Rew

Depends on playoff seeding. Streak better chance than total. I'd put the streak at 50/50 next week. Maybe 35/65 against the jets. I think we miss it week 18 if playoff seeding is locked and get 30 if we are playing for something.

A bunch of guys had a great game. Ty Johnson probably had the best game of his career. Bills run D set the tone that had us leading the whole game (I'm not good enough to tell you exactly why, but it was critical for the game).

Good half against a good team. Gotta keep on the gas.

Josh's intermediate throws are everybody else's deep ball

McD will do his usual good job of covering up for mediocre DB play and people will be bitching about all the yards we're about to give up.

We've been heavy offense for 5 years. Our offense is young, talented, and likely won't turn over much in the next 1-2 years. We need to add a bit of young defense as well. The idea of ignoring defense or filling defense gaps solely with free agents is a path to disaster.

Dion is always a trip, but Hamler with his best Pete Weber impression is the cherry on top.

People want to blame everything on the last thing they saw. We can't give up a ST touchdown and have to get more than 1 D stop in a game. The defense has a really bad game. We knew coming into the season that they were suspect and that everyone has overachieved across the board to get us to where we are. It's been great to hope that the defense could continue to be flawless and generate turnovers, but unrealistic. Hopefully today we saw the floor and somewhere is the middle is where we end up in the playoffs. We should be spending time talking about the defense and not a tightrope path to the last 2 minutes (it should not come down to that).

Which octaves do you consider high?

I'd like to see this normalized in some way for the defenses that we've played against. Also, it's very shallow (and incomplete ) without a more granular breakdown of scheme. I thought the rap 2 years ago was that the way to stop the bills and the chiefs was some disguised cover 2 variant. This data could easily be explained by avoidance of some other set (as opposed to a preference for Man). As an example, if Josh gives reason to avoid Cover 0, then we could show as higher than average for both Man and Cover 2. Also, this analysis doesn't really work for a lot of the split field coverages we've been seeing. It would be great to see if that is called more frequently against us. In summary, this seemed interesting at first glance, but I've talked myself into it not really having any meaningful conclusions.

We used to spend late November proving to each other all the ways that we were mathematically still in it. This place is apparently full of weirdos too? Let them have their misery.

Prior to the season I think it was fair to say the Bills had more questions than in prior years. From a probability standpoint I don't have any issues with someone who viewed them as less likely to go all the way (than '23 or '21). The "Window was still open", but with turnover a down season would have been understandable. Also, there was reason for optimism. "If" several players developed the way that was hoped for, there was enough talent there to think that SB was still a good shot. Call it mini-rebuild, transition year, getting younger, whatever tf you want to call it, but it did happen and could have gone worse. That is a far cry from the few pundits or "fans" that thought the Bills were likely to miss the playoffs. That was and still is an asinine take. As long as a good chunk or the roster returns and Josh is here we should be considered a perennial playoff team with some variance on floor or ceiling. Personally, I thought Center/Guard and Safety were going to hold us back more (I never thought WR was a huge issue or a huge strength). Happy that concerns were for naught. Line play has been shockingly awesome and somehow Safety has been serviceable with ridiculous LB/CB performance making it not matter. I really thought we would need Hyde on roster by this point to solidify a run. With the way our talent has developed I think you can almost claim the Allen's "2nd Window has opened". It's incredibly challenging and requires some luck to not have a down year or two to reset in the course of a QB's career.

Please stay quiet with this

Have you watched the game? We are having a good game against a great defense. If Allen was at his best, instead of merely decent, we would be dominating.

If bills take the #1 seed with the narrative coming into this season Allen will get a lot of the credit.