RichRiderBills

Run up the gut to Dobbins.

Turnovers, stupid mistakes, special teams, and penalties are going to deceide this game. I know thats cliche and boring. As ive said, especially interested in how this crew will ref PI becuase the Ravens are grabby. I know Tasker agrees with me here. This could set the tone.... With passing being so important to the Bills Offense, my guess is they will call it more.

Thank you for this enjoyed this commentary...very relevant to what we are discussing. Going to have to listen to these guys more.

Mahomes, who shredded them....Mayfield who shredded them at home....

They are ranked 24th. https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2020/opp.htm

Yeah, but that is not a snow storm on the level we are talking about. I thought the field was just odd there and he had trouble finding the right cleats. Was it even raining?

I personally think heavy snow brings everyone down a level where whoever wants it more will get it. Josh would fare better running syle wise than lamar....at least i think.

I agree that Dobbins will still be effective. But the extreme snow effects everyone....even big guys, but i think they fare better. Slick conditions make "murphy" come out...and you never know with how it can rear its head.

We are talking about a few things here; Cold weather...can be biggest factor, can demoralize and put folks in a sluggish mood, espc early. Snow...light to medium snow in 20s or low 30s no big deal. Snow in higher temp can mimic rain, and not talking sleet. Regular snow melting on surfaces can make slippery turf and ball control. Heavy Snow, like 17 Colts game. This is a mire that changes a lot. It basically turns football into a differing game. It slows down everything. Gotta take short steps and reduces effectiveness of cutting and being elusive. I know people talk about running game in snow, but in some ways all bets are off. Lamar likes to cut hard, take big strides, and has had traction issues before. I think he would be negatively effected, but not sure about the others like Dobbins.

Thanks for this man. I didnt love the logo stomp thing, but yes, Titans are punks. Ive never got over music city miracle, not a fan of Vrable. Nor a big Tannyhill fan, so nice to see him struggle. Your right, on many of your points. The key here imo is going to be critical mistakes, penalties, turnovers, and special teams. One huge aspect is how will the refs call this game; your DBs are grabby...and we will see how the refs let that go. I think we can draw some PI calls.

The internet and all this did not exist back then....not all these talking heads overreacting. I dont even think ESPN gameday/ prime time was clicking until the next year. I feel the pro analysis is exceptionally reactive week to week and less and less film/ data driven. Florio is always reactive, even though i enjoy his opinion...Sims is usually more grounded.

Sims knows our "run action" passing is very good. He watches the film...our short passing game subs for runs, our play action is great, and when you ramp up QB sneaks for playoffs, our Running game is deceptive. We dont need true blue rush yards to win. Sims has discussed this before. As for overreacting to the Colts dog fight...playoff football is a battle. The same outside observers overreacting to how close that one was may be the same folks who worried about us after surving a shootout w the Phins heading into the Raider game back in 1991.

These guys are better than this take... Florio has been pretty bad latley. On another video out now, Rodney basically mocked him for overrating the significance of the Colts performance versus us. Sims can do better...and its not because they are picking the Ravens, i get that, and its not crazy to pick the Ravens but... Double Diggs? Spy Allen? Maybe Ravens can put 12 men on the field with his ideas...which Sims does not correct and agrees are great ideas. Dont they think any of the teams the Bills have faced tried to take out Diggs? Bill Belicheck? Rams? Colts? They neglect the notion the Bills have a good run action offense despite the lack of running stats. We screen, short pass, Again, a wrong impression Allen is a one man show. He spreads the ball out, and even if Diggs gets limited, we have and effectively work Beasely, Brown, Davis, Knox, etc...

I still think this game film is highly viable...simply put if we can replicate this defensive performance we will win by multiple scores.

I just watched the extended highlights of both the Chiefs V Ravens and Browns v Ravens. I think both are relevant as two possible scenarios. That Browns game ...woof....makes me rethink they cant keep pace in a shootout...but it was more of a track meet game.

I love them all.

I did not know that. That may be huge w/ Diggs.

Bills 7-0 versus top ten defenses Bills 8-2 versus the top 15 rushing teams. These stats, our prime time experience, and the tough schedule/ road to the playoffs formulate my belief that the Bills will prevail. Bills had a tough schedule, played in an oven the whole year. Time and time again this offense came through and set the tempo. We did not just squeak by these defenses either, we at times shredded. The Ravens are the best version of the tough defense, tough running teams in the NFL. I have a ton of respect for them, but they have also been inconsistent. LJ is electric and the kind of freak athlete fans love. That being said, I think looking at the body of their work they are a bit overrated. To win, the Bills have to click on offense...they've got to crack the nut, and they did that week after week to good defenses. If the Ravens think they are going to see the tepid offensive team of 2019 that came within one John Brown slant of matching them, they are wrong. On defense, the Bills dont really need to fully stop the Ravens. Our offense is better and can strike quicker. I don't believe the Ravens can win in a shoot out, or a comeback....some of the games we played we have given up huge yardage in the running game and total offense. We still won....in the case of Hail Murray, should have won. The Cards game was far from perfect. A lot of things need to line up to beat the Bills. The Colts almost lined them up. Im not sure if it even matters if Josh is on. Giving up 450 yards offense and still winning, compounded by 163 yards in ST differential by poor field position was legendary. While we can't do this every week, it still blows my mind. After last week, i expect the defense to play better. I expect special teams to play better and i think the flow of the game on the Bills side is going to be fast and furious, and i think it may be a finest hour. I trust our coach, our QB and players, and I trust the process.

That is basically what Tasker and Brownie said. I think it has to depend on the game plan as well. If we are planning the screen game, maybe Yeldin...if we want to pop and need a guy for short yardage, id go williams. I honestly did not evaluate Williams blocking.... I dont think Freeman will be ready. Id probably lean williams, because Singletary and Taiwan can do the other stuff. Your right about the sample size...but i cant get over what I saw, call it a hunch.

This is some reactive new way of looking at games.

The RPO is about angles and intelligence and making reads....sometimes luck. I'm not as worried about being overpowered. The LBs are more important than DL IMO.

This is spot on. This is basically our MO this year. Look at the AZ game. Look at NE game one. We basically executed this, went up early, and only blew it via the Hail Murray. Both those games were closer becuase of offensive woes. But if the offense is on or we can get a couple more big plays, we are winners. This is why we dont need to "stop the run" etc.. Key is always 3rd downs , turnovers, pressure..... Id add with this game, an added key will also be avoiding chunk gains...hail murray or LJ big runs

..also amplified by our inability to generate pressure via a number of tries. Colts Oline, which is very good, played an amazing game. The Ravens unit gets a good push in the running game but struggled overral this year and has been inconsistant.

How do we not role w williams after how he played v miami.

Titans ran only 48 plays...i think our season low was 58. That would be disaster for us.