DCOrange

There's nothing wrong with a power run in a short yardage situation. The issue is that Allen fumbled it, and as he has shown since the moment he became a starter, he's capable of doing that on any play.

Yeah this was the other one. They showed two angles at the game and both looked like the ball might have started to come loose on the way down but definitely didn't come out until after he was down. My cousin was watching at home and said it couldn't have been a more obvious fumble based on what they showed at home.

Yeah that’s what I thought too. I was so certain it wasn’t going to count that I just looked down in disappointment the moment I realized Singletary was going to score because I knew it wouldn’t count.

The refs said that he threw the challenge flag after the ball was snapped. I was at the game today and didn’t think that was true, but that’s what the ref said at the game.

And the couple years prior.

This and the fact that Gore is trusted more to run North-South is why he plays more than Singletary.

He’s 3rd in targets in an offense that calls passing plays more than almost anyone in the NFL despite not being dependable to catch the ball.

Knox has been emphasized plenty; maybe more than he should be. Running game might be a deserved complaint but I’m also not sad that we’re among the leaders in % of offense plays that are called passes. That’s where the league is moving and that’s where we should want to be IMO especially considering our emphasis on short easy completions. Allen’s just making too many mistakes still/the offensive isn’t very talented.

Against a team that’s laughably bad against the pass and pretty good against the run. Also we had more than 12 called runs. The called QB runs are a part of the run game too even if you don’t like taking advantage of one of the QB’s biggest strengths.

Evans is at least not on his rookie contract anymore, but yeah, I would be genuinely shocked if they traded him either (unless they got like multiple first round picks or close to it). If you think Tampa wants to move on from Jameis, it would make sense for them to keep both of them so that their new QB has arguably the best WR duo in the league to work with (especially considering they have nobody behind them at the WR position). If you think they might still have faith in Jameis, it would make sense for them to keep both so that they can continue trying to get the absolute best out of him.

Tampa is not about to trade their breakout star.

I listed some guys that I would think are available earlier, but more to the point of who I would target (assuming no big names), I'd potentially be eye-balling the following: Corey Davis - not sure he's actually available/might be too big of a name for this list, but I'd definitely be pursuing him Donte Moncrief - Was quickly buried in Pittsburgh, but he's been solid for some other teams and can easily get out of his contract at the end of the year if it doesn't work out Marqise Lee - Think this makes sense as a buy-low option. Another guy where you can get out of his contract at the end of the year if you aren't impressed but he's played at a much higher level than Moncrief in the past. Anthony Miller - I don't particular believe the rumors, but I've seen his name floated as potentially being available and I think that would be a no-brainer if it's true. Geronimo Allison - Free agent at the end of the year, seems like Lazard has surpassed him in Green Bay and I've heard they're interested in taking a swing at a bigger name WR in the trade market so I wouldn't be surprised if Geronimo is available.

I edited my post after the fact, but just for your awareness, Agholor's true catch rate per PlayerProfiler.com (receptions / catchable targets) the past two years has been 85.3% and 83.3% respectively. Basically puts him on par or better than all of the Bills receivers. He's definitely nothing special as a player, but he's a potential starting caliber guy for sure and Buffalo could definitely use another one of those.

To be clear, I wouldn't offer more than a Day 3 pick for him at this point. We'd essentially be just taking a flier to see if a change of scenery does him any good. Edit: FWIW, he's caught 25 of 30 catchable targets this year (83.3%). Bills target leaders: Beasley: 30/36 - 83.3% Brown: 33/39 - 84.6% Knox: 12/21 - 57% So he's actually right in line with our top guys and considering their respective average depth of target, he's ahead of Beasley (and obviously Knox).

I'm definitely a Paul Rudd fan in general, but FWIW, I enjoyed this show a lot. I don't really know how I would categorize it but it was good IMO.

Jameis isn't great, but he's roughly an average starting QB. He's not so bad that you can write off a disappointing Evans stat due to the presence of Jameis. In reality though, the reason Evans' catch rate is relatively low is because the throws that come his way are generally low probability throws. Deep balls in general are low-percentage; add in the fact that Evans tends to get contested deep balls and it makes it even more low percentage. He's still a great, possibly even elite WR though. Having said that, I highly highly doubt Tampa has any interest in trading him. Worst case scenario (from their point of view), him and Godwin are exactly what they want in place for a new QB next year. Best case scenario is that Jameis settles in the 2nd half of the year and they have a great offense and an average or below-average defense. If Buffalo wants to trade for a WR, I would think there's at least some chance of getting the following guys: Difference makers: AJ Green Corey Davis Under-the-radar: Marqise Lee Nelson Agholer Paul Richardson I'd be fine with taking a flier on any of these guys depending on the price.

I don't think Tampa would trade Evans, but if for some reason they did, he certainly wouldn't be a rent-a-player. He has 4 or 5 years left on his contract (which is probably one of the main reasons Tampa wouldn't trade him in the first place).

Nah I was weighting it for snap counts when I was doing it too. It's definitely something else.

I'm guessing it's one of two things (or possibly both): 1. I know they have "initial grades" that are released like the day after the game but then they go back and assign final grades later on (I think they watch each game multiple times or something, not entirely sure of their process), so it's possible that the grades that they tweet out are sometimes the initial rating and therefore throw things off if you plug those in as the grades for a given week. 2. As I mentioned, I kinda wonder if there's some sort of adjustment that occurs based on the level of competition. Not sure; that doesn't sound like the way PFF generally explains their grading process, but something definitely occurs that throws the math off. That's not throwing their own stats under the bus. Adjusted completion percentage is still just a completion percentage at the end of the day, and most logical people would agree that completion percentage does not necessarily mean a QB is accurate. PFF has advanced beyond that and now charts the final location of each pass relative to the receiver and defender (and I'm guessing/hoping they also account for whether or not the pass causes the receiver to slow down, if the receiver just takes a poor angle, etc.) to determine how accurate a pass is. It's two completely different things. Adjusted completion percentage is just telling you what a QB's completion percentage would be if you adjust for dropped passes, spikes, throwaways, and passes that are batted down at the line of scrimmage. Their newer accuracy ratings are actually indicative of how accurate a QB is.

Just FWIW, I tried to track it this way last year...PFF retroactively goes back and adjusts grades from prior games. I’m not sure why or when, maybe some sort of adjustment related to the level of competition as they learn more about each team, but for example, there were times last year where the only way Allen or Edmunds could have possibly jumped up the way they did is if they received a grade higher than 100, which isn’t possible. Or there were cases where PFF tweeted out their exact grade for a given week but the math wouldn’t add up.

They have Bridgewater ranked 14th now. Honestly probably higher than I would have expected. Brissett is indeed really low; I'd be curious to find out why as well. Guessing it might boil down to similar situation as Allen: very low % of "big time throws" relative to turnover-worthy throws.

I think each team would take the same guy they took before honestly. Not the order I would personally have taken them in, but I think each team likely feels like they've seen enough to be confident in their respective choices with the only exception being the Cardinals. So I guess: Browns - Baker Jets - Darnold Bills - Allen Cardinals - Lamar Ravens - Rosen

Packers, Saints, Eagles, Raiders, Us

Hey man, one of them was on The Bachelorette. No online girlfriends for him.

He's a better passer right now than Vick ever was IMO. Vick didn't really develop his passing skills at all until he got to Philly. In Atlanta he was almost entirely reliant on his running ability and his cannon of an arm. Lamar's pocket presence is already among the best in the league and his ability to read defenses already surpasses Vick pretty comfortably.