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Agreed, not understanding the love for a sneak. It's not a gimme from that distance and they had like 13 in the box. If you know you are kicking on 4th, you make a play to try for it. Wish they did something off the edge or rolled Josh out, but glad they made a call to try and get it in. Also glad they made the right call on 4th.

Third down play would likely have failed with push. Ravens were all in to stop it. Play should have gone outside.

It wasn't even a penalty either

I wouldn't ever bet against the bills to win, but I would bet ATS if I felt the game was going to be closer than the spread indicates. Does that count as betting against them?

I'll play. The trend indicates that the score should be Baltimore 27 at Buffalo 38

It's not a league award. It is literally the Associated Press's list of awards that they made up and award how they see fit. The NFL has neither the ability, or desire to stop outside parties from discussing and driving traffic to the NFL. There are other MVP awards given, like PFWA, PFF, yahoo, and other media orgs. The only thing that makes the AP unique is that the NFL decided over the last decade to host the "NFL Honors" as an additional league event where 20ish awards (most or all from 3rd parties) are announced and the AP was given the honor of presenting a series of their awards. I suppose you could consider these "sanctioned" by the NFL. The AP (and other media) has a bunch of awards that they give outside of NFL honors (like All Pro).

Hollins had me rofl with that spin

Even Lamar could have made that throw! (am I doing it right?)

If his toe tapped down before he had possession.

Lamar looked to have something going on with lower back. He might be fine, or it may tense up after the game and impact him for a couple weeks.

I think the steelers are a really good pick against the spread, this is likely to be a close game. I think Steelers win this straight up at least 4/10 times for all the reasons others have mentioned.

You're not the only one to connect these dots. The similarities extend into how prior seasons played out, how the off-season played out, expectations coming into the year, having a middling defense on regular season, and more. Obviously the Chiefs capped it off by the Defense stepping up in playoffs and ended as champs. Hopefully the similarities continue .

I don't think it is a given that he is gone next year. Clearly he isn't going to be playing under a $17M base salary. A similar, incentive laden restructure bringing his base down with incentives to get over $10M wouldn't be a bad deal for us or him. If cut, with dead cap and bonuses yet to be paid he would account for >$20M cap next year (>$10M post June 1st with only $100k workout bonus cost). We could get him at a $15-$18M cap hit in '25 with <$10M dead in '26. I'm not pounding the table for him, but if he still wants to play I think we would go for it. Assuming he wasn't suspended and played 17 games he would have hit 8+ sacks this year on a part time schedule.

I think Burrow being in the conversation would hinge on them making the playoffs. If he is viewed as single handed bringing them from a bottom 5 team to the playoffs while leading the league in many stats he will get some mentions. Ultimately, he is doing it with some incredible weapons. I don't buy the argument of "it's all him". With the catches that those two are capable of making, any top 10 quarterback would put up gaudy numbers when playing catch up every week.

Total tease. You can't post something like this before you have the hosting/links live! Looks awesome though, can't wait. What are your data sources? I wasn't aware of some of this data being publicly available.

Depends on playoff seeding. Streak better chance than total. I'd put the streak at 50/50 next week. Maybe 35/65 against the jets. I think we miss it week 18 if playoff seeding is locked and get 30 if we are playing for something.

A bunch of guys had a great game. Ty Johnson probably had the best game of his career. Bills run D set the tone that had us leading the whole game (I'm not good enough to tell you exactly why, but it was critical for the game).

Good half against a good team. Gotta keep on the gas.

Josh's intermediate throws are everybody else's deep ball

McD will do his usual good job of covering up for mediocre DB play and people will be bitching about all the yards we're about to give up.

We've been heavy offense for 5 years. Our offense is young, talented, and likely won't turn over much in the next 1-2 years. We need to add a bit of young defense as well. The idea of ignoring defense or filling defense gaps solely with free agents is a path to disaster.

Dion is always a trip, but Hamler with his best Pete Weber impression is the cherry on top.

People want to blame everything on the last thing they saw. We can't give up a ST touchdown and have to get more than 1 D stop in a game. The defense has a really bad game. We knew coming into the season that they were suspect and that everyone has overachieved across the board to get us to where we are. It's been great to hope that the defense could continue to be flawless and generate turnovers, but unrealistic. Hopefully today we saw the floor and somewhere is the middle is where we end up in the playoffs. We should be spending time talking about the defense and not a tightrope path to the last 2 minutes (it should not come down to that).

Which octaves do you consider high?

I'd like to see this normalized in some way for the defenses that we've played against. Also, it's very shallow (and incomplete ) without a more granular breakdown of scheme. I thought the rap 2 years ago was that the way to stop the bills and the chiefs was some disguised cover 2 variant. This data could easily be explained by avoidance of some other set (as opposed to a preference for Man). As an example, if Josh gives reason to avoid Cover 0, then we could show as higher than average for both Man and Cover 2. Also, this analysis doesn't really work for a lot of the split field coverages we've been seeing. It would be great to see if that is called more frequently against us. In summary, this seemed interesting at first glance, but I've talked myself into it not really having any meaningful conclusions.