Cheektowaga Chad

Original poster generally seemed curious as to the base thought process, I tried my best to just deliver the base ideas

Your last line is what my last line is Yes each individual event is a 50/50, but as you add events probabilities/odds/chances do change The odds of flipping a coin 5 times and getting heads each time is something like 3%. I was trying to simplify a mathematical conversation on a football message board

Trubisky is honestly the perfect back up for this team but if he is traded cam isn't a terrible option If your back up has to play the rest of the season/playoffs your season is over with anyway no matter who your back up is The bills are near the point where to win a super bowl you want a back up QB to be able to win 1.5 playoff games (my opinion). I think Newton is a good option for that, not because he is good or will win us the games but because he can play a style and have a set game plan ready to go mid game. He gets into the game you go ball control, power sets QB run runs, short passes and you try to win the game by 3pts. Like the style of play fits the rest of the team(defense&special teams) I would much rather keep trubisky but I see the reasoning behind newton being a solid option

Trade allen for a boat load, build up the lines even more and really become a super bowl contender

Week 18, anything is possible. Just ask Matt Flynn. 1 game can get qbs paid

His name is Nick W. Bills fans do not like Nick W's

As long as the bills have another back up ready to replace trubisky I'm comfortable with it He'll even tyrod could be an option if trubisky is moved

Is that all they save on the cap by trading him? Thought he was like an 8-10 mil cap hit Not my first choice either but if I had to pick a qb between Webb/fromm/newton to win a playoff game playing 3.5 quarters because your starting QB is out for the rest of the game, I don't have much faith in scoring any points with a webb or fromm led offense

Trading him now would be to move out salary for another player coming in

I agree but id rather go with cam over Webb/fromm/Barkley. I don't believe any of those guys could win a playoff game If trubisky is traded, I hope we have a new back up ready to go

Trade trubisky, would the bills sign cam Newton?

Trubisky out for a pick, fuller in?

Mahomes doesn't look good Way too much talk about needing to go through all the reads. Thats not something you hear about from a rodgers or Brady

Is it still a hot take that mahomes has been figured out?

Josh saying the new stadium won't likely be a dome, so he has to get used to the weather Does he know more or just what has been published

Why didn't they concede! Selfish.

The summary of what louis Riddick just did about mahomes is something that announcers have done for guys like Daniel jones or Justin fields. Not a former MVP $500 million QB

Terry wanted Penn st to be d1 in hockey, he asked what it would take and he wrote the check

Really see this in baseball, pitchers and batters that are young and have no info/data on them

Gut feeling, a lot of phins fans had the phins +14

To get a first down and run out the clock Allen needed the 1 or 2 yard line, if say he needed the 5 or 6 then scoring could be seen as running it up You expect a guy with defenders all over him to just drop? You expect a team to keep a team mathematically alive to win on a couple fluke plays? (Fluke/luck plays in my opinion are how it was that close to begin with) Going for 2 you could have an issue with but I don't. Its the right call The real question is if we kneel and just run the clock, do the phins do the same?

Sir this is a Wendy's

1. The bills couldn't have run the clock out unless they picked up a first down at the 1 or 2 yard line 2. The 2 pt conversion was to go up 3 scores Both are the right plays Was the 2 pt conversion needed? Probably not but its a division opponent and you won't see them again until next season who cares

I think the emergence of Dawson knox is more the reason for lack of targets else where compared to last year

I agree with your thought that different teams are different situations but I disagree as to why coaches don't do it every time Coaches don't do it because they are conservative by nature. As a fan or observer we can be and think as aggressively as possible. Coaches are trying to keep a job. Doing something thats never been done before and can lose you a game puts your job on the hot seat