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freddyjj

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Posts posted by freddyjj

  1. 3 minutes ago, PlayoffsPlease said:

    The defense is ok.   If it is the NFL's best defense, that says more about the NFL state of defenses than it does the Bills. 

    I suspect the stats are distorted by the fact that every Bills game has been a blow out one way or the other.  In the games where the Bills are getting blown out, teams opposing them don't have a lot of incentive to go for big plays, so that may contribute to the favorable YPP.  

     

    My concern with the D has more to with replacing LoRax and Kyle, than their level of performance. Those guys have not been small cogs.  

     

    kudos on the insight here.  The defense will need a slippery 3 technique like Kyle next year - Ed Oliver would fit the bill.  Lorax is a unicorn - can play standing up at SAM, as a pass rusing DE or inside at DT in a Cheetah Rush package.  There are dudes coming out of college who are hybrids and have to believe that OBD is IDing them.  I would also list DE as an issue as Murphy is a potential injury settlement and Shaq is entering option year.  

  2. 56 minutes ago, thurst44 said:

    I'm not sure why everyone just presumes starting Allen means losing more games. Yes, he's raw, but he was 2-2 in complete games against teams that might ALL make the playoffs, and left another game with a good chance to win. We've been an erratic team and might remain erratic, or we're coming together after 9 games with not one easy game (even the Colts on the road is a tough draw) and could get on a roll against teams that have been as much of a mess as we have been.

     

    Allen is not the only guy playing for Bills.  If he were to start I believe the Patriots and Jags would be able to scheme against Bills effectively and Bills would be unable to score vs Pats and Jags.  As for the other 4 games, I see a split with Fins, take second from Jets and a win vs Lions at home.  

     

    Allen would then be 5-5 in games started and finished as a rookie.  Kelly went 4-12.  So 5-5 would be an OK mark in my book.

    1. Jalen Ramsey trashing our rookie QB - please start the lad OBD!
    2. The loss vs Jags in Playoffs.  Half the O starters  and 2/3 of D should still have it fresh in mind.
    3. Cheap Shot by Ngakoue knocked our QB out of playoff game last year - the Oline will be pumped!
    4. Bortles being the hero last year with 88 yds in QB scrambles - Tremaine and Matty M say hell no!
    5. Marrone bailing on Bills.  Only Kyle, Colton Schmidt and Jerry Hughes remain from that 2014 team.  Hard to believe but these are some leaders in locker room.

     

    Hope the weather cooperates and makes the conditions tough on the Jags too!  Go Bills

  3. It was a great call and even better execution.

     

    Interesting that they had put Logan Thomas in upback in games prior to eliminate suspicion of his running the fake.   Most teams must see him as a TE.

     

    Tossed a tight spiral I must say.  Would like to see him versus Josh in an Uncle Rico "over the mountain" toss competition?

  4. 10 minutes ago, eball said:

    Anybody wanna sign up for 7-7 heading to Foxboro?

    OK, you asked so here's what I think:

    1.  Only 2 decent QBs in remaining 6 games - Brady and Stafford.  

    2.  Only 1 team is even a top 16 D, the JAGS are 3rd best D.

    3.  Only 1 team in Top 16 O, the Pats at #10. No top Running backs to face so Bills D can force a one-dimensional game.

     

    That being said, I think we play Allen in the last 6 and go 3-3 to finish 6-10.

     

  5. 7 hours ago, Virgil said:

    I'll be honest, I wasn't really looking for this game nor the subsequent recap.  We were starting another cast-off who hadn't been on the team for more than a handful of games with the worst offense in the NFL.  Here was another game where we make a crap team look amazing and we are debating what to do with our top 5 pick.  And then there was kick off.....

     

    1 - Opening Drive - I felt the entire range of emotions on the opening drive.  I thought, look at us starting Foster at WR and look at the 10 yard cushion.   As Barkley dropped back and cocked his arm, I wondered how far off the pass would be.  Then Foster made an incredible catch.  Not because it was a deep ball, but because he had to track it completely over his head and adjust.  He wasn't wide open either.  He had a step on the defender.  Either way, it was just beautiful.  Then I'm thinking, 3-0 would be our first lead in forever, that's a win; BBFS at it's finest.  So we hand the ball off to Shady and there's a hole.  5 yards downfield, you can see it, Shady can see it, the fans can see it.  Shady kicks into another gear and breaks free for the TD, showing his burst, agility and balance.  In two plays, we are up 7-0 from an offense that hadn't scored a real offensive TD that mattered in forever.  But, true to my BBFS, I fully expected that to be our scripted opening drive like against the Pats, where we look completely lost for the rest of the game.  I love being wrong.

     

    2 - Barkley - He didn't throw for 300 yards.  He wasn't on an NFL roster 2 weeks ago.  He missed some throws by a good margin.  But he was exactly what we've been waiting for all year.  He led the offense in a way that showed you what's possible with this team.  He took shots deep and hit them.  He threw over the middle.  He took some hits and got right back up.  He spread the ball around, threw it up for guys to make plays.  He didn't turn the ball over, however he almost did in the 2nd quarter where he threw to the only guy not wide open.  I don't know if the plan was to sit Allen this year behind Peterman or not, but if it was, Barkley showed in this game that he deserves to be out there while Allen learns.  Guys played for him.  It was a coming out party for the offense in a way we haven't seen all year.  It was fun.  There were multiple drives.  I was disappointed when we punted, rather than expecting it.  Barkley gave us all the greatest pre-bye week gift he could have, hope for this offense.

     

    3 - Benjamin - Let me just get this out of the way now because it's the only negative I have.  We don't need him.  If there is any cap savings in doing it now, then cut him.  His drop, again, on a jump ball in the end zone and all around lack of relevance on the field is a joke.  We have too many other guys fighting for a spot to not give them a chance and he doesn't even serve as a decoy.  It's sad with his height and ability, but I'm done with him.  

     

    4 - Hello world

    It's like a different way of living now

    And thank you world

    We always knew that we'd be free somehow

    In harmony

    And show the world that we've got liberty

     

    5 - Daboll - I'm sorry.  For this week, I'm sorry.  The trick play to Dawkins, the shots downfield, the balanced attack, was all great.  The pass setup the run and McCoy went crazy.  More importantly, we had multiple long drives and didn't take our foot off the gas.  For the first time this season, we looked like a real NFL offense.  Was it the younger guys taking the most of the opportunity, was it a QB that sees the field better?  I honestly don't know.  Whatever it was, I hope to see more of it.

     

    6 - Blitzes - I was really overall impressed with the blitzing scheme that Frazier called.  His coverage disguises worked well and guys were making it into the backfield cleanly.  Milano took a huge shot on McCown.  Our front 4 did a good overall with stunts and edge rushes.  We didn't rack up a ton of sacks like against Minnesota, but we were back there enough to disrupt things and McCown wasn't comfortable.

     

    7 - Special Teams - The aggressive play calling bled into special teams with a beautifully executed fake punt.  Foster made a good move on the defender and Logan Thomas threw it on the money.  It was a combination of timing and skill, two things we haven't seen a lot of on special teams.  It also showed that we weren't going to give the ball back unless we had to.  Loved the move and loved even more than all 3 facets of the team were in sync.  Also, the FG to put us up 17-0 was money in that wind.  

     

    8 - Turnovers - There was an article floating around on here where someone said the Bills were the unluckiest team in the first half with how fumbles bounced.  We had something like the most forced fumbles but the lowest recovery percentage.  That, with a few bounces going our way, games could be different.  Zay's first fumble into the endzone was almost the most Billsy thing to happen.  It's what we would do.  Be up 7-0, drive down field again, fumble into the endzone, the Jets march downfield and tie it up.  Not today.  We recover in the endzone, we get INT's today, we get the bounces and the tips.  Sometimes it's that simple.  Momentum and lady luck may not be factors on paper, but they are a real thing.

     

    9 - McDermott - On 4th and 1, up 14-0, I was nervous about going for it.  Fortunately, the false start took the decision out of our hands.  While we are 2-7 with nothing to lose, maybe I just want points whenever we can get them as I know we can blow a lead.  Either way, McDermott was a man on a mission today.  I don't know what plays he calls and doesn't, but he had everyone on the same page.  He was there after every big play hyping guys up and was incredibly aggressive, which is unlike him.  Today was the game the process is promising us.  I know it's only one game, but to finally see it was something to behold.  Jets or not, we put together a complete game and utilized the max potential of our talent.  Maybe things are looking up.

     

    10 - The Jets - I think Bowles gets fired soon and I don't like saying that because I like him as a coach.  Someone asked why Rex only got 2 years.  The answer was the Jets today.  I'm not saying we didn't play well nor an I diminishing the win, but that team is a mess.  You could see it in the fans, the players on the sidelines.  The team has lost hope and heart.  They still aren't the mess that the Raiders are, but Bowles has lost the team.  They may say the right words to the media, but they are done and change is near.

     

     

    What a great way to head into the bye week.  A Bills win and a Pats loss.  3-0 in my fantasy teams and it looks like we have a viable option at QB if Allen isn't ready.  Here's to a relaxing next weekend and then home for the Jags.

     

    Go Bills!

    Virgil, thanks for doing these every week - must be a little easier after a win!  

     

    I concur with all you said here.  And two plays yesterday brought me to the same conclusion re: Benjamin.  

    1. The dropped TD was obvious.  Do some hand strengthening exercises.  Roll to your left when falling and tuck the ball away from defender.
    2. In the 2nd half there was a medium throw to the sidelines and the Jets DB made a good play to deflect the ball.  It was in the air for 2-3 seconds and Benjamin made no effort to dive for it.   Keep mailing it in KB.  OD likely to keep him around for depth now but I'd cut him.  OBD likely to sign more FA's than lose so no need to worry about loss of compensatory draft pick.
  6. 5 hours ago, Dadonkadonk said:

    Overpaid for the guy but he is doing his job on most snaps.  I've railed against Beane all year and still think he has made the team far worse than last year. But Star looks like a solid under the radar player that is doing what is asked of him.  I don't see anything more than what Dareus was doing and in fact less inside pass rush.  But it is time for me to move on.  

    Now don't let PED Muprhy take away any snaps from Lawson.  

     

     

     

    Tough to fathom after 1st 6 quarters of year but Bills are now #1 ranked D.  Beane and McD have got "their" guys to play the various roles in the complex defensive scheme they run and it is working.  Kudos to you for admitting that the move for Star worked.

     

    I hope Murphy is back after bye for his pass rush skills.  In the meantime, the silver lining is that Shaq is playing great as a starter.  Shaq's name got called more than any other DLineman yesterday.

     

  7. On 11/5/2018 at 1:46 AM, RosenNOTchosen1 said:

    If my memory serves me correct this season is much worse than a couple years ago under Rex. Under Rex the team was very competitive and was almost in every single game that is played. Why did Ryan only get 2 years but with McDermott it's an automatic that he's coming back?

     

    ?

     

     

    My take here:

     

    Not a given McD is back next year.

    As for Rex, per staff at OBD he and Rob were last ones to work in AM and first to leave at night.  Not the best management skills.

  8. On 11/7/2018 at 9:20 AM, gjv001 said:

    It seemed to me that Ryan Lewis was playing well and solidifying the CB spot across from White. The last I heard he was declared a healthy deactivation from the 53 man roster a couple weeks ago. Does anyone have any credible imformation about Lewis's deactivation?

    I was thinking the same thing.  Was listening to Murph/Tasker show at lunchtime today and they stated likely due to his failure to fully digest the complex coverage schemes they use.  Extra time in last few weeks to get up to speed is what Murphy said he was told by coaches.

  9. 1 hour ago, freddyjj said:

    Let me count the ways...

     

    1. QB:  Give Allen one more week off and bye so he has 6 weeks recovery til start vs Jags. Lets him develop some timing with new receiving crew.
    2. OLine:  Bench Ducasse and Miller and play Boettger and Teller at G.  Younger, stronger and more mobile than the guys playing now.  Let Serles play RT and put Mills as backup Swing OT.  Then when year ends we know if we need new starting OGs or not.  Same at RT.  
    3. WR:  Bench Benjamin and start Zay in slot with Pryor and Holmes outside.  Or put Pryor and Zay outside with RayRay in slot.
    4. TE:  Clay to IR and play Croom and Thomas to determine if either can be TE1 next year.
    5. RB:  Abandon the 21 formation with DiMarco and use Shady and Ivory in tandem instead.  RPO with Josh from this formation would be problematic for most D's.
    6. Defense:  More of same.  Can they maybe replace Gaines at CB2 with Lewis or another PS CB?

    Scratch #6 - Mission accomplished!!  https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2018/11/06/bills-cut-phillip-gaines-promote-levi-wallace/

    • Like (+1) 1
  10. Let me count the ways...

     

    1. QB:  Give Allen one more week off and bye so he has 6 weeks recovery til start vs Jags. Lets him develop some timing with new receiving crew.
    2. OLine:  Bench Ducasse and Miller and play Boettger and Teller at G.  Younger, stronger and more mobile than the guys playing now.  Let Serles play RT and put Mills as backup Swing OT.  Then when year ends we know if we need new starting OGs or not.  Same at RT.  
    3. WR:  Bench Benjamin and start Zay in slot with Pryor and Holmes outside.  Or put Pryor and Zay outside with RayRay in slot.
    4. TE:  Clay to IR and play Croom and Thomas to determine if either can be TE1 next year.
    5. RB:  Abandon the 21 formation with DiMarco and use Shady and Ivory in tandem instead.  RPO with Josh from this formation would be problematic for most D's.
    6. Defense:  More of same.  Can they maybe replace Gaines at CB2 with Lewis or another PS CB?
  11. On 11/4/2018 at 8:03 PM, RPbillsfan said:

    No, it's the way to find good in all the misery of this season.

     

    Lets go back to 1984.  One of the worst seasons in Bills history, Kelly still playing in the USFL, Knox walking away due to issues with Ralph.  The AFC East title in 1980 and playoff birth in 1981 were distant memories.  Bruce Matheson at QB.  That horrific season ended with the Bills with a lot of picks of which they turned into Hall of Fame DE Bruce Smith, Hall of Fame WR Andre Reed and quality back-up QB Frank Reich.

     

    The demise of the USFL led to many more quality additions and a not so disimilar situation in having 91 Million in cap space is nearing.

     

    Meaningless wins in this lost season so nothing to help the future, the critical loss of one spot in the draft cost the Bills the opportunity to get LB Patrick Willis and later Luke Keachly.

     

    I want to lose out to get the best player available regardless of position, then supplement free agency with picks for defined need.

     

    History should teach us that it's easier to rise to the top after you have sunk to the bottom.

     

    Comments are welcome of course.

    Agree that we are in tear down / rebuild mode in 2018 / 2019 seasons.  Bills rebuilt WR and DL overnight in 1985 draft.  I agree OBD should draft best player available at top of board.

     

    Just a minor correction that 1984 was 2 years after Knox left, Kay Stephenson went 8-8 in 1983 after taking over then went 2-14 in 1984.  Bruce Mathison was not a Bill in 1984 - he split 1985 QB duties with Vince Ferragamo.   In 1984 Joe Ferguson started 11 games in his last year as a Bill and then the other Joe, Joe Dufek started 5.  Bills went 2-14 to clinch top pick in draft in 1984.  They did manage to beat Cowboys 14-3 at home that year.

     

    They started 1985 0-4, Stephenson was fired and Hank Bullough took over as Head Coach.  He went 2-10 balance of 1985 and got canned after going 2-7 in 9 games in 1986 (with Kelly at QB).  On came Marv and the rest became history.  

  12. 1 hour ago, 1ZAYDAY1 said:

    I expect that number to triple next year to roughly $30M. Why, Josh Allen and the running game need it!!!

     

    I also expect the only starter to be back will be Dawkins.

    IMHO there bigger failure than QB was their handling of the Oline.  Bills lost 3 starters vs 2015/2016 teams - Wood, Glenn and Richie.  Severely overestimated Ducasse and Miller's capabilities. Both are NFL backup quality players.   At OT, Newhouse, McDermott were barely NFL roster players prompting them to deal Newhouse and sign Serles mid-season.  As for C, neither Groy nor Bodine are capable NFL starters - again, like QB,  there was a competition where the competitors themselves were not worthy entrants.

     

    Going into 2019 I would keep Dawkins, Serles, Boetgger and Teller.  Draft a franchise  LT and move Dawkins to LG.  SIgn a C and RT in FA and let the 2 kids fight it out at RG.  Bid farewell to Mills, Ducasse, Miller and Groy.   Bodine and Serles are backups in 2019.

    from another thread.  OBD needs to double down in FA and land a C and RT for 2019.

    • Like (+1) 1
  13. 44 minutes ago, freddyjj said:

     

    IMHO there bigger failure than QB was their handling of the Oline.  Bills lost 3 starters vs 2015/2016 teams - Wood, Glenn and Richie.  Severely overestimated Ducasse and Miller's capabilities. Both are NFL backup quality players.   At OT, Newhouse, McDermott were barely NFL roster players prompting them to deal Newhouse and sign Serles mid-season.  As for C, neither Groy nor Bodine are capable NFL starters - again, like QB,  there was a competition where the competitors themselves were not worthy entrants.

     

    Going into 2019 I would keep Dawkins, Serles, Boetgger and Teller.  Draft a franchise  LT and move Dawkins to LG.  SIgn a C and RT in FA and let the 2 kids fight it out at RG.  Bid farewell to Mills, Ducasse, Miller and Groy.   Bodine and Serles are backups in 2019.

    from another thread.  OBD needs to double down in FA and land a C and RT for 2019.

  14. 1 hour ago, Wayne Arnold said:

    There won’t be any coaching changes after this season so save your breaths.

     

    The Franchise hasn’t even played these last three games so it’s hilarious to me how angry so many are. These games are meaningless at this point.

     

    Once we saw McCarron look worse than Peterman in the preseason and then traded, we should have all seen the writing on the wall: the offense was going to be atrocious.

     

    The only hope this team had of contending for a playoff spot in 2018 was for McCarron (or Peterman) to at least be as good as Taylor was last season. Maybe Beane gave up on McCarron too early and should’ve given him two or three starts at least before getting rid of him. Then again, they never would’ve received a 5th round pick at that point. And would McCarron suddenly have become good if given a start or two? I doubt it.

     

    No one expected the O to be this historically awful but what difference does it make? Bad is bad. You can cry all you want about how terrible the offense is but in the end, this is all about Josh Allen. He’s all that matters.

     

    Allen will come back after the bye and get some experience in a terrible offense. Beane will upgrade the offensive personnel during the off-season and we will see if Allen improves. If he doesn’t then McDermott and Beane will both be on a pretty hot seat.

     

    If we reach the end of the 2020 season and Allen stinks, then kiss these guys goodbye.

     

    As for right now, anyone calling for a GM or coaching change needs a grip on reality.

    An A for your take - realistic and spot on.

     

    IMHO there bigger failure than QB was their handling of the Oline.  Bills lost 3 starters vs 2015/2016 teams - Wood, Glenn and Richie.  Severely overestimated Ducasse and Miller's capabilities. Both are NFL backup quality players.   At OT, Newhouse, McDermott were barely NFL roster players prompting them to deal Newhouse and sign Serles mid-season.  As for C, neither Groy nor Bodine are capable NFL starters - again, like QB,  there was a competition where the competitors themselves were not worthy entrants.

     

    Going into 2019 I would keep Dawkins, Serles, Boetgger and Teller.  Draft a franchise  LT and move Dawkins to LG.  SIgn a C and RT in FA and let the 2 kids fight it out at RG.  Bid farewell to Mills, Ducasse, Miller and Groy.   Bodine and Serles are backups in 2019.

  15. 4 minutes ago, YoloinOhio said:

    I still think we are looking at Jacksonville. Ramsey will be disappointed if he can’t play his favorite “Trash” QB

    lol in all the excitement I forgot about that one. 

     

    Maybe get their secondary a "Canadian Ballet" limo so they can runup a $64000 CAD bill or $45000 USD bill on SAT pm.  

     

    Exchange Rate be damned, they ain't payin anyway!

    • Haha (+1) 2
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