ColoradoBills

It seems to me that the AAV for Tua is not the biggest issue. It would be the contract length and guaranteed money.

Not sure what you mean. Once the final cutdown to 53 happens the PS is established and the $4M hit is on the books. Typically, Beane keeps another $3-$4M on top of that for the season. Currently the cap is for the Top 51. Once it gets to the season the cap has to cover the 53 roster, PS, IR and any other "designations". On the plus side. Not all of the current Top 51 will make the roster, a good number will be cut, and a lower salaried player will take their place. Beane has a lot of options, but I don't see any bigger signings coming unless it's too good to pass on.

I agree. The thing about Knox is intriguing for this season. He is going to stay in and help block for sure. With Spencer Brown improving, Knox can rotate between helping Brown or Dawkins. Defenses will need to worry about him staying in to block or going into a pass pattern. My real hope is if he can really get good and chip blocking and then slipping out for a pass. Knox also has a nose for the endzone. If Kincaid takes a deeper route, Knox can follow him up with a shorter one. Good things could happen with that.

Exactly! Also, every time a couple of PS players get "elevated" for the week, they get a one-week bump in pay. I was being generous only quoting $4M for the year. Beane also knows that for every player that ends up on IR, he needs to replace that guy on the 53 roster. Let's all hope that doesn't cost too much this year! Thanks for replying. I get tired of doing the math for board members multiple time per year!

The practice squad alone will cost $4M.

I corrected my post to LG.

Bills are already over the cap by $17M (as of now) for 2025. Diggs dead money this year has no bearing whatsoever on what money is on the books for next season. I responded to a question about where the Bills will be at the end of this season, and it won't be anywhere near the claim. https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/buffalo-bills/cap/_/year/2025/sort/cap_total

It may very well come down to which combination is looking better in camp and preseason: McGovern (C) - Edwards (LG) vs VPG (C) - McGovern (LG)

No way that is even close to being accurate. Maybe whoever claimed that have included all the possible options that could increase the cap space. Moves such as cutting Von Miller and restructuring every dollar from current contracts. Also, at the end of the season the Bills will have way less than 51 players signed so that always throws off the cap $ amount. Bills then have to think about re-signing/extending UFAs such as Spencer Brown. Beane is in way better shape next season than he was this spring. How much better, we will have to wait to see.

It might be advantageous to have line drive kicks into the landing zone that bounce into the endzone. No return likely and ball placed on the 20.

The NFLPA Cap numbers are always higher for every team compared to Spotrac and OTC. Not sure what they leave out compared to the others. Spotrac has the Bills at $8.09M and OTC has them at $10.1M. The big difference between Spotrac and OTC is that Spotrac counts all of this year's prorated signing bonus against the cap for all players over the Top 51 and OTC does not. Spotrac also counts all of Travis Claytons "Exempt/Commissioner’s Permission List Cap" against the cap and OTC does not. FWIW.

Thank you for stating what this thread SHOULD be about. This board has got to the point where everything is about THIS or THAT as the only choices. Cook, Davis and Johnson are going to be doing some great things behind this year's OL IMO.

Isn't it funny that Josh Allens 3 most "efficient" pass catchers are still on the team (Shakir, Kincaid and Cook). Beane got rid of the WRs that did not help the team and we all know the Diggs situation. Through all of that Josh Allen had his career 2nd best completion % which would have been better is Davis and Sherfield weren't in the 50's. Redzone TDs will be the key this year. No one (even you) knows how this offense will be in relation to that. We have to wait and see. Like I posted in another thread. Knox has triple the playoff TD receptions that Diggs had in the same number of games. That's the key to success.

Agree on CB depth BUT for me it's the O-Line. I believe that the O-Line has the potential to be the best in front of Josh so far in his career. If these guy gel together and the depth can hold up (if needed), it's the key to the season IMO. The "who ends up playing Center?" is something to watch. Brown and Torrence both improving? All this worry about WRs won't matter if Josh has time in the pocket. He will tear up defenses!

Diggs last 4 years of playoffs (9 games total), 61% catch rate and 2 TDs. Knox, in that same time frame had a 72% catch rate and 6 TDs. What is important this coming season is catch rate and TDs. I can care less who is getting the targets, just catch the ball. If the Bills WRs/TEs/RBs catch the ball and catch TDs the team will win.

Brady should have Knox targeted a couple times a game as the odd man not covered. Keeping Knox in to block and then letting him slip out could be big gainers and I expect that to be the case. Knox will also have the opportunity to be a checkdown for Josh when the others are covered and time in the pocket is running out. That comes to Knox getting 2 catches a game minimum. So, 35-40 catches for the season are reasonable IF he stays healthy. How Dawson is used this season is a big interest to me. Brady has to use these 2 TEs correctly! Kincaid will get more than his 73 receptions last season which means the OVER is the pick.

Kincaid and Shakir seemed to be able to execute Brady's game plan. On the other hand, Diggs and Davis had a lot of targets and didn't do much with those opportunities. That dragged down the overall stats. I can't make a rational determination of Brady's O with such a small number of games and the change being made mid-season.

Yes, the dead cap still counts but with a new contract it can be "restructured" in. I'm expecting if Dak signs a 4-year contract that it will already include a void year. https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/player/_/id/19089/dak-prescott

Dallas has a $40M dead cap hit, as of now, on Dak in 2025. Add the $60M AAV contract on top and it could almost make more sense to move on. It will be interesting to see what contract terms look like if signed.

It's never too late to bring in someone. Lots of kicker from the last 2 drafts sitting around the house.

It cost next to nothing to bring in a camp leg to compete. IF the wheels fall off of Bass this year at least you have a player familiar with the team. I think Beane and McDermott are wrong on no camp competition.

Josh was going to do everything he could to get to the playoffs (down the stretch). I don't know how many of his runs were designed and how many were Josh doing it on his own. Last season's "stretch" is not an omen for the future. I don't think anyone wants Josh running 10 times or more a game. Things are changing in the Bills offense this season and I guess a reasonable person would wait to see what unfolds this year.

We will see. Josh (after his base salary gets restructured) will make over $50M in cash next year. I don't think him waiting another year to be "highest paid" matters that much to him. We are all speculating, but I'll stick with my take.

Agree with everything except IMO the deal get extended at the start of the 2026 season.

Most likely. Although Beane has some room to sign someone with some impact if the deal (and fit) is right. IMO, that's less than a one in three chance. Bring on camp and preseason!