Raiders: 4-5 with games against NE, PHI, and KC. Most likely finishing 8-8, 9-7 gives us the tiebreaker anyway
Dolphins: 4-5 with NE x2, KC, and us x2. We pretty much need to sweep them to have a chance unless we win @KC and/or against NE, which is doubtful. Sweep them and we have tiebreaker worst case
Ravens: This is our biggest threat at 4-5. 1 game @ PIT is the only one they most likely lose. They also play @ GB this week and vs DET later on, so maybe with some luck they'll drop to 8-8. No idea how the tiebreakers would work if we're both 9-7, but if we do make it that far we'll have a pretty good conference record.
I have a hard time believing any of the 3-6 teams will go 6-0 or 5-1 to leapfrog us at 9-7.
Our biggest threat is ourselves. We need to win 4 more which realistically would be @LAC, MIA x2, and IND. Otherwise we need to beat KC or NE, which I don't see happening. I am right now having trouble seeing a win this week @LAC but who knows maybe the lack of film on Peterman will help and our defense comes back.