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DabillsDaBillsDaBills

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  1. Going back to the AFCCG we've now failed 5 consecutive 2 point conversions. Pretty insane with Josh Allen as QB We really need to figure something out on short yardage, have to have it, type plays
  2. You must've missed his 28 yard punt in the 4th Q.
  3. I left the same time you did, for the same reason. My dad (getting up there in years) wanted to leave after the Henry TD made it 40-25 so that we could beat the traffic on our drive back to Rochester. I convinced him to stick out 1 more drive and to stay if the Bills scored, but then we punted with 9 minutes left in the game. Couldn't justify sticking this one out when my dad was already exhausted from the long day and it felt like we had 1% chance of winning. It's nothing short of miraculous that our DEF forced two 3 and outs and a fumble after that. We had only forced 1 punt (and no turnovers) on the Ravens first 9 drives.
  4. We only went for 2 after the Baltimore penalty on the PAT. They're looking at expected points added by the decision to go for PAT or 2. Kicking PAT: 95% success rate * 1 point = 0.95 expected points 2 pt conversion from the 2 yard line: 40% success rate * 2 points = 0.8 expected points 2 pt conversion from the 1 yard line: 60% success rate * 2 points = 1.2 expected points You can tinker with the success rates, but that's the basic idea.
  5. I saw this tweet earlier and decided to check out the hot dog prices at the game last night. The vendor in my section had a regular hot dog for $7, a footlong for $10, and a Buffalo footlong for $12. I'm guessing most stadiums don't offer a footlong option
  6. The new tech doesn't tell refs where to spot the ball. All it does is once the ball is spotted it tells them if it's a first down or not
  7. I think this is a fascinating stat, and I'm trying to think of ideas why this happened. The best I can come up with: 1) Refs have improved over time and don't favor the home team as much as they used to 2) Home games feature a lot more visiting/neutral fans than they used to
  8. Ravens 34 Bills 21 The Ravens tend to start out very strong in week 1 under Harbaugh, whereas the Bills are more of a mixed bag under McD. Lamar and the Ravens will come out with that extra bit of motivation due to their view that Lamar was snubbed for MVP and as revenge for the playoff loss. I think our new look defense will take a few weeks to round into form.
  9. Our offense improved when we let Davis walk for nothing. Why would we bring him back, even to the Practice Squad? He was responsible for half a dozen INTs in 2023 with lazy routes, drops, and miscommunications.
  10. The 2020 team was remarkably healthy. I don't think we had a single starter out for the Chiefs game, although Beasley was hampered pretty badly. For OP i'll go under and over. Milano doesn't really accumulate stats, even when healthy. For his 8 year career he has 10 INTs, 3 forced fumbles, 11 fumble recoveries, and 10.5 sacks. Milano is on the wrong side of 30 years old and missed 10+ games each of the last 2 seasons due to injuries.
  11. Brees and the Saints as well, although they didn't have quite the sustained regular season success as these other teams.
  12. 1 sack in 4 playoff games. 2x 1sts and a good starter in Clark is probably around fair value for a trade, but that contract is absurd. Garrett signed for 4 years 160 mil earlier this offseason and I think he's the better player
  13. The whole point of this thread is looking at how we've done as a 2 seed vs a 7 seed when under the old playoff format a 2 seed would've gotten a bye. That was the list of games that wouldn't have occurred under the old format.
  14. The 2020 Colts might be the best 7 seed to make the playoffs in this new format. 11-5 with a top 10 offense and defense. 2022 Dolphins were bad. 9-8 with a 3rd string QB and depleted O-line 2023 Steelers were mediocre. 10-7 but no TJ Watt 2024 Broncos were mediocre. 10-7 with a rookie QB
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