Richard Noggin

Thank you for this. Hilarious. While he DID have a career day against NE man coverage, including some truly great catches, this highlight reel doesn't quite have the shine it once teased. Should have included a reel of him against Miami in that week 17 laugher to drive the point home.

Just scrolled up to see you really DID thumbs-down me! Woulda been WAY cooler, and more authentic, without the explanation...

It's interesting that posters here don't usually just say, "Find it yourself, loser!" then boo you relentlessly. Guess I prefer the gameday stadium experience.

It's awfully positive up there ⬆️; almost...too positive

Ken Dorsey never gets the recognition he deserves smh

Sure seems like modern offenses spend less and less time attacking the parts of the field most impacted by ILB play?

I have often supported Beane's stated goal to field a perennial contender as a valid counterargument against going "all-in" or mortgaging the future now that we have this fairly expensive franchise centerpiece in place longterm. I no longer have any patience for that nonsense. (And I think on some levels, Beane has used that more conservative, "sustainability" refrain only when the really aggressive personnel acquisitions don't come to fruition. After all, he IS the GM who signed a 32/33 year-old HoF pass-rushing/edge legend (a "ledgend"™️) to a 6-year deal despite bad/at-risk knees (as determined by medical imaging team). That's not a draft-and-develop, re-sign-your-own, Pitt or GB type of move. And I'm here for it.) Win ONE championship. Just win ONE effing championship. THEN we can worry about the future. (I would be fine with just one, to be honest. The catharsis of that alone would be powerful and lasting.)

Say what now? (I am honestly missing your meaning.)

I'm not the gatekeeper of potentially racist names/mascots. I'm just a guy who thinks the name "Redskins" was worthy of removal due to its unfortunate origins. Let's not turn this into some kind of culture war, okay?

It's not about a specific person being offended; I'm no morality scold. But sometimes seemingly innocuous language can contribute to historical blind spots and ongoing ignorance. If history is written by the victors, then so, too, is our language. We are well equipped to evolve beyond the atrocities of our past, no? A sports team name should not evoke genocide/apartheid/ethnic cleansing. I think that's fair... I favor the WFT moniker, personally. Has an old-school feel and is appropriately easy to confuse with WTF.

Redskins has a very specific and violent meaning. It refers to native scalps gathered as trophies and/or currency.

Dion Dawkins has always been surprisingly nimble for a big guy, especially when dancing and also when catching TDs. His RAS is initially supportive of this stance, until we realize it's calculated for an OG instead of an OT...(I snipped an infographic of Dawkins scoring an 8.8 but it's as an OG and it's too large a file to attach for some reason: https://ras.football/2019/12/29/dion-dawkins-ras/). I don't think it's wrong to call attention to a generally shared perception of Dawkins's recently (2022/23) increased BMI.

Have you ever been told what "Redskin" refers to? I'll wait...

I've had multiple "made" men at the W Ferry location openly poop all over the pizza sold at the stadium; there was at some point a schism within the family that has the national LaNova's brand selling out (which ships and licenses wings and pizza at a prolific-enough rate to allow for entirely above-board operations since a while back)...the old-timers do NOT enjoy seeing their brand's quality bastardized at the stadium while also price-gouging WNYers at the same time. The younger generation is not exactly concerned with quality. Say what you will about the generation still running the actual restaurants, at least he's there every day, actually concerned about his customers. Such a shame what Bills fans have had available to them inside the stadium for a LONG time.

Say MORE...(DM if necessary)

Solid post. One disagreement: the Bills didn't keep 10 DL on the initial 53 in 2022. They went with 9 (5 DE + 4 DT). So 10 can't really be standard, can it? **upon further, last-second googling, while they kept 9 DL in 2022, they actually rostered 11 in 2021 (making 10 the mean, or standard, here). 11 is kind of crazy, especially given the "uneven" impact the DL was having on most games. They have also, interestingly, kept 7 WRs each of the last two seasons while the TE number went from 2 to 3. ***while they did roster 10 OL in 2020, they have since kept 9 two seasons in a row. You are correct that 8 is not enough. (I might have been conflating the gameday active roster rules that allow for two additional roster spots if a team activates only 7 OL? I might be mistaken still on this point...)

Highmark Stadium F&B concessions have been absolute shite for many years. It is definitely not a treat to enter the stadium hungry and/or thirsty. So much of Bills tailgate culture is designed, in part, to copiously enjoy GOOD food and beverages before passing through the gates and into that captive culinary environment. Nevertheless, I'm there each week, buying something-or-other.

Awesome thread - thank you for sharing! THIS is how math can really deepen the discussion surrounding professional sports: non-predictive analysis of quantifiable data. Don't try to look forward with it; it's an amazing post-hoc tool. Sharp makes the NFL schedule a fascinating and even upsetting topic with his analytical deep dive.

Solid work here. The ONLY place I even flinch at all is TE, where I wonder if Morris has flashed untapped potential as a pass catcher, a skill the Bills might be emphasizing more in their TEs lately. Wonder if there is 1 fewer DL and/or OL spot which could lead to keeping Morris and/or we could see Austin stick in the secondary? He seems like a McDermott CB: long and smart. Do they usually keep 10 DL and 9 OL? I want to recall it being more like 9 DL and 8 OL tbh, but I have to check if that's at all accurate...

Think I agree with every point here. Weird. The nuanced caveat is Allen's 2023 pass protection: 1) if he can set up in the pocket we've seen him be patient and surgical (more in 2021 than 2022?) and move the chains methodically; or, instead 2) if he gets pressured early/often (let's say, for the sake of argument, off the RIGHT SIDE) we see a stubbornly aggressive approach that often ignores simpler solutions in favor of forcing it downfield. So having said that, I'd put the o-line as the X-factor.

Where's the internet fun in sharing reasonable takes like this?! What do you mean I don't KNOW the future of two young prospects who I lump together because they were drafted in the same round and have similar weights (uNdErSiZeD!!!) that I don't realize are closer to the norm now than whatever 245+ pound Pro Bowl LB I'm thinking of from years ago?! Nerds.

As for the OC criticism, couple ways to dice it: consensus among analysts/commentators seems to be that in the 2nd half of the season there WERE often shorter/quicker/underneath routes available to Allen on many of his unsuccessful deeper throws; the essential question then becomes unanswerable for us fans: was it play design (predictable coaching) or QB tendency (player processing regression) that dictated all those (mostly unsuccessful) deep shots against aggressive man-pressure looks (oftentimes on 3rd and short/medium)? If Knox and Hynes and Cook and whoever else were actually open for chain-moving gains, was it Josh or Dorsey who were so easily manipulated into instead tossing up lower percentage throws to single-covered WRs down the field?

Aren't the numbers cited, on a per game average, bottom-of-the-league QB production in 2023? Like 2023 NY Jets QB caliber? 7 TDs and 5 INTs in 6 games at a 58% comp pct and 79 rating...those are BAD NFL QB numbers. Sure you can contextualize and try to rationalize the challenges he faced. But don't try to pass off those dogs#!t numbers as something they're not.