Billsflyer12

God not laying any money, he is more the bookie. He takes action from both sides of every game. Team wins, God gets all the credit, team loses it is just part of gods plan.

http://buffalonews.com/2017/11/24/inside-the-bills-team-chaplain-len-vanden-bos-blends-faith-and-football/ McDermott hired a full time team Chaplin just after he arrived. I think is may have been the 1st time in organization history, if I remember correctly.

I assume that whenever someone brings up the stat that had he only 1 more catch per game his % would be 60, that we can also say if he also had 1 more incompletion per game his % would be 52, right?

Stats will never be able to tell you everything about what a player can do. They can provide a lot of information, along with historical reference that paint a probability of success. And in the case of Josh Allen, it would take a spectacular outlier performance — one that hasn’t happened this decade — to live up to the expectations of a top-10 pick. Is is possible he could be the outlier from the past decade of data, YES. Do I hope he is the outlier, YES. Was Tom Brady an outlier, YES. But the overall data picture tells us historically his probilility of success is really small.

What does DNA for the Buffalo Bills mean. Why does he have it and Rosen doesn’t? Beane has said something to this effect and I really have no idea what either of you mean. BTW, I was born and raised in WNY.

I didn’t like the tweets, but get he was young. I wanted nothing to do with him because he was a bad college QB. Hope he proves me wrong on both accounts.

As a guy whose mind is wired for data and numbers, I certainly appreciate that not all minds think the same way. There are times I wish my mind didn't. Maybe the best example I can think of is buying a house. You find a house you love, most people then look at price, comps, Sq Ft, school rankings and many others pieces of data that paints a picture. At end of the day some use that data to form a risk analysis that tells them weather it is a smart investment. Others will just look at the house they love and say who cares, we can fix the house up and help fix up the neighborhood, we can make it better. I guess neither is right and wrong. I prefer to use data, to form a picture that increases my probability of success. It is not 100%, like any data there are outliers, I hope Josh Allen is one of them.

Adjusted Completion Percentage = (Completions + Drops) / (Pass Attempts – Spikes – Throwaways – Batted Balls – Balls disrupted by a QB hit)

Yet, he ranked 101st out of 133 qualifiers in adjusted completion percentage in 2016.

Is this Context? Good news is there are a couple of comparable that say it may work. Almost all say it won't.

I have posted this and a couple of other write-ups, not sure a single person has actually opened and read them. Was wondering the percentage of posters here like or believe in data and stats, looks like most don't care.

If true, he is terrible at it.

https://www.sbnation.com/nfl/2018/4/24/17271686/josh-allen-nfl-draft-2018-stats-analysis-comparisons https://www.sbnation.com/nfl/2018/4/5/17046116/2018-nfl-draft-quarterbacks-josh-allen-sam-darnold-projections-hype

With Beane and McD, one now must ask if potential draftee or signee fits into their “faith, family, football,” and unfortunately it may be in that order.

I am equaled annoyed that if you at all question your teams decisions, you are not a real fan. Fandom is not blind loyality and shouldn’t be. I am not huge fan of Beane or McD, and I hate the Allen pick. I vented for a couple of days and explained why I hated it so much. Yet, I am moving on. I don’t have the energy or desire to keep fighting something I can’t change. The Bills have been my team for 45 years. It never has benn, or will never a be unconditional. I will not like hires, picks and game plans, and that is ok. I will voice my concerns when I feel they are really a true concern. My excitement for the future took a big hit Thursday, but at end of day I will still be watching Sundays from here in Colorado.

But 1st round QB draft picks don't get time to learn. I hope Im wrong, but almost every data point says otherwise.

Wentz has yet to get to 4 years, they did mention Goff, as one who has recovered in NFL from one year to the next. Even if 1 or 2 outliers do come about, doesn't prove theory wrong. The chance that all of these QB have generally reached their statistical ceiling in college is overwhelmingly high.

The article specifically states why they use the first 4 years as a benchmark along with other details in the paragraphs that follow.

But the data out there says your theory is not true. Of the 38 QB drafted between 2010-2017 that have thrown at least 300 NFL passes, NONE of them have exceeded their college success rate in their 1st 4 years in the pros. (1ST 4 years used as that is their rookie contract length). In other words their college numbers are their ceiling. https://www.sbnation.com/nfl/2018/4/5/17046116/2018-nfl-draft-quarterbacks-josh-allen-sam-darnold-projections-hype

Your eyeballs told you that Allen was a better QB then Rosen or even Jackson?

Another myth.

So how then are we suppose to judge college QBs?

Just about ALL of them. https://www.sbnation.com/nfl/2018/4/24/17271686/josh-allen-nfl-draft-2018-stats-analysis-comparisons https://www.sbnation.com/nfl/2018/4/5/17046116/2018-nfl-draft-quarterbacks-josh-allen-sam-darnold-projections-hype

Add me to your list. Allen will go down as one of worst QB picks ever. 1. Josh Allen - F 1. Tremaine Edmunds - B 3. Phillip Harrison - C 4. Taron Johnson - F 5. Siran Neal - D 5. Wyatt Teller - C+ 6. Ray Ray McCloud - F 7. Austin Proehl - C