BullBuchanan

He sure didn't find his receiver that time.

The Bills didn't stomp Bailey Zappe or Easton Stick the last two weeks. Gardner Minshew is Brady compared to them. The Colts are a a good team that is well coached. That second part should be enough to scare you if the first part isn't.

100%

Yes, elite QBs win Super Bowls. At the very least, QBs that play at an elite level during their stretch win super bowls. Of all the QBs to have ever won a SB, only a small handful could be definitively said to not be elite, imo. However, Just because you have an elite QB doesn't mean you're going to win it, especially when you play at a time of multiple active top 5 greatest QBs of all time. Super Bowl 1. Bart Starr (MVP), 2 TDs Super Bowl 2. Bart Starr (MVP), 1 TD Super Bowl 3. Joe Namath (MVP), 0 TDs Super Bowl 4. Len Dawson (MVP), 1 TD Super Bowl 5. John Unitas (Chuck Howley), 1 TD Super Bowl 6. Roger Staubach (MVP), 2 TDs Super Bowl 7. Bob Griese (Jake Scott), 1 TD Super Bowl 8. Bob Griese (Larry Csonka), 0 TDs Super Bowl 9. Terry Bradshaw (Franco Harris), 1 TD Super Bowl 10. Terry Bradshaw (Lynn Swann), 2 TDs Super Bowl 11. Ken Stabler (Fred Biletnikoff), 1 TD Super Bowl 12. Roger Staubach (Harvey Martin & Randy White), 1 TDs Super Bowl 13. Terry Bradshaw (MVP), 4 TDs Super Bowl 14. Terry Bradshaw (MVP), 2 TDs Super Bowl 15. Jim Plunkett (MVP), 3 TDs Super Bowl 16. Joe Montana (MVP), 1 TD Super Bowl 17. Joe Theismann (John Riggins), 2 TDs, Super Bowl 18. Jim Plunkett (Marcus Allen), 1 TD Super Bowl 19. Joe Montana (MVP), 3 TDs Super Bowl 20. Jim McMahon (Richard Dent), 0 TDs Super Bowl 21. Phil Simms (MVP), 3 TDs Super Bowl 22. Doug Williams (MVP), 4 TDs Super Bowl 23. Joe Montana (Jerry Rice), 2 TDs Super Bowl 24. Joe Montana (MVP), 5 TDs Super Bowl 25. Jeff Hostetler (Ottis Anderson), 1 TD Super Bowl 26. Mark Rypien (MVP), 2 TDs Super Bowl 27. Troy Aikman (MVP), 4 TDs Super Bowl 28. Troy Aikman (Emmitt Smith), O TDs Super Bowl 29. Steve Young (MVP), 6 TDs Super Bowl 30. Troy Aikman (Larry Brown), 1 TD Super Bowl 31. Brett Favre (Desmond Howard), 2 TDs Super Bowl 32. John Elway (Terrell Davis), 0 TDs Super Bowl 33. John Elway (MVP), 1 TD Super Bowl 34. Kurt Warner (MVP), 2 TDs Super Bowl 35. Trent Dilfer (Ray Lewis), 1 TD Super Bowl 36. Tom Brady (MVP), 1 TD Super Bowl 37. Brad Johnson (Dexter Jackson), 2 TDs Super Bowl 38. Tom Brady (MVP), 3 TDs Super Bowl 39. Tom Brady (Deion Branch), 2 TDs Super Bowl 40. Ben Roethlisberger (Hines Ward), 0 TDs Super Bowl 41. Peyton Manning (MVP), 1 TD Super Bowl 42. Eli Manning (MVP), 2 TDs Super Bowl 43: Ben Roethlisberger (Santonio Holmes), 1 TD Super Bowl 44: Drew Brees (MVP), 2 TDs Super Bowl 45: Aaron Rogers (MVP), 3TDs Super Bowl 46: Eli Manning (MVP), 1 TD Super Bowl 47: Joe Flacco (MVP), 3TDs Super Bowl 48: Russell Wilson (Malcolm Smith), 2TDs Super Bowl 49: Tom Brady (MVP), 4TDs Super Bowl 50: Peyton Manning (Von Miller), 0TDs Super Bowl 51: Tom Brady (MVP), 2TDs Super Bowl 52: Nick Foles (MVP), 3 TDs Super Bowl 53: Tom Brady (Julian Edelman), 0TDs Super Bowl 54: Patrick Mahomes (MVP), 2 TDs Super Bowl 55: Tom Brady (MVP), 3 TDs Super Bowl 56: Matthew Stafford (Cooper Kupp), 3 TDs Super Bowl 57: Patrick Mahomes (MVP), 3 TDs

If you want to argue yards of separation - as was already tried in a previous post - have you bothered looking at the data on the x-axis? Has anyone determined that there is any statistical significance between 0.01 and 0.03? If they have, do we know what that significance is? Taking just a single data point like this and trying to draw conclusions from it is a really dangerous thing, because it can be perceived a lot of different ways. For instance - given the separation numbers we could make a conclusion that the Ravens, Giants, Jaguars, Raiders, and Saints have the strongest performing WR groups. That would seem highly unlikely given the personnel on those teams.

That's not what this chart argues at all lmao. "The separation score is just the combination of average depth of target and targets per route run." https://www.pff.com/news/fantasy-introducing-wide-receiver-efficiency-rating

virtually no chance the game ends in a tie. If it's 4&99 at my own 1 yard line with 1:00 on the clock, I'm going for it. No reason to not.

Well, it was a putrid day for Josh, so criticizing his "best" play really shouldn't be off the table. It was also just one of three plays criticized, but I like how everyone has cherry picked that one play to focus on and not the two throws he completely missed.

They're both half of a great TE right now, which is pretty much the best 98% of NFL TEs can hope for. Knox has probably peaked, but I think he could be a dangerous weapon in the right system. Kincaid looks good in the open field hopefully he'll add size, grit and improve overall in his awareness and skillset to reach a higher potential. I don't expect either of them to be "The next Kelce".

I like him, but I would not call him a "very strong blocker" by any stretch. I've seen him be outright embarrassed at times this year. Knox is a much better blocker.

If he caught the ball in stride, he would have caught it facing the endzone he was running towards, not his QB in the opposite direction. Watch the actual clip in real time if you think frame by frame is misleading. If Kincaid catches the ball over his shoulder, It's a guaranteed TD. He couldn't and it wasn't. Underthrown.

If we aren't in club, how do we know there's a club?

Nice. so "The Media" is behind all of it then. Where do they get their orders? Who's in control?

Football announcers are part of "The Media" now? Who else? As for Bama and Michigan, I take it you turned the game off before it was over. If you wanted to argue "fixing" there'd be no better example in all of football this year than the final play Alabama ran.

Is "The Media" here in the room with us right now?

HE'S LITERALLY TURNED AROUND AND A YARD AND A HALF CLOSER TO THE DB. Can't make this stuff up.

Clearly not. Kincaid had his man beat by several steps and he had to slow down to catch the ball allowing the DB to catch up. It wasn't a massive underthrow, but it definitely was just enough to prevent the TD. Kincaid open by several steps Kincaid has to slow down and turn his body for the ball Kincaid makes the catch within tackle distance of the DB I appreciate the desire to argue everything I say is wrong, but I'm not even going to entertain it here. If you can't see the difference in what happened vs what wouldve happened if the ball had an arc to to 30 yard line instead of the 33, that's on you. see above.

I read the charts. They don't make the point you think they make. If Allen didn't have open receivers (as you suggested), we wouldn't be near the top of the list. Read the X-axis, the difference in "average receiver separation" is minuscule (.01-.03), while the difference in "percentage thrown to" is massive (0.55 - 0.70). Also, you need to consider the impact of "average" to this data. You have multiple potential outcomes that the data can explain. For example: A "strong" average could be explained by: All contributors to the data set contributing at a level close to the average (all receivers are open all the time) One or two contributors to the data set contributing far above average while the rest are below average (one or two receivers are open all the time) Volatile contributions to the data set pushes the average up while the majority are close to average (broken plays like the one you showed) It's not just as simple as saying that Lamar's receivers are outperforming Buffalo's. And not for nothing, the suggestion that Josh is under pressure all the time isn't true. He has one of the best performing offensive lines in the league (One spot behind the ravens).

You don't need 15 yards of separation to make a throw like this as an elite NFL QB. A step or two is "wide open" . Anything more than that is pretty much broken.

Nope. You don't remember them? They all had a guaranteed TD if the ball was on the money.

It was pretty simple. They had an open competition and Peterman outplayed him. They knew Allen was far more talented but he was also raw and rather than rush him in to his own detriment, they wanted him to earn the job. Unfortunately it didn't work out, but the thought process made sense then and it makes sense now. Some players are ready right away, but Allen definitely wasn't. His first two years in the league he was a bottom-tier QB.

Didn't we know this already? https://billswire.usatoday.com/2023/10/16/buffalo-bills-josh-allen-shoulder-new-york-giants-injury-nfl/ It's been pretty obvious he hasn't been right. The biggest worry is that his throwing shoulder keeps taking damage year over year as he was hurt last year as well. If he's not 100% they really should have done a better job figuring out a passing game that he can work with. getting the running game going the last 3 weeks has been huge, but that won't cut it down the stretch. I don't understand why they don't work int he faster guys in space more.

We have those plays every week. We had at least 3 of them against the pats and zero TDs resulted. Kincaid was wide open and if Allen hits him in stride he's gone. Instead, he has to slow down so it's just a big gainer. On a throw to the left side of the field he had a wide open Shakiir on the right and he had Diggs wide open for a score down the field and missed him completely. Guys like Rodgers, Brady, manning, Brees would never miss those passes in their prime. You don't get many of them and it's imperative you hit them, because they change the game.

he might have to be for one season unless we can get an FA on the cheap. We're going to need at least 1 if not two Safeties, a couple of DEs, a starting DT, a top 3 WR, a CB or two, a Center prospect. We won't be able to get them all, so Beane will have to prioritize what we can live without. My guess is that WR #2 gets deprioritized for a year while they get more big men and secondary support. We're going to need a lot of cap help as we're currently getting significant contributions from 6 players under $2M and most of those guys are all due huge raises (Epenesa, Davis, Jackson, Dodson)

Nope. Haven't been impressed at all as we've skated by the skin of our teeth against mostly bottom dwelling opponents. The problem with mcDermott isn't his ability to rack up wins in December. It's his inability to employ strategy and tactics to do so in January and February.