MrEpsYtown

To be fair, no one gets outside in the NFL. But I agree, I didn't like the pick because of lack of upside. i think he would excel in a Ravens top gap scheme offense. But again, you have to feed him carries for him to really impact the game.

RAS for Singletary is so low because he is small and slow. Those two things will kill a score. Size has a big factor in those calculations, but speed is more important. he lacks in both those areas, so low score.

I like the Tyler Smith spot. I think his floor might be the Saints' second pick.

I think most of the list is garbage, but i think the biggest thing is the injury stuff. The only one who has "made it" and stayed healthy is Gordon really. But you are totally correct. Every year there are line 5 guys whose 5th year options re not picked up and some of those drafts were just complete garbage. At the end of the day, it probably all evens out. totally that 4.39 time

Booth match makes so much sense. Nice work!

Singletary to me needs volume to be good. he needs 15-25 carries. He needs to be fed and he doesn't do anything else for the offense if he isn't getting the ball. I think he is a very good player, but not the fit for what this offense is now. Neither is Moss. They should not be taking a back in the first round. But they should be looking for a complimentary piece who can catch the ball well. maybe that's James Cook or Rachaad White in round 3. Maybe it's Max Borghi in round 6-7. Maybe it's Jerick McKinnon on Monday But its should not be in round 1 imo.

Even if you back to Singletary's draft year, Jacobs is very good from round one. David Montgomery, player for a terrible team, has stats that are neck and neck with Jacobs and he was a third rounder. The value just isn't there. Another interesting exercise is to look at how many first down running backs have their 5th year option picked up. I get that there are garbage picks at other positions in these drafts. But the value of a running back later in the draft is better. 2019 - I am guessing they pick up Jacobs. hasn't been announced. 2018 - Barkley grudgingly picked up. He's hurt a bunch. Rashaad Penny and Sony Michel declined. Michel has been traded already. 2017 - McCaffrey picked up. He's hurt a bunch. Fournette declined and he was cut. 2016 - Elliot picked up. Career winding down. Losing lots of carriers to a 4th round pick. 2015 - Todd Gurley extended. His career is over. Melvin Gordon picked up. Still rolling in Denver. Lost his job in San Diego to an UDFA. 2012 - Trent Richardson, no and he's done. Doug Martin, declined and retired. David Wilson retired in two years.

Our pick is probably gonna be someone out of left field who no one is talking about, like Tyler Smith.

Two picks I’d LOVE: 25 Trent McDuffie 57 Jalen Pitre Two picks I expect: 25 Andrew Booth 57 Damarvin Leal Two picks I’ll settle for: 25 Kaiir Elam 57 Tre McBride

Agreed. That’s what should happen in that case! Or just take a guy like Ojabo who is a top 15 pick if he isn’t hurt and just redshirt him. RB round 1 feels like a waste.

In his mock, I would have taken Booth. But really aside from Booth, all the corners are gone including Elam and all the receivers are gone including Burks and Dotson and there are no quarterback reaches. If that’s the case I think I would ok with the Hall idea. I really don’t love it, but I much prefer it to a guard or reaching on the next tier of corners.

Yeah I know. A lot of people are acting like his word is truth. Not you dude. Didn’t mean for it to come off that way.

Probably 2015 with Todd Gurley. Also his career is over.

Albright also reported the Browns were taking Darnold. He’s been wrong and right, just like every reporter. Dude isn’t God’s gift to draft secrets.

Yeah i agree in some ways. Lots of smoke there, but rumors like these come out all the time. Like the rumors about the 49ers being obsessed with Mac Jones last year, or that Matt Barkley was guaranteed to be a top ten pick and the Bills were infatuated with him. Or the much loved Ben Albright reporting that the Browns are 100% going to take Sam Darnold. The Hall stuff could be something or it could be complete BS. It’s 50/50.

I think that is just becuase everyone knew Baker was goin to the Browns and that the Jets were gonna take Darnold. So it was 50-50. I know a few people guessed Rousseau. Its just crazy that they would telegraph this move in this way. Its weird.

Nah nobody is gonna trade for those dudes. Using picks on those guys doesn’t make sense when there are a huge crop of guys in the draft. Only Doug Whaley trades picks for guys like Bryce Brown. Moss was inactive all season and Devin has been ok and in the last year of his deal.

I’ll take McDuffie or Booth. I really like McDuffie, thinking the Bills like Booth so I voted Booth. He has everything they want.

All these guys have some sort of flaw. So it comes to the balance of what you are willing to accept. Gardner has a ton of PIs and is skinny, Stingley had a bad injury and hasn't played for awhile, McDuffie has his short arms. I think it is all part of the evaluation. I don't think McDuffie's arm length will hurt him. He held his own against the Michael Pittman's etc of the world. Any how many huge monster wideouts are you really going to see during the year? There are only like 3 or 4 in the league. But, that does not change the fact that there are only a few short armed corners who start on the outside. The math and data is there. So the odds of him staying there are less, and that is where some of the risk lies in his possible selection. Is it because they never got an opportunity or they just weren't good enough? No one really know that. As far as comps, Trent McDuffie is Cortland Finnegan. I can't get that out of my brain. Similar size, length, and athleticism. Finnegan faster and slightly more explosive. McDuffie is just a bit bigger. Now Finnegan was a 7th rounder from a small school who was a draft steal. McDuffie's game is way more refined coming out. Finnegan was an outside corner for many years and finished career in the slot for McDermott and the 2015 Panthers.

I love how the drivers turns on their wipers...like really? What's that gonna do?

I saw somewhere that we met with Rachaad White like 4 times and we could be looking at him in the middle rounds. He is a big dude. Runs 4.48, can catch and run it and has got pro coaching with Herm Edwards, Brian Billick, and Marvin Lewis.

I think Bradberry is out pretty much no matter what. I think he will struggle in that press man scheme. So he is miscast and expensive. He is the perfect pickup for us because he's a seasoned vet who is in his prime and can help us pursue a Super Bowl. I think a Bradberry move could go down on day 2 if the Bills miss out on all the top corners.

I think there are 4 high tier guys. Then like 3-4 right under. Then the rest. I think they should aim for one of the top 4. Gardner, Stingley, McDuffie, Booth, you could include Hill if you project him at corner. Then the next tier is like Elam, Emerson, Woolen etc etc. Again all my opinion.

It is interesting how "the lunch pail high motor guy" is always a white dude

Awesome stuff @Virgil Thanks