Mat68

Its easier to spot now than before. Most places have prop bet limits. NBA ref already got caught doing it a decade ago. The places know who place the bets. Its in the books benefit to look into because they can keep the money and not pay the winning bet if they expect fraud. More lower level players will get caught and kicked out. Random person who never bet makes massive bet wont be a red flag? Cant make a massive bet on a prop anways. Kicker makes Atleast 10,000 a game will bet 1,000 to win 2,000 and maybe lose his job making way more?

27-21 Buff. Baltimore is a good team. I think they are a straight forward matchup. Little more of a struggle on offense. They move the ball enough and stay balanced enough to make enough plays to win. Keon Coleman has his best game as a pro. The dline imposes its will and slows down Henry. Lamar makes a handful of plays but not enough.

Ingram, Hamlin and Lewis are all great examples. 2 udas and a late rd pick. All have played great. I think the lack of Johnson, Milano and Benard has allowed the defense to become more multiple. You are not taking those 3 off the field. Lewis and Ingram offer more in spots than Milano or Benard. Down for down they are missed . In spots I think Buffalo is more unpredictable right now.

Brady is maximizing Allens mind not his physical ability. Gives Allen the tools to recognize the defense and knows where to attack. Allen is reaching the pinnacle of QB play. Find the holes in zone get to the matchups in man. Play off we will run it down your throat. Defense makes the right call stops play and Allen now gets the first down or a TD. Its pretty incredible. I don't expect Allen to be perfect every game but this design puts a heck of a-lot on defenses.

Benford was the opposite of that. You don't draft a limited athlete from a small school. He was a traits guy from a lower level school. His RAS was over 8 so he wasn’t limited as an athlete. Either way he walked in as starter which is crazy coming from a small school when they drafted Cb in rd 1.

They play clean they can beat anybody. The balance Buffalo possess is a real issue for defenses. You play man we can beat that. You play zone we can beat that. You want to load the box we will throw it behind you. You want to play 2 safeties deep? We will pound it right at you. They wont go undefeated but they are a very tough out. Baltimore is getting back to running. I expect more Henry to setup Jackson and play action. Real first test for Spector and Lewis. Run fits, open field tackling, and middle of the field throws.

I have been saying it all week. Jacksonville will play heavy man and take away the run game. I see Allen shredding. Possibly his first 300 yard game. Only thing that stops it is the game gets out of hand early. Allen might not get many attempts in the second half. Big Allen game. Very reminiscent to Tennessee at home on Monday night a few years back. 11 days rest before. Like Jacksonville, Tenn was a thorn in Buffalos side for a few years. They throttled them. I expect the same outcome tonight. 0-2 0-7 10-0 I dont care. Match up league. Cant play man vs Allen. They will fall for the trap of taking away the run. Good luck.

Spector and Morrow look massive.

Copy cat league. The legion of boom spawned numerous cover 3 teams. Shannahan killed it. Those coaching tree coaches kill it. Vic Fangio, Mcdermott had success with 2 safties and force the offenses to play the long game. Now many teams are pivoting to that. Kc and Buf already pivoted to beating that style. They also have aliens at qb. Your average qb will struggle going 3 wide vs tighter window throws. I think you will see the difference on Oc’s and Qbs as the year goes on.

38-17. Jacksonville comes out with a defensive game plan to stop the run. Buffalo comes out firing and before you blink it’s 21-0 and the stadium is rocking.

Ed Oliver. Quietest 9.5 sacks by a DT maybe ever. 4th down blowing up the guard and getting the sack was art. He is playing pretty dominate football for a year now. Due to his size he can eat a double team in the run game from time to time. I think PFF negatively affects his overall perceptions. Dude is a top 5 tackle and is not talked about as such.

I would not. When he has played he has made plays. Been a bit handsy and inconsistent as a tackler. Those are coachable. If something happens to Douglas or Benford Im comfortable starting Elam. Douglas is 30 on his last year of his deal. If on a reserve role this year I would like to see how he reacts to a competition for the job next year. Elam is in this position more of what Benford has done and not what Elam has not done.

Void years. Help current cap by spreading the cap payment over years past physical contracted years.

Terrible early down pass rate and 2nd and long run rate. They are run, run, pass punt. With the obvious play action roll out to flat or tunnel screen for no gain sprinkled in for flare. I put little into pff grades. Especially, interior line play and second level defenders.

Only under 2 mins.

They obviously feel the injuries are less than 4 weeks. Benard they have until Sunday to make the decision.

Not keeping the weight he put on 2 off-seasons ago was a mistake. Gotta have that natural armer to absorb the hits. Having another severe brain injury on a normal football play makes you question everything for him moving forward. A neuro scientist or Dr wont be able to simply clear him of symptoms but future damage sustained. Eric Wood was healthy but any play cut threaten his spinal cord. Im not a doctor but wouldn't Tua risk paralysis with the increased reaction to the damage?

Tackle is a real problem for them. Losing Pacheco removes the explosiveness out of their run game. He runs like a bowling ball but also has real speed. They beat 2 good teams. The goods teams did also lose to the Raiders and Patriots.

I was being sarcastic. Jerry blows a fuse if they get blown out. Game is a must watch on Sunday imo. More AFC teams lose the better. I think Baltimore has lost too much on the oline over the years. RT looks like a problem. Same for guard. Is anyone scared of their run game? Jackson cant run it 15 plus times a game and make it to January.

Super bowl expectations and getting blown out 2 weeks in a row will sit fine with Jerry.

I think on Monday at home Buffalo has an offensive explosion. I 100% think the Jaguars DC is going to make an effort to stop the Bills run game. By doing so the passing game is dynamic and lethal. 3-4 passing Tds before half. Depending on the defense getting more turnovers the second half might be similar to Miami. A few big plays early might be too much for Jacksonville to withstand and the game is broken open.

Cowboys off a blowout loss and Baltimore off a choke job. Great game. I could see either team getting blown out or it being a defensive struggle. Cowboys wins really puts Baltimore in a blender. Same can be said for Dallas.

They are trying to coast him to the playoffs. I dont think they want to over use him early and zap his legs for another run. The AFC looks the most open. I think Buffalo has a shot at the 1 seed and bye. I think that would do wonders for the defense and overall team health.

Rapp played a ton last season. Starting now. Buffalo likes him a lot. Barring something changing Rapp is in the plan for next season too. Lewis is mix of slot and safety. Best of either Hamlin or Edwards could be retained. If Cine makes it off career life support that would be a depth option too.

Kc has some pretty big Oline issues and the best player on offense not named Mahomes or Kelce is hurt for a significant time in Pacheco. Without a run game. Puts a bit more on Kelce and Rice.