards when you're playing catch up.

Yes, but you said he accounted for the majority of the team's yards when it was actually a very small fraction and nowhere remotely close to a majority.

The fact that the compromise was Dallas giving him MORE money in order to have him locked up for 8 years instead of a sane number is crazy. He accounted for less than 15% of the team's yards last year.

McCoy finished better than 5th on the team in receiving yards once, and that was because we arguably had the worst group of receivers in the league. Even then, he still managed to finish 5th last year when that was still the case.

I think Zeke was overpaid on his rookie contract, much less the one he just signed. Was a stupid draft pick at the time and is a stupid signing now.

Whatever the guaranteed amount is is probably still too much by a wide margin.

I think Brissett will play well statistically and the Colts will be in the hunt for the AFC South title.

I moved down to DC a few years back and finally made my way to Baltimore for the first time earlier this summer. We were only hanging around the waterfront area, but that area was really nice. Definitely hoping to go back again soon.

Not sure I'd be willing to do it if I were in their shoes but: It's the GM's 4th year in the role. He might not get a 5th if the season is a disaster as it appears likely to be. Clowney is only 26. He fits the timeline of a rebuilding team and will likely outplay whatever draft pick compensation they need to surrender to acquire him/outplay his next contract. At the same time, he probably won't be such a difference maker as to take them out of the running for a great QB prospect this year.

I don't think you have to worry about that. There's no chance that Disney makes their heroine evil. At best you might get her "going bad" very briefly to undermine the First Order from the other side or something. More likely IMO, this is just a vision seen through the eyes of Kylo or a test for herself similar to when Luke saw himself as Vader.

I totally understand why people would dislike Rodgers' personality. There's absolutely nothing wrong with his take on the Luck/fans booing thing though. He's 100% correct that those fans are idiots.

I honestly think fantasy talk is more interesting than a lot of regular sports talk. At least the fantasy stuff gets you some interesting stats that you wouldn't hear otherwise. I'd rather listen to that than listening to the Skip Baylesses and Stephen A Smith's of the world.

I expect to land somewhere in the 6-9 win range. I voted 8-9.

I'd be pretty shocked if any of these guys make All-Pro this year. If I had to pick somebody, I guess I'd go with White, but I don't actually believe that.

I don't think he's been that caliber of pass-rusher to this point in his NFL career. He's been a pretty good pass-rusher and a great run-defender. Still a very good player overall though, though there's always the question of how he'd look if he didn't have Watt across from him.

What adjustment do you think they would have made? I doubt they like any of the options out there more than Brissett anyway and they might be perfectly fine with Chad Kelly being their backup. And by all accounts, the Colts were aware that he was considering retirement so if they thought they weren't prepared, they should have made a move already.