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Shaw66

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Posts posted by Shaw66

  1.  

    I don't think the difference is a wide of margin as you think amongst people inside the NFL. Yes, I agree Flacco is probably more often than not going to be picked as the better QB, especially with a SB on his resume. But lets be real, they had a lot of fortunate things happen for that to be possible (should have never made the SB but blown coverages gave them a late gift) and he's done very little since and his numbers are not that great either.

     

    Who do you think causes more problems for DC to game plan for? I promise you its not Flacco whose leads a medicore offense where Tyrod is the most dangerous QB in the NFL while running, is more efficient, and leads a substantially higher scoring offense.

     

    And most of what Tyrod has accomplished has been with a substantially worse group of receiving weapons as Sammy has barely been healthy the 2 years Tyrod played, yet he is still more efficient, better rating, way less turnovers, etc. So I don't think the gap between them amongst his peers is as big as you think it is.

     

    In fact, I will say it right now...I think Tyrod will have a better year (again) than Flacco this year. He will have more total TD's, less INT's, and lead a higher scoring offense than what Baltimore will do this year. Lets look at them side by side the last 2 years:

     

    Total TD's

    TT: 29 games: 47 TD's (1.62 per game)

    JF: 26 Games: 39 TD's (1.5 per game)

    Tyrods Better

     

    Total Turnovers

    TT: 29 games: 19 (0.65 per game)

    JF: 26 Games 31 (1.19 per game)

    Tyrods a LOT better

     

    Comp %

    TT: 29 games: 62.6%

    JF: 26 Games: 64.7%

    Flacco's Slightly Better

     

    Total Yards Per Game

    TT: 29 games: 248.5 yards

    JF: 26 Games: 276.5 yards

    Joe is Better - but looking at the next 2 stats, way less efficient in getting those yards and comes from sheer VOLUME over efficiency.

     

    Yards Per Attempt

    TT: 29 games: 7.42 Yards

    JF: 26 Games: 6.57 yards

    Tyrods a Lot Better

     

    Average Attempts Per Game

    TT: 29 games: 28.1 Att/game

    JF: 26 Games: 41.5 Att/game

    Flacco throws the ball 13.4 more times per game than TT while TT rushes for 5.6 more times for a net gain of 7.8 MORE combined attempts per game by Flacco and yet only averages 28 more total yards per game on those extra attempts.

     

    Average Points Per Game (only games they were the QB in)

    TT: 29 games: 24.7 per game (15 games in 2016 = 25.9)

    JF: 26 games: 21.9 per game (16 games in 2016 = 21.4)

    Tyrods team a LOT better (despite Baltimore having better WR's and a much better defense).

     

    Career QB Rating:

    TT: 92.3

    JF: 84.5

    Tyrods significantly higher

     

    So you guys can sit back here and say whatever you want, but the FACTS remain that Tyrod has been the better QB the last 2 years with WAY worse coaching, and less talent to throw to due to the injuries that plagued our receivers the last 2 years. If Flacco had NOT won the SB, his status would not be nearly as high as it is, his on field production has been middle of the road outside that one improbable run. And I didn't even bother to identify that massive difference running the ball by TT compared to Flacco as its not even worth comparing as TT is a million times more dangerous and productive at that.

     

    And the funny thing is this: I am not even making a case for Tyrod over Flacco...I am just identifying that the margin isn't nearly as big as some of you want to make it out to be, and that Tyrod (whether you want to believe it or not) gets more respect from his peers than people here do and hasn't been remotely as bad as the nay sayers paint him to be. Especially when you consider the poor coaching and poor health at the WR position.

    This stuff is very interesting and I'm inclined to agree with you. I've never liked Flacco all that much.

     

    However, it's a team game, and it's very difficult to give Flacco and Taylor complete credit or blame for a lot of this. It's just too hard to tell.

     

    What I can do is imagine Flacco at QB for the Bills instead of Taylor. I can't do the opposite, because I don't have a good sense of what the Ravens' offense is like. Imagining Flacco in the Bills' offense, Taylor is clearly better. Taylor's positive yardage plays with his legs would all be lost with Flacco at QB. And Flacco throwing 28 or 30 times a game just wouldn't be so much more effective than Taylor to overcome the difference Taylor creates running.

     

    But even then, it isn't a true comparison. If Flacco had been the Bills' QB for the past two seasons, the Bills would have thrown the ball a lot more. The offense would have been different. So the question isn't which QB is better? The question is which version of the Bills' offense would be better, the version built around Taylor or the version built around Flacco. I think THAT's a close question.

     

    Having said all that, your post is an excellent discussion, one of the best I've seen, of how effective Taylor actually has been. I'm perfecting willing to give the Taylor detractors the right to their opinions, and their opinions may actually be correct. What bothers me about the people who don't like Taylor is that they try to explain why the stats that make it clear that Taylor has been an effective QB for the Bills.

  2. I guess I'm just going off that we'll probably see 2 LBs on the field most of the time, and we have Hodges, Brown, Alexander, Humber, Milano, and Vallejo. I personally cannot wait to see if Ragland can produce in our scheme, but just from a numbers game standpoint it would make sense to me. IF there's a trade partner.

    My rule is don't give up on high-end talent too early. Ragland is one of those guys who could be a major impact player in the defense for the next five years. No way do I trade him before we even have chance to look at him. Especially in the scenario you're talking about - trading a potential impact player who plays in the center of the field for a receiver that his original team doesn't want and who at best will become a number 2 wideout but more likely will simply be competing to for the 4th or fifth spot in the receiving corps. Makes no sense.

  3.  

    lol.

     

    No, Gomer. I love what this FO is doing. They have a plan. This seems light years ahead of what the previous FO had.

    I liked Whaley. But you're right about this. Whaley was pretty good at getting good talent, but he didn't have a winning plan for the long of talent he needed. If he saw an opportunity to get a good player he got.him, regardless of the fit.

     

    Of course, he had a coach who also didn't have a plan. What we are seeing now is a coach who has a plan working with a gm who is on board with it.

     

    In the case of Maclin, for example, these coaches have seen Holmes and the others and they have an idea about Zay. What they've seen informed their judgment abiut how badly or not they needed a talent like Maclin.

  4. I'm loving what the FO is doing. They're setting prices and are determined not to overpay for people...

    I agree. Actually, Whaley did that generally too, but this front office seems.more disciplined. They know whom that want and they know how much they're willing to pay. That's how the Pats operate and it makes sense.

     

    One thing I like about it is that it pyts the responsibility to win on the HC. It says to the HC that he will have good talent at a fair price and the rest is up to him. And I think McD welcomes that challenge.

  5. Went a way for a few hours and came back to find out if there's any news. Guess not, except for random unconfirmed air travel "sightings." But maybe those are true.

     

    Jeans? I don't see how anyone gets along without jeans. I have a rotation that requires about four pair. The newest pair is for casual dress. The next newest pair, the level my dress jeans fall too when it's time, is casual workman's shopplng and light work around the house. So if I'm going to some light yard work, the second pair is nice, and I still look halfway decent if a run to Home Depot becomes necessary. Sooner or later that pair gets some random paint stain or minor damage and it moves into the third spot, which is for more heavy duty work around the house but not for wear outside the house or in decent society (!). Don't care very much what happens to that paid, because if you spill paint on them or do something else that makes them generally a mess, they drop to the fourth spot in the rotation: paint pants and serious yard work.

     

    You could run the same rotation with cotton pants, but (1) they aren't as rugged for the back-end of my rotation and (2) they just aren't jeans.

  6. What's wrong with Maclin and the Bills? they aren't negotiating on Sunday? Their fans are waiting!

     

    Maybe they're trying out a few of these recipes.

     

    You guys are serious cooks. Last night it was just asparagus, fresh Italian sausage (hot and sweet) and peppers an onions, all on the grill. Then built a fire in the backyard and just chilled for a couple of hours.

     

    And now, back to football.

  7.  

     

    An experienced GM would not have done it this way. If you think one would have I don't really know what to say.

     

    Shady was posting smiley pictures with Maclin and touting his recruiting skills, which is all fine.....if he is doing it on his own. But to post all of this stuff on the OFFICIAL TEAM Web site is a completely different story and requires an inexperienced GM...or front office in general because it is silly and unprofessional. Seasoned GMs do not do silly and unprofessional things.

     

    I agree that keeping it quiet is unrealistic but there is a wide gap between keeping it quiet and how it was handled here.

     

    Look, at the end of the day, even if Maclin signs with Baltimore today and openly mocks the Bills.....all unlikely....it still isn't really all that big of a deal and I'd still be optimistic about the new staff.....but to say this would have happened with a more experienced GM/staff is erroneous. It was a rookie mistake even though I happen to like this particular rookie.

    The question is the magnitude of the "mistake." The magnitude is significantly smaller than this thread.

     

    Would Beane prefer it if Chris Brown hadn't hyped Maclin so much? Yes. Did Beane say something to Brown and his boss about it? Maybe. Does it make any difference in terms of the Bills' ability to win games or sell tickets? No.

  8.  

    ...this is pretty interesting if accurate versus speculation.......sounds more speculative IMO...........

     

    ESPN Ravens reporter Jamison Hensley believes Eric Decker may be higher on Baltimore's wish list than free agent Jeremy Maclin.
    Maclin is scheduled to visit the Ravens if/when he leaves Buffalo. Hensley wonders if it even matters now, since Decker better fits what the Ravens need, which is a big-bodied receiver who scores touchdowns in the red zone. Decker is just that at 6'3/214. Only Dez Bryant, Brandon Marshall, Antonio Brown, and Demaryius Thomas have scored more touchdowns since 2012, and that's with Decker missing 13 games last season. Jun 7 - 8:55 AM
    Source: ESPN.com

     

    He might be higher on the Bills' list, too, for the exact same reasons. Bills have been desperate for a red zone target.

  9. I think that the important thing to understand in all of this is it will be Maclin's decision ultimately. There are no rules as to what he has to accept or do. He can take the Bills offer right to Baltimore and say "do better" if that's the issue. If he wants he can take that back to the Bills and say "match this and I'm coming." We don't know what he wants at the moment. We can assume that he has some pretty strong relationships in Buffalo and they have the cap space. We don't know though what it is he wants.

    We don't know what he wants, but the Bills know exactly what he wants. Both sides are pretty direct about what they want in these things. If they're close enough that they think they can make a deal, they talk about how they could restructure to get enough of what both sides want. Obviously, that process wasn't able to bridge the gap in Buffalo. Maybe it will work for Maclin in Baltimore, and maybe it won't. If it won't, he'll reconsider his own idea of his value and keep looking.

     

    It's important to remember that teams have wildly different views of the value of players. The value to any given team varies with the teams' cap situation, the talent it has at the same position, the age of the talent they have, the impact they think the player would have on the team's play. Beane and McDermott think about factors like that and other factors, and they decide what it's worth to pay for the player. The circumstances at the Ravens will generate a different number. It doesn't mean Beane was wrong and the Ravens guy was right. (Much like the Gillislee decision - just because he was worth $4 million to the Pats doesn't mean that he was worth $4 million to the Bills.)

  10.  

     

    Would an experienced GM allow all the smiley face posts on the official team web site about Maclin's visit and how McCoy was doing all the recruiting and everything was rainbows and unicorns if a deal wasn't done?

     

    Does that really sound like someone with experience to you? Not to me.

     

     

     

    It sounds like a rookie who is about to make one of his best players look like a fool while letting down the fan base. And he made public his desire to get a new WR while not exactly treating our best receiver well. And there is nothing to show for any of it.

     

    Does that sound like someone with experience to you? Be honest.

     

     

    I'm not saying he won't improve. He probably will. We all need to learn hard lessons at some point and this looks like his first one.

    First, I think what you're saying is correct, except that the way the Bills reported this is about how they always have done it. When press reports get to be pretty clear that something's going on, Chris Brown reports on the press reports. He doesn't report news like this with information from within. It's just outside news. And I believe they've also done interviews in the past with Bills players about they're interest in getting a guy. Not often, but occasionally. Still, seems to me that if I'm the GM I don't want my organization doing this.

     

    Second, you make it sound like it's an important lesson to be learned. This isn't a "hard lesson." This is a truly minor event, at most an irritant. Six months from now, if the Bills are over .500, NO ONE, absolutely NO ONE will be talking about the fact that the Bills may have overhyped the possibility of getting Maclin. If the Bills are below .500, some people may be ascribing it to the failure to get Maclin, but NO ONE will be complaining because Beane allowed Brown to overhype the possibility. It's about wins and losses and more or less nothing else.

     

    I said the same thing six months ago. Remember six months ago? The press was plastered with stuff saying the Bills were "dysfunctional," a dumpster fire" and all that. The Bills can't do anything right. The acting head coach got steam-rolled by the press at his first and maybe last Bills press conference. Then Whaley held a press conference and the press crucified him. Then the press went after Terry Pegula, because he doesn't handle the press well, either. Does ANYONE care about that now? ANYONE? Would you rather manage the press well than less well? Of course. Does failure to manage the press well cost the Bills money? Sure doesn't look like it. First, most of the revenue comes from the league, not anyone who reads the Bills home page. Second, the current level of management of public relations doesn't seem to have affected ticket sales.

     

    Did Doug Whaley get fired because he wasn't great with the cameras on? The exact same Doug Whaley would still have his job if the Bills had gone 11-5 and he'd been horrible with the press. Hey, did you see the Pats fired Bill Belichick because he gives lousy press conferences?

     

    Might Beane declare internally that the Bills won't report that way again? Sure. But if he has trouble sleeping tonight, do you think it will be because (a) Jeremy Maclin didn't sign or (b) Chris Brown may have led some people to believe that Maclin WOULD sign?

  11. We have no idea what Whaley did or didn't do this offseason which is typical Bills.... No idea who is accountable for what.

     

    We DO know that he ran the football personnel side of the business until McDermott arrived. My point is that all of the decisions before McD arrived were his, and all of the decisions after McD arrived were based primarily on information Whaley's organization developed. So if we like what the Bills have done in the off season, a lot of the credit fairly goes to Whaley. Would Whaley have made all the same decisions (like drafting Jones)? I don't know. But Whaley developed all the information on which the Jones choice was made.

  12.  

    Now that's to say that IMHO the Bills stayed the same at the #2 and #3 WR at a third of the price it would have taken for them to re-sign Woods, much less also Goodwin. I think Jones will be an upgrade eventually. But I'd love for them to get Maclin.

    My view, too. As McD said before the draft, he thought the Bills #2 guy was already on the roster. Then they drafted Jones. So at that point they seemed set at WR. Then Maclin unexpectedly drops on the market. If they can sign him it's great team building.

     

    And I have to point that Whaley was better than all his harshest critics suggest. WHALEY let Woods go and signed the Holmes, Brown and the others. WHALEY drafted Jones. And Whaley would have been in the hunt for Maclin, because Whaley had managed the cap situation well enough to give the Bills the room they need to sign Maclin.

     

    People will say that McDermott ran everything since the day he took over, but he didn't build the scouting organization, he didn't single-handedly generate the evaluations of the free agents the Bills signed before the draft, he didn't scout Jones like the Bills scouting organization did. That was all done under Whaley's management. It doesn't make Whaley a god, but he was a capable GM.

    Woods was injured, Groin ??

    When Woods played injured, he barely functional. When he played healthy he was good, but even at his healthiest, he wasn't the threat Maclin has been.

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