DCOrange

They look fine to me except for the black one

There's almost always a surprise loss and a surprise win. For me, the surprise win is Pittsburgh, surprise loss is Miami on the road. I think Baltimore is likely better than Buffalo and view Denver as being roughly the same tier (unless Allen makes a big leap in Year 2 which can't be ruled out).

I don't really view it as an easier schedule. We're swapping out: Jaguars - bad Colts - good Texans - meh Packers - meh Vikings - meh Bears - good Lions - bad Chargers - good for Cowboys - good Eagles - good Giants - bad Redskins - bad Browns - good Steelers - good Bengals - bad Broncos - meh And I think the Jets improvement and Dolphins decline are roughly a wash. Also figure McCoy's decline likely continues, and while the Bills have upgraded pretty significantly offensively, it's still probably among the worst group of weapons in the league and a roughly average OLine with solid depth.

Haha, I'm sorry to be that guy. I just don't want to bake in a huge improvement from Josh Allen. I love him and certainly hope he makes the leap this season, but that's the only way I see the records that everyone else seems to be predicting right now. I may feel differently depending on how the draft works out.

Home: Dolphins - win Patriots - loss Jets - win Ravens - loss Bengals - win Eagles - loss Redskins - win Broncos - loss 4-4 Away: Dolphins - loss Patriots - loss Jets - loss Steelers - win Browns - loss Giants - win Cowboys - loss Titans - win 3-5 7-9 overall record

It's because fans are obsessed with learning about who their team might end up with and aren't patient enough to just wait and see.

I had 6 exactly right and 1 (Josh Allen) where I had him going to the Bills but had us trading up to 10 to get him rather than 7.

I am pretty much always on the "do not trade up" bandwagon. Quinnen is the only guy this year that makes me remotely consider it. Best prospect in the draft and best DT prospect to come around since at least Suh if not Sapp IMO.

As one poster alluded to already, Tyre Brady is the one for me. I have him ranked as the #4 or 5 WR in the class. I also would like Matt Colburn, RB from Wake Forest, as a UDFA. I don’t expect him to be drafted but he’s a talented all around back IMO. Darwin Thompson (Utah State) and James Williams (Washington State) are two other RBs that probably go around the 5th or 6th that have some promising tape and numbers. Lastly, I like Jonathan Ledbetter from Georgia as a big DE prospect and CB Derrick Baity from Kentucky if he lasts that long. Edit: I don’t feel as passionately about them as I do Tyre Brady, but two other WRs I like late in the draft are Jamal Custis (Syracuse) and Olamide Zaccheaus (Virginia). FWIW, my deep sleepers last year were Levi, Josh Adams (started down the stretch for Philly), Trey Quinn (expected to start for Washington this year), Martez Carter (don’t think he stuck on anyone’s roster), and Luis Perez (I think someone will scoop him up this offseason now that AAF is over). I say all this to say that I’m probably due to be wrong about all these guys this year lol

Duke is good and all, but without restructuring his contract, you're paying a guy starting caliber money in 2019 to likely be marginalized with McCoy and Gore playing and then paying him like a roughly top 10 RB after that. It's pretty steep for a guy that's probably best suited as a 3rd down back. Didn't he want to move to being a slot WR last we heard from Duke or am I misremembering that?

Of course, there's different tiers of prospects within each round.

It's really just semantics, but I would argue that a slam dunk 1st rounder =/= a first round grade; it's something more than that IMO. And I agree that "anyone who is in the top 32 on my big board is a first round grade" is wrong. That shouldn't be the case every season. But just logically speaking, if the idea of a first round grade is truly based on being a first round caliber pick, then in the very least, the original year that that grade was introduced should have had the same number of first round grades as there were first round picks since you were literally creating the idea of a first round caliber prospect around that year's draft. Anyways, it doesn't really mean anything; I just always get sort of a chuckle out of everyone saying there's only roughly 20 first caliber players in the draft every single year.

Of the guys that seem to be on the radar at #9, there aren't a lot of guys I'd be unhappy to have. My main thing is that I do not want to trade up; the only player that I think is semi-defensible to trade up for is Quinnen Williams, but even that would be tough for me. If we stay at #9, the one I'm most wary of would be Greedy (just because I don't think we really need him) and TJ Hockenson (I think he's a good prospect but much like RBs, taking a TE in the top 10 just isn't good value. 10-3 Kentucky seems like a weird inclusion on this list, especially considering they barely even pass the ball so to record sacks against them is impressive. Looking at Sweat's game log, it looks like roughly 56% of his sacks came against good offensive teams or teams like Kentucky where they were good overall teams that generally didn't throw the ball much. Compare that to someone like Nick Bosa who had fewer sacks and only around 47% of his sacks in 2017 would have fallen into one of those two categories. Per PFF, if we look at guys that are projected to go in the first couple rounds of the draft, Sweat ranks #2 or #3 in pass rush productivity depending on if you think Jaylon Ferguson is a 1st or 2nd round pick (which is probably in question after his testing numbers). Sweat is also #1 in run stop percentage even if we include the entire draftable database regardless of where they're expected to be drafted.

This isn't a shot at you, just always something I've found interesting. Literally every draft analyst seems to say the same thing; that they've never had 32 first round grades in a draft. I feel like by that logic, the definition of a 1st round grade is too strict. For the concept of a first round grade to work, there should be some draft in the history of scouting that had 32 first round grades. If that has never actually occurred, then I don't think that is really a first round grade; it's something with a higher threshold than that. Again, not a shot at you and I don't mean that every draft should have 32 of them; I just think we're mislabeling the grades if there's never been a draft with 32 first round grades (or 30 or however many teams there were when people first began doing this). Anywho, good work on the mock. I'd love the Oliver pick. I won't bother nitpicking until we get closer to the draft

Brings back memories from a few weeks ago when people were giving me crap for saying the over under would probably be 5.5-6.5.

Just on the off chance that this is a legitimate question, Oats is already gone. He is Alabama's coach now.

Wow that's so strange lol

Are you trying to imply that you think they're lying about who their relatives are or is this just really weirdly phrased?

I only know this because I've seen his comments on Rumblings...me and him were both very low on Rosen going into the draft and remain low on him. I had him as a late 1st round type prospect; Jeff didn't even consider him to be a first round guy.

Yep

Hearing we might have one or two transfers leaving the team this offseason. Neither guy I’m hearing about would be much of a loss; would basically just give us additional scholarships to use which we need with zero seniors on next year’s team.

One team signed Waiters to a contract the offseason that every team lost their minds and now they can’t get rid of him

All 30 NBA teams would take Grant over Waiters without giving it any thought. I don’t think any team would consider them to be close.

I think almost all of them have made the right decision for themselves, or in the one case that I thought it was a poor decision (Jerami Grant), he ended up panning out after 4+ years in the league and is now the best SU alum in the league right now. Brissett stands almost no chance of being drafted though, so if that's fine with him, it is what it is I guess.