billsrul120

Idk why you include both divisional games and afc championships but not wild card games if you are doing an analysis on playoff performance as a whole. However if you look at playoff games that got the Bills eliminated since Josh's rise to a top level player in 2020: Offense Average: 24.6 ppg (this includes the 10 against the Bengals - if removed the average is 28.25 ppg) Defense Average: 33.2 ppg (this includes 42 given up to the Chiefs in the 13 seconds game - if removed it's 31 ppg) Essentially the Bills offense has performed at or near regular season expectations in these elimination games 5/6 times with the 10 point Bengal game looking like an outlier. The Bills Defense has never allowed less than 27 in an elimination game and 3 times over 30 points (one over 40). It's pretty clear to me that the Bills defense is by far a bigger issue in them getting eliminated than the offense and these numbers bear that out.

I would take a look at Lamar stats and the ending scores of their games. I don’t think this narrative holds up

This is not the only way to measure what you are getting at but according to pro football reference, Mahomes has 14 4th quarter comebacks and Allen has 13. Pretty comparable.

This is a frustrating point; Josh Allen statistically has outperformed LJ in the playoffs by a wide margin. Lack of success is more a fault of the Bills defense than anything else. If the Bills held the Chiefs to 17 like the Ravens D did in the AFC Championship, Bills win the game easily.

I think there is nuance here tho. If Worthy was their last viable 1st rounder then they would have taken him. Since they traded out we know they didn’t think of him any higher than Coleman.

This is all valid. The narrative is that Josh has a turnover problem and it’s funny how if he had dirted that ball it wouldn’t be talked about as much. Instead he throws a pick in the end zone which lost Miami yards. I would rank outcomes as: 1. Allen gets at least the 1st down 2. That pick (or one resulting in Miami with the ball at the 20 or less) 3. Any other outcome We got the 2nd option here and it’s just piling on Allen for turnovers

That is an oversimplification of it. Think of it like this: If both guys can throw it well in perfect weather but one guy can make longer or harder throws, wind will reduce both their capabilities but there is no reason to think it will affect the harder throwing guy more like you are suggesting. And the higher the wind gets, the closer the weaker arm gets to being useless while the stronger arm is still capable of something. All this being said I'd prefer no wind.

Must be tough that the pats have been terrible for so long

Cowboys are much better at home. I don't see Dallas as that good of a team coming to Buffalo in December. Home pts for avg: 40 Away pts for avg: 21.8 Home pts allowed: 12.5 Away pts allowed avg: 23 (and this is including giving 0 up to the Giants. If you remove that game they are giving up 28.75 on average on the road)

I think he said settled

I have a hard time saying KC just gets home field advantage against Buffalo when Buffalo beat them head to head. If anything that should be used as the tiebreaker IMO. I would also be okay with randomly vacating a non-Bills KC game and resetting the records.

If KC and Buffalo are 1 and 2 then they can't play each other until the AFC title game and they would both have had home games up to that point. If you then put the AFC title game on a neutral field there is no home field advantage associated with the higher seed. If you are going to go down this road it is take the bye and lose home field against the other team.

Sure but all teams in the each conference get the same number of home and away games. This year the NFC got 9 home games and the AFC got 8. It effectively has no effect on intraconference seeding for the playoffs.

The Ravens beat the Bengals in their first matchup

What would Cowherd be saying if the Chiefs lost last night though? Mahomes had a chance to close out the Raiders with the ball and couldn't convert a 3rd and short/medium. The Raiders got the ball back with roughly 2 minutes and couldn't into fg range and I'm supposed to believe what Mahomes made that happen from the sideline? He either isn't watching or is trolling but this idea that Mahomes has magic and Allen somehow doesn't is ridiculous.