BullBuchanan

Why would they do that?

who said they didn't matter?

in the regular season they were 4-5 in 2019, 6-1 in 2020 , 0-6, in 2021 and 1-1 in 2022. In 2019, they lost a one scroe playoff game tot he Texans, 2020, they picked up a one score playoff win against the colts and in 2021 a one score loss against the chiefs. Data including all games looks like this 17: 0,1,0,1,1,1,1,0 18: 1,0,1,0,0,1 19: 1,1,0,1,0,0,1,0,0,0 20: 1,1,1,1,1,1,0,1 21: 0,0,0,0,0,0, 22: 0,1, it's a 19-21 record from 2017 to date including playoffs. It's not my "analysis" it's just the common results everyone is referencing. I didn't discover it or create it. Also, there are 7 in a row if you count the playoffs or you don't, it just pushing the data tot he left or right.

It's 3 football seasons dude. I'm just asking you to count to three not to do calculus. I won't take responsibility for you miscomprehending information. Well that's your problem. count to three and go back one more year.

I said none of those things.

There's no doubt about that. It goes back to Hail Murray on November 15th 2020. Why do you keep doubling down on being wrong about publicly available information that takes seconds to source?

It wasn't a specific period of time though. It was every game from the Hail Murray-present. It's not like it's some arbitrary slice of past data that has no relevancy. If someone wants to look up records by year, go ahead.

I think McD's 0-13 record in games down by 10 at halftime before yesterday was FAR more useful and alarming, because it backed up observation that his teams rarely deviated from the script during games, including very rarely making any obvious half time adjustments that resulted in positive change. I'm not sure what changes if any were made on D yesterday, but they clearly played better pitching a second half shutout. Jackson also played quite a bit worse trying to force the ball, and that helped out a lot too.

Then that's not an argument that this particular trend didn't exist - it's more of an argument that multi-season win/loss trends don't exist at all. Isn't it?

"I'm" not choosing anything. As previously stated, I don't really care about the stat and I don't have strong opinions about what it means/doesn't mean. All I'm pointing out is that being good at something in the past, then recently being really bad at it will make people say and believe you're really bad at it, because that's where the trend is. Sports isn't like the market, it's much more short term because. What the true measure of McD as a coach over a career in close games? Who knows. Going for it was pretty clearly the right call. Had they kicked the FG, the bills would've had 4 downs and a 1:30 to move the ball 2 more yards to win. I'd take the Bills for all the money in that spot.

For a redshirt rookie 6th round pick, he's doing a nice job. The fact that him and JJ have even made the team is impressive, and Hamlin has made some flash plays. Maybe he isn't a long term answer at the position, and that's ok. If he is, it's a massive get.

Why did you translate? Was my post in a different language? Most of the time when people translate posts around here, they do it incorrectly. This is one of those times.

So change the argument that they were good at a thing 3 years ago that they've recently been bad at and see how many people care? I don't even have a horse in this race. I'm just here to defend the concept of trends.

2020 isn't included because it wasn't part of the trend. It's not a narrative, it's stats. They were good, and then they were bad. 1 deviation from an existing trend doesn't change the trend, but it's the only way to start. What does it look like 7-8 years out? 20-30 years out? They were in an uptrend, then in a downtrend. where they go from here is undetermined. What you're doing here is called "projecting". My argument is precisely the opposite of your claim because it takes previous trend into account. You're popping the champagne after the first 1 score victory in the last 8 and declaring all previous data invalid. In your words, you're down $6500 and celebrating your recent $500 win. I don't need any further argument because my previous argument stands.

cutoffs have to exist somewhere when analyzing data. I don't think it's guilty of any severe manipulation but rather just showing recent history. The further you go back, the less relevant the information is to current trends. It's an objective fact backed up by data that they haven't won one-score games in recent history until yesterday. It's not a "narrative". Yesterday's win is awesome though does nothing to change the previous data.

1-7 in the last two years and 0-13 under McD when trailing by 10 or more at the half, but all previous data now invalid. 100% winning percentage in 1 score games and when down 17 points at halftime since October 2nd 2022 - present. That's how it works, right?

I was at first most surprised that Ferguson had so many passing yards playing in the era that he did. After lookin up his stats, I was more surprised that he played his last game in 1990. 1973-1990 is absolutely bonkers. What massive differences in the game, the dynamics of the league, travel, medicine, culture etc after such a long time.

Is Bates not good?

Mitch isn't even very good though. He's a mediocre C with no grit and injury history who's paid like a top C. We need an upgrade at the spot.

It's too bad you didn't accept my offer. It turns out your prediction was only 88 yards and 2 TDs short as I expected. That 4/12/0 is right on cue for a 33 year old has-been.

Chris Harris Jr is still out there.

I think Allen has played outstanding ball this season. Despite the moxie he showed yesterday, I think if the season ended today Hurts would get MVP. As much as it disgusts me, I think Tua is in the conversation too. It's still very early only time not too long ago, Trent Edwards was an early MVP candidate.

Well, one is impossible and the other unlikely. The "healthy" team part is already over. We lost our All-pro safety for the year and possibly forever. It also remains to be seen if Tre White will be able to regain form.

Melvin Ingram is a top flight pass rusher and was playing that side at least some of yesterday.

Grades on a game by game basis don't mean that much and can be influenced heavily by a couple of big plays in either direction like the TD he gave up.