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Everything posted by Da webster guy
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Final result of the Marcel Dareus trade for Buffalo:
Da webster guy replied to warrior9's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Wait who is this Watt you speak of? Never heard of the guy.... Oh wait you mean the guy they showed on screen and talked about every three seconds for the entire playoff game vs Houston? Its even worse when you rewatch the game because without the excitement and suspense of an actual game you pay more attention to the rest of the noise. Honestly someone should call out the producer on that and make them rewatch how ridiculous that was highlighting a player over and over and over simply because he's a national big name. Its laugh out loud material after awhile. Almost as bad as all the hype and coverage Dallas gets and they've won a whopping TWO playoff games in 24 years. -
Post-Draft Roster Predictions
Da webster guy replied to ComradeKayAdams's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Haus was excellent in houston game. Finished on a high note. -
Singletary doesn't call the plays dude. When his number is called he has elite yards per carry. Looking at total yards without considering the amount of carries is ridiculous. Singletary had half the carries that total-yardage leaders like Zeke, and Chubb did this year. He's a rookie who played a dozen pro games at a very high level. The kid is a stud.
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The odds of anyone in the 4th round or deeper making an impact in their rookie season are slim. So that leaves 2 picks. You want a WR4? maybe. Duke started the Houston playoff game, had some nice plays, blocked his ass off, has chemistry with Josh. He's 6'3 225lbs and way ahead of any rookie as far as learning this QB and this offense. Then there's Mckenzie who also will make the team as WR5 and still has blazing speed. Assuming we have two picks that will contribute this year, not sure if it makes sense to gamble on a WR in the 2nd round who you hope will beat out our 4th WR which is doubtful. I say if you want a productive offense, get a great offensive line and run game to balance out your passing weapons. We already have two 1,000 yd receivers, a great slot guy and role players behind them, Singletary is top 12 at his position already. Watching the Houston game again, you'll see that we got caved in by their pass rush on critical passing downs. You could have Michael Thomas, DHop and Tyreek Hill as your WR's and it won't matter when your line is getting blown up. We don't lack playmakers, we lack a good RT and a RB that can pass protect a little bigger than Singletary, but also still be a credible run threat so the defense doesn't know he's just in the game on passing downs. Beane was surprised by the solid play of his guards last year, but wanted to develop Cody who we picked high and moved up to get. The Nseke/Ford split was great experience for the rookie, and he had some good games, but I believe you'll see RT drafted high for us this year, don't freak out if it happens, they're indirect playmakers.
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I know a lot of you guys follow Astro, Dean Kindig (aka the dRAfT DoCtoR), his breakdowns and analysis on draftees is impressive. No offense to the OP, I like your take here, but Astro is so far ahead of everyone else in terms of breaking down players and strategies that if you aren't following the guy you're missing out. https://twitter.com/tcbills_astro This is a good place to start. It's current and comprehensive and so far ahead of what the national draft guru's know about our team/GM it's laughable
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Mesh point Josh Allen/ Motor
Da webster guy replied to billvernsays's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Agree but Murphy sure saved his best performance for the playoffs. Dude was a beast, couple sacks, hurries, tackles for loss, blowin up plays. If he keeps that form next year he and Addison will be nasty on that left side -
Everyone pays a lot to get established top receivers in their prime on relatively friendly contracts. And in order to overpay you have to know what we gave up, which was college draft picks not established players. In order to do that you'd have to see our board and who we would have taken, then wait a few years and see how they panned out. There are a lot of 1st round WR busts in this league, we got a proven, game-changing guy who is guaranteed not to bust. Here's a wild stat that might make you feel better about Diggsy: more than HALF of the WR's taken in the first round are out of the league in 5 years. One breakdown looked at four years of consecutive drafts and an amazing 9 out of 15 First Round WR's were out of football going into what would be their 6th training camp. (also 10 out of 20 DE's which is crazy too) As for giving up 5th and 6th picks in that deal, you know the chances of them being game changers is slim. Beaner sees the window before Josh needs to get a new contract and he's sticking to the plan of adding proven players for a run this year.
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Thats an incredible run, considering it can be skewed by injuries, slumps, even week 17 meaningless games (who woulda thought Buffalo and Tenn would be sitting everyone in their final week?) Big Ben, Andrew Luck, Tannehill all did things impossible to predict. Lamar Jackson becomes a better passer than Brady. The list goes on. I saw a cool article on the 2019 NFL season that ESPN’s win-probability model gave a 60-40 (or narrower) split at any point with five or fewer minutes left in regulation. 63 of the NFL's 256 games fell within this threshold. In these games, missed kicks, a single penalty or bounce of the ball can determine a W or L. If you're 7 for 8 seasons within a 1 game margin on the Bills, first I'd say congrats, then I'd say there's a significant element of luck in there. Funny the only NFL prop bet I took last year was the Niners under 8.5 wins, that was over by like week 10.
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And Roberts has been a victim of some pretty awful special teams blocking. We can't seem to cover any gunners, the only way he ever gets any chance on a good punt return is if they out-kick the coverage. I agree with Astro we will be looking for another returner in this draft, but I don't see Roberts losing the job to anyone. And he's a great dude, McD loves the guy.
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I remember Berman replaying that last punt return on ESPN and doin his "whuuup!" "Whuup!" everytime he made someone miss. To this day I still say that inside cut he makes AFTER the spin move on that return is the best football move I've ever seen. Lee Evans, josh reed and roscoe trio there was an excellent group. .
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From my perspecitve, Josh gets tons of support and love from media and vast majority of fans. The negative fans will always be heard more but they're far outnumbered. Josh cleaned up his INT issues, and we had a playoff season last year. Great guy, leader, fun to watch, humble, competitor etc. There will always be the Sal Maiorana, Jerry Sullivan writers that B word all day long about everything but just ignore them and focus on all the upside of our situation in Buff right now. Lot to be excited about. For those that say our schedule is a lot tougher next year, I say every year there is massive change in how teams play, some surprise by playing better and some just have off years. Rams and Patriots seemed dominant 2 years ago, Pats fizzled in playoffs and Rams barely beat .500 and missed the playoffs. Steelers, Browns, Falcs, lot of ups and downs from one year to the next. Bills 11 wins next year, undefeated at home.
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The international games are another ridiculous Roger Goodell b.s. thing anyway. Teams other than Jacksonville hate them and for good reason. Dont steal one of my teams 8 precious home games for some stupid marketing guy's idea that globalizing the NFL will in some way make things better. It makes it worse. Its an American sport we're doing just fine I hope they cancel them indefinitely, and so does just about every other NFL fan except players wives and a few owners.
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For those that want a RB in the first few rounds
Da webster guy replied to Virgil's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
This is year 3, the Go For It year for Beaner, our QB doesn't take up $30M off our cap yet and we have seen what that does to teams like Seattle, GB, Detroit etc. It can impair your ability to get free agents and keep your studs. With that in mind, I think we may see a little more tendency to draft for need than pure BPA simply because there are only a few spots a rookie can help us win games this season. Our entire offense is returning plus a great new receiver who is worth 100 targets. Last year our offense looked (roughly) like this: 500 throws by josh, who also ran 100 times, and we handed off about 350 times, Motor getting 150 of those carries. He didn't play the full season, so likely Daboll is looking at getting the kid 200 handoffs this year. He has to. No RB in the world with over 150 carries last year had a better yard per carry than Singletary. Not Derrick Henry, Saquon, McCaffrey, Dalvin Cook--nobody. That leaves room for a 100-125 carry RB2, which will be a big piece of our puzzle this year. The guy will be roughly 10% of our offense, a perfect rookie role and the only way I see a new kid helping us win on offense. There are longshots at RT, maybe TE2, but I think Beaner will be going RB for the 1st offensive draft pick for this reason. We need a sharp kid who can protect and run hard, be ready to go on opening day. Aaaaaand thats where you look to Astro for answers. -
RB is a really GLARING need, right?
Da webster guy replied to Richard Noggin's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I used to agree with you but look at what Derrick Henry, Dalvin Cook and Jacobs for the Raiders did for their teams this year, they got them wins, helped them more than the average RB's did around the league. If we are making a run now we need to look to guys that can play as rookies. Not many spots available but RB2 and edge from what I see. Who knows maybe Wade is the answer, he's a freak athlete. -
What would an “All In” move be to you?
Da webster guy replied to Virgil's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It WAS Dante Fowler for me until yesterday. If we offered Shaq 9M we could have cut Trent and met Dante's 16m that Atlanta just paid him. Elite DE last year, would have made this pass rush so freakin nasty. The guy is 270lbs but speed like a linebacker. Won them 2 games last year. -
I'm at the point where if McD wants someone, then I do too, but I'm a believer in drafting RB's not paying a lot for them. Singletary was under used last year, and now we have Diggs as well to demand another 70-100 targets. Gordon is a bell cow back, wherever he goes he's going to be the RB1. Dont see the fit for us, hope we draft a rookie and run with him for RB2. Also i like Senorise Perry he might surprise everyone in camp and win the 2 spot.
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Bills sign LB AJ Klein 3yrs $18M
Da webster guy replied to Reed83HOF's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It wasnt me, I agree with you. Love the flexibility now, although since then Tremaine seems to have gained some skill in shedding blocks on inside runs. If McD wants him, I want him. -
Diggs is such a baller. Game changing difference maker for sure. My favorite non Bill to watch. Similar numbers to Smoke last year but did a ton to carry that offense with Theilen hurt basically all year. Beane is doing what he says, fill your roster with good starters and draft bpa baby. The guy has balls. 5th and 6th rd picks are just Wyatt teller freebies. Wonder if they talked to Houston about the Nuk too?
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"Team to Watch" - Bills to "Go for it"
Da webster guy replied to Never NEVER Give-up's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Yes I see. We had 22nd pick 2 years ago, moved up to 16 for Tremaine and only had to give up 65th overall. I was thinking a few of these WR's might go higher. I remember being shocked at the Mike Williams, Corey Davis, John Ross picks all ahead of us a few years back. WR's are strange cats. They're high risk prospects that can look so dominant in college and so average in the pros. -
"Team to Watch" - Bills to "Go for it"
Da webster guy replied to Never NEVER Give-up's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
We certainly seem to be a trade up team lately. Josh, Tremaine, Cody and Knox all cost us multiple picks. In order to move up far enough to get any receiver we wanted it would cost us a 1st next year. Such a move would be considered madness with the WR depth, although it looks like there's only going to be room to add one starter on offense with everyone returning (including coaches) so maybe Beaner has a specific guy in mind for that and he's willing to bet the farm on it. -
Yup, you know they planned this signing and also will be grabbing a tackle prospect late. Aside from Ty and Morse's early concush, we had pretty good durabiliy upfront. Hard to believe we have a FULL returning Oline with the same starting QB, RB, TE and 2 WR's plus HC, OC, qb coach and receivers coach. Hasn't happened in decades.