Scott7975

Right, that's all reasonable. My thing is that in that scenario, there are 4 different games that if any of them go the other way the Bills would be out. Any of the 4 games going the other way is also reasonable. So, while you have shown 1 way the Bills can get in, I can show you 4 different ways that put the Bills out based off of that. To me, that's not good odds.

In case anyone wants an easy snapshot of upcoming games for the playoff race.

mind giving me your game by game for each week? Honestly, I think we still win the division even losing to the Cowboys but I'm looking for the WC alternatives in case we don't. My thing with this is if "A" happens week one then the other weeks specific stuff needs to keep happening. Otherwise it just changes which teams beat us out for the spot.

There are also a lot of scenarios that they don't. I play with the machine a lot too. Like I said earlier... it's a coinflip. That to me is not a good chance. Thats a pray Dalton makes an unlikely game winning TD on 4th down type chance IMO. Basically hoping for teams like the Bears beating the Browns and Minesota beating Cinci. Can happen but it would be an upset IMO, even with backup QBs. Getting in at 9 wins is definitely not going to happen.

I think Brady has done good work with this offense. Every week I am getting closer to thinking Brady is IT. A good week against the Cowboys and I am there. This is some good stuff here. Its only 4 plays but really good stuff and it shows Brady throwing a wrinkle to get a look you want after a defense adjusted to the same basic play earlier.

Well thats definitely good for us.

Yeah I took some accounting in college and it's amazing they didn't have checks in place for this. They might as well have the same guy keeping the books be the one that signs checks too.

and now the last thing I heard on WGR is the rain could be light (not as bad as the Philly game) and the windy day might not be so windy (10mph with maybe 20mph gusts) Its like no one can get a lock on this weather.

You just let the ball bounce in this case. Do not pull a McKenzie and try and catch a ball that is swirling. Because they are in their practice window so technically can play.

Same. Just go through the games and select the team winner that makes sense and youll see how hard it actually is to get in at 10-7. Its like a coin flip and that to me is not good odds. Especially when that coin flip is weighted towards teams losing games they shouldn't.

Good I hate this rule. At least give the ball back to the offense even if its at the original line of scrimmage. Thats far better than awarding an undeserved touchback. Personally I think the ball should just go to where the fumble occurred. Why not?

Its amazing how there are still people that think 10-7 is a sure in but can't post a reasonable scenario or even argue against the scenario I posted. It's like they don't even look at a simulator at all and just trust some 53% vegas like odds or past history of 10 win teams making it. This is not those years. Those years didn't have a 6 way tie for spots plus a team 1 game ahead and a team 1 game behind this late in the season.

You answered your own question. This is why we care about the Jags. If they win the division the head to head against them doesn't matter as far as wc goes.

What happened with Poyer now?

Possibly back for the playoffs but probably his last year. Father Time is catching him. His neck injury last year was no joke and two stingers this year ain’t good. Also didn’t seem as impactful this year so probably lost a step. this D is getting retooled next year. Sucks for the guys leaving but that’s the business.

kinda changes every week because all these teams are staying even and no one is running away. I dunno about pitts and indi but I think we want the jags winning their division. We don’t want to compete with them for a wc if we don’t win ours. Ravens are pretty much a lock anyhow. I’ll look at it when I get home.

it’s not just the cold. It’s supposed to be heavy rain and 20-30 mph winds.

More Von and Kingsley probably

It's hard to gauge. They have a lot of talent on that team and they are playing very well. On the other hand, they could just be Miami of the NFC. Talent for sure but paper tigers. Anyway you look at it, it's a tough game IMO.

Yeah true. We can beat them for sure. Just weird that they have had our number both times in London.

I didn't actually watch this game just checked the score once in a while and made a couple comments in the thread. I don't know if this was posted before or not but...

Just so close this year it can go a million ways. My choices were covered above. I'll pick two teams I don't want to face in the Playoffs. Bengals and Jags. They just seem to matchup poorly with those two teams and those teams seem to have our number. This was based on if we lost the division and had to fight for a wildcard. Obviously Miami opened that back up by losing to the Titans and gives us a better chance to win it.