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Posts posted by SoCal Deek
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My only hope is that Beane understands the Cap because reading through all of these posts from armchair GMs makes my head hurt. 😉
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Let him walk. Keeping guys around long after their prime is a very drought-years approach. Time to move on. If Von wants to win a Super Bowl with another team let him try his luck in Detroit.
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Bye, bye. He’s a cancer.
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16 minutes ago, appoo said:
Bills can't have a 45M-50M QB and a 15M RB. That's just reality. If it came down to it. I'd rather trade cook for a 2nd or late 1st, resign Ty Johnson, and draft a 4th/5th round RB and start Davis.
And then use all them high draft picks to reinvigorate the talent on D
Nor can they swim with that ridiculous albatross of Von Miller’ contract hanging around their necks.
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2 hours ago, gonzo1105 said:
I guess I’m curious who specifically we are talking about
Nolan, Collins, Porter, Burch….off the top of my head. You have all of those guys being selected right around the Bills selections in the same rounds. I’m guessing there’s a good reason why in each case. (And I’m literally praying we don’t end up with 1,000 page threads next year about why Beane shoulda, woulda, coulda 😂)
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I’m always impressed with the work you guys put into these Mock Drafts. Well done and much appreciated as I have virtually no knowledge in the scouting arena. With that said, every time I look at someone’s draft I immediately look to see which players, at the same position, are shown to be taken within the half dozen or so picks directly AFTER the Bills selection. Such is the case with this latest updated Mock. I’m wondering if anyone can discuss why Beane takes the projected players over the DT, CB, or DE shown here; as opposed to those listed still on the board when our turn comes up?
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At $3.3m that means Morris earned $91,666 per receiving yard last season. Nice!
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32 minutes ago, Buffalo_Stampede said:
Seems like the Browns, Bears, and Chiefs are heading to domes.
That will leave these cold weather outdoor teams that will build new stadiums in the next 15 years. How many cold weather open air stadiums will be left in 15 years? I think the Packers will always be open air. Maybe the Steelers, Ravens, and Bengals. I think the rest are domes.Jets
Patriots
Steelers
Bengals
Ravens
Broncos
Eagles
Giants
Commanders
Packers
Seahawks
I look at it differently. There isn’t a single domed stadium in the northeast. Glass half empty or half full?
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A couple of things I notice from looking at the latest series of drone photos (which are really amazing):
1. The precast subcontractor is behind schedule and is holding up the steel subcontractor, who is kicking butt.
2. Unlike the current stadium, there are no vomitories (tunnels) accessing the sideline upper deck. You'll go up or down stairs at the leading edge of the balcony.
Again, the some really great photos!
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The real question is coming from Green Bay can he play in cold weather? You'all know that the new stadium isn't a dome.....right? 😉
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Is Groot worth more than Shakir? I realize they pay different positions on a different pay scale, but when you consider it from a strict 'value' standpoint I can't see justifying any more than Shakir just go....and probably less.
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50 minutes ago, DCofNC said:
In reality, most starters are taking up more than 4% once they hit a second deal. The QB takes up a massive percentage. The balance is finding a way to pay about 8 guys a total of 50+% of the cap and fill the rest of the roster with good enough players to be competitive. This is why drafting is SO IMPORTANT and finding impact players is a HUGE deal. This is also the thing Beane has failed to do here. The talent on the roster is severely lower than the Chiefs, Eagles, Ravens, etc because the drafts have not yielded any impact players. His best pick outside of Allen, has been Benford, a 6th round pick. That’s flat out scary and explains the roster issues.
Yep....so all the more reason why paying Shakir something close to 4 or 5% of the roster seems like a REALLY good deal.
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2 hours ago, colin said:
joe marino always goes on about % of cap.
this is just shy of 5.5%, if the cap is going to pop as much in the next two years as it has in the last two years, that's going to be closer to 4%.
we can do this, extend groot, trade for garrett, and even bring in a vet cb/wr this offseason based on the above. we have to get cheaper elsewhere, which means rookies come in and play well.
von, knox, milano will all have contract reductions or be let go in the next two years. allen can be extended to shift his cap forward when cap inflation makes the % much smaller.
i think shakir would get about that in FA, and you can argue his skill set isn't worth that, but you don't put a uniform on skill sets, you put a uniform on players, and his chemistry w allen, his level of work and focus, and his understanding of the offense on this team are all really really high value.
this being kinda cheap for his production vs cook being eye watering at the same contract shows a great example of relative value in the nfl. you play with 3 and change wrs on average, and 1 and change rbs on average. upgrading an individual wr gives you more opportunity for comparative advantage on offense, the d has to pick their poison and potentially change coverage. you generally defend an RB more or less the same way, and the OL has such a huge impact on the run game that we have high levels of production per snap on all of our RBs. i think the nfl has gone a little too far w over valuing wrs (especially the top guys) and undervaluing rbs (again, especially the top guys, henry and barkley were obvious cheat code level players who were obtained for not much % of cap) but the direction is right.
by the 3rd year of this contract (4 years time from now), after the guarantee is more or less absorbed (im guessing, assuming no restructures) shakir will be like 3 and change % of cap. he was our best wr in 2023 even with diggs having a huge start to his season, that's a pretty good value proposition.
Thanks. That’s an interesting way to look at it…and I honestly wish more people did. If you have essentially 50 players then each one represents 2% of the roster. So you’ve gotta think that starters are at 3% and subs are at 1%. Then figure in that you’ve got a few exceptional starters at 4% and a few special teamers and rookies at something lower than 1%. It’s quite a balancing act for sure. While we all take the occasional jab at Beane, it’s a really tricky job for sure.
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9 hours ago, Doc Brown said:
LOL. I like living in the cold more than the heat. I'd pry rather move to Winnipeg than California if given the choice.
You're aware that the games aren't on here early because of the temperature.....right? 😉 And for reference, it's going to be 75 and sunny here today with virtually no humidity.
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3 hours ago, Doc Brown said:
It's more the times of day. Those 9:30 games suck.
Here’s a hint: do NOT move to California! 😂
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15 hours ago, HOUSE said:
You are talking about 21 year old kids here
Most can not change a tire
Or a lightbulb! 😉
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5 hours ago, hondo in seattle said:
Thanks for posting. I hadn't realized that the Bills had finally, finally, finally broken .500.
Just imagine where they’d be if they hadn’t sat the starters for this year’s finale against the Patriots. 😂
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I’ve been faithfully watching this team for over FIFTY years and it turns out that winning or losing is essentially a coin flip! Sheeesh.
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Something was tweaked for sure. He had developed a wicked, and consistent SLICE in his kicks, but he clearly straightened it out. I have to hope this was something that the coaching staff worked on with him. So often on here we're quick to criticize the players and completely overlook the positional coaching staff. In baseball, golf, etc. coaches will work for hours analyzing the slightest change in swing and stroke. In football, we tend to assume the player is out there completely on his own. Why the long answer? Because I have to wonder if the same is true of our Defensive Line, especially our EDGE rushers.
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I could get interested in Steelers v Bills in Dublin.
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1 minute ago, RichRiderBills said:
I don't feel Cooper will be expensive.
Keep Cooper resign Hollins and draft a new burner.
I agree. The fact that Cooper didn’t do all that much for us in 2024 actually works in the Bills favor. I assume it lowered his free agency value to other teams, and he’s reported as liking it in Buffalo. I’d go around again with him and Hollins in 2025 and spend the majority of the draft on the defensive side.
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I had no idea that Cooper Kupp’s four years OLDER than DK Metcalf. I’d have actually bet it was the other way around. Go figure!
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I know it doesn’t work exactly like this but picking at 30 one has to assume that the Bills will select from the players with an overall rating of something like 27 through 33. Who are those six players and do we want any of them? (This assumes three or four teams ahead of us will ‘reach’ for a player of positional need.)
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What I see from that Draft Class is a bunch of guys who the coaching staff refused to put on the field and/or utilize. It seems like the Front Office and the Coaching Office are in two different buildings. Now maybe that’s because the established roster is good enough so as to not need to throw rookies into the fire but I’m guessing the post-season grades would be much better if this year’s class had been drafted by other, more needy, teams.
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Can we talk about a Back Up QB?
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
Draft a QB and let the development process begin. It saves money, has zero impact on the Bills 2025 chances if Josh misses a game or two, and the rookie ‘could’ become some much more enticing trade bait in the near future.