DCOrange

It’s pretty simple why. The only better metrics out there for measuring accuracy are stuck behind pay walls so people make do with the best they can.

Tory Woodbury. I remember playing with him in old Madden games and then he ended up in Bills training camp one year and I basically just went and hung out with him while everyone else was pursuing the notable players for autographs.

I tend to think this isn't a big loss. Anyways, best of luck to him. I hope he can find a role for himself in the NBA.

Is this all that different from what we did with Whaley?

Sweet. I split an Athletic subscription with a few friends of mine to keep the individual cost done and it's well-worth it for us.

Stanley Morgan as a UDFA to Cinci is a big steal IMO; I think he was one of the best WRs in the draft. DK in the late 2nd was huge too. Think us getting Ford in the 2nd was also a big steal.

Again, this is based on Super Bowl Odds in Vegas. Until the games get played and Buffalo hopefully isn’t terrible, they’re going to be mocked at the top of the draft.

I don’t know that this is the year it pays off, but this roster is shaping up to be very good relative to the past decade of Bills teams. Still not all that confident it turns into a winning record or playoff football, but if Allen takes a big leap in year 2, I think that’ll be enough to get there. I’m just not ready to assume that improvement even if I like him a lot as a prospect.

Their draft order is based on Vegas’ super bowl odds. It has nothing to do with how good they think each team is.

If I remember correctly, those were the CBS and PFF mocks. CBS is notoriously terrible with their draft coverage. PFF is good but at that point in the process, their mocks are (I think) based on what they would personally do; not what they believe teams will actually do. And as I mentioned throughout the year, this year's WR class was insanely deep. For awhile, people had Johnson pegged in the 5-10 range as far as WRs go while others had him outside the top 25 WRs. Eventually almost everyone moved him down into the 20's.

I kinda understand it. The Z and slot spots are pretty well stocked at this point and this draft was pretty weak on X guys after DK Metcalf. I still would have liked to take one, but it’s not the end of the world.

Hodge’s limitations are even worse IMO. Linebacker that runs a slower than 5 second 40 is death.

Interesting they felt the need to trade up with him and Risner both on the board. OLine is nowhere near as deep as WR in this draft, so it makes sense from that perspective despite my love for DK.

I'm fairly certain that this year's mock will end up being the best, which would make him #1 two of the past three years, and Walter was like #2 or #3 the one year that Charlie wasn't the best. Their website is an atrocity to read and Walter is a terrible person, but Charlie Campbell has some serious connections in the NFL.

FWIW, considering Charlie Campbell got a crazy 11 picks right last night (without even attempting to guess at trades for that matter), for tonight he has Buffalo taking Riley Ridley at 40 and Yodny Cajuste at 74. Has 4 WRs being taken in the 33-39 range before it gets to us.

As much as the Ole Miss offense didn't help DK to develop his skills, it was a picture perfect fit for AJ Brown. They basically had DK and Lodge going deep every play, and they both demanded safety attention, so it allowed AJ a ton of space over the middle of the field to work, and with his body, he was a mismatch for basically every nickel back in college. I think he could be utilized similarly in Buffalo with the speed that we have on the outside, but I also think that the space that we should have over the middle will make it relatively easy to plug-and-play in the slot rather than investing multiple 2nd round picks (AJ, Zay) and free agent dollars (Beasley) in that spot. As low as I am on Zay, I think he can do a lot of what AJ would do here. Having said that, I wouldn't be surprised if McBeane value AJ more than I do; he's just not really a guy I'm personally interested in.

I have a weird feeling that we take a safety. Can't help but think it's kind of weird that we brought Chauncey Gardner-Johnson and Juan Thornhill in for official visits and those two are both perfect fits in this defense in the same way that Micah Hyde was/is and Hyde's contract has an out at the end of this season.

DK is roughly 1-2 years younger than most of the other WR prospects; he was just 19 when he put up those 650 yards. That's very rare; ranked in the 72nd percentile of NFL receivers in terms of his breakout age. So while the numbers itself aren't that big (besides this most recent season when he was on pace for over 1000 yards), he's shown promise at a younger age than most of the other guys in this class. Combine that with his size/speed, ability to beat press coverage (which might be the best in the class), and his sheer acceleration (most big guys that are fast take awhile to get up to top speed, whereas his 10-yard split relative to his size is the best we've seen in at least a decade), and you have as good a deep threat as we've seen in quite some time who also has two years to catch up to his peers in the categories that he's currently lacking in. And in the case of the Bills specifically, there's very few WRs in this draft that make sense as a fit in the X spot in the offense. It's basically DK, Harmon, Arcega-Whiteside, Boykin, and then a guy like Jamal Custis late on Day 3, so he fits a need that very few other WRs can fit while also being a very good prospect regardless of fit IMO.

The thing is, nobody on our team really makes sense lining up on the line of scrimmage. Brown, Beasley, and Zay in particular are pretty much only effective if they can line up off the line so that they can't be pressed. I'm not really sure about Foster off the top of my head; I remember him beating press at least sometimes but I don't know how often that really was. DK is maybe the best in the draft class at beating press coverage. So while he's a deep threat like Brown/Foster are, he brings something to the table that nobody on the team is currently capable of (besides maybe Foster; like I said, I'm not sure about him).

Literally all of those teams besides maybe Oakland could easily justify taking a WR.

My guess would be that they sit back at 40 and let a good player fall to them, though I think I've made it pretty clear by now that I personally would want to move up for DK.While my top 5 WRs are all still available, he's the only one that I think is a no-brainer starter from Day 1 (assuming his medicals have checked out) simply because there's no real competition as the X receiver. They can take someone like Deebo Samuel, who I personally have as the #2 WR in the draft, and he might be able to line up as the X, but he's on the smaller side as far as X's go and most seem to think he makes more sense in the slot where he'd be competing with Beasley and Zay for playing time. Likewise for AJ Brown, who isn't in my top 5, but very well may be in Buffalo's.At the end of the day, guys that without diving into it too much would seemingly fit needs are (in order of their draft grade on NFL.com:1. Jawaan Taylor 2. DK3. Greedy4. Parris Campbell5. AJ Brown 6. Cody Ford 7. Dalton Risner 8. Deebo Samuel 9. Byron Murphy10. Chauncey Gardner-Johnson11. Irv Smith 12. Rock Ya-Sin 13. Greg Little14. Juan Thornhill15. Jaylon FergusonGuys in bold are the ones that I think at least loosely would be a good fit, though like I mentioned, AJ Brown and Deebo aren't perfect fits the way DK is.I would think that Buffalo is very, very high on Risner, Byron Murphy, Irv Smith, Rock Ya-Sin, and Jaylon Ferguson in particular. I don't think we should really be taking a corner this high, but Murphy and Rock are basically perfect fits for McDermott's defense so I don't think they can be written off.

I had Quinnen and Bosa flipped so I didn't even get the first 3 exactly right. Ended up with 3 perfect matches on the night: Kyler, Devin White (who I think was pretty obvious), and Garrett Bradbury. I had 4 others where I got the correct player/team match, but they got them at a different spot than I expected (Haskins, Jacobs, Savage, and Daniel Jones). And then I had 3 additional guys where I had their draft position perfectly pegged but got the team wrong (Devin Bush, Christian Wilkins, and Montez Sweat). 24 of my guys ended up going in the 1st round with the outsiders being DK, Greedy, Rock Ya-Sin, Lock, AJ Brown, Cody Ford, and Deebo Samuel. I got 16/32 team/position combos correctly, which I feel like is pretty solid until I look at WalterFootball's Charlie Campbell who had ELEVEN perfect picks (and 12 if you include he had Houston taking Tytus Howard in the 2nd round). At the end of the day, we came away with my #1 hopeful choice at #9 and the #2 choice (DK) is still available. On top of DK being available, my entire top 5 WRs are all available; needless to say, I'm very happy with how things are situated right now. I'd probably be trying to trade up for DK at this point (assuming the medicals aren't an issue, which, who knows?) just because I think he fits a need at WR in a way that none of the other WRs I'm high on do, but I would guess that Beane sees all the receiving talent still out there and doesn't feel much pressure to move up.

Yep. Had the #1 guy I was hoping for fall to us and now all 5 of my top 5 WRs are still available for Day 2, including my #2 choice at pick #9.

All 5 of my top 5 WRs in the draft are still available so that’s nice.

Really hoping for a trade up for DK at this point but there’s a ton of talent left. We should be very happy with who is available at 40 if we stay there.