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BullBuchanan

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Everything posted by BullBuchanan

  1. yes, because getting WRs late on day 3 likely isn't perceived as being very high value. The difference between them and UDFAs is probably marginal. We're int he range of getting special teams contributors and priority UDFA targets here.
  2. You do when you draft 28th and the talent isn't there. The Safety will be starter this year, just maybe not "day 1". The WR will likely get 60% reps - that's starter level even if he starts the year as "WR3". The RB will likely get 30-40% snaps - that's a significant role. The DT will likley get 40% of the defensive snaps. Does it really matter if they dont get another 10-15% that the "starter" gets? The biggest deal is at the safety spot where whoever starts will have 80-90% of the snaps.
  3. I'm generally positive when I have reason to be and negative when I have reason to be. I think it was a solid draft for depth given what we walked into it with. I have concerns about where our elite defensive players for the next 1-3 years are going to come from, but we weren't in much of a position to do anything about that this year. I would expect next year we'll have to focus on a couple of playmaking defenders. I anticipate needing at least a dominant pass rusher and corner, if not a LB too.
  4. possibly, but does that matter? they drafted 4 players that will likely play a large amount of snaps year 1. That's a pretty big deal. If we can do it again in 2025, they'll be ina good position for the next few years.
  5. Idgaf what player the quarterback likes in the draft. It's not his job to understand draft prospects. Given he doesn't watch his own tape, I don't imagine he's spending hundreds of hours breaking down WR prospects.
  6. I think you're going out of your way to be obtuse about this. There's a world of difference between going all-in to win a Super Bowl, like the Rams did for instance and being well prepared and equipped to win a Super Bowl like the 49ers, Ravens, Texans, Eagles, Lions, and Chiefs are. Most teams in the league aren't trying to win a Super Bowl in a given year. Would they like to? Sure. Will their players and coaches do their best to do so? Absolutely. Will their roster and coaching staff be constructed in such a way that they have a realistic shot at doing so? Definitely not. Beane knows that the roster will undoubtedly be weaker than it was last year. You can't lose the talent we've lost and upgrade over it in a season. You don't make the signings he made in the goal of upgrading over what we had. He looked at what we had been doing with the way the roster was built, concluded that the best days of that build were behind us, and took some short term pain to set us up better for the future and a new window that will hopefully last the rest of Allen's career. The pain isn't over. We're going to have to eat dead money in Von Miller's deal, likely Knox's deal, and possibly Milano's deal. I have no doubt Allen wand McDermott will give it their best shot, but if it wasn't good enough the last 5 years, it sure as hell won't be in 2024. Hopefully it will be next year if some of our picks turn into stars, but my hopes are on 2026.
  7. I expect we'll be in contention for the division, but the offseason moves and our draft is being played face-up. We're in no way trying to win a championship this year. I'm actually ok with that as long as there's a solid medium term vision. That's the part I have concerns about, especially if it includes McDermott, which it almost certainly does. I don't have any faith in our coaching on either side of the ball.
  8. The Bills also save $7M against the cap by not taking one of those top 3 and instead getting a guy in the second.
  9. What is "good"? I'll be shocked if they win more than 7 or 8 games And think 45 is more likely. Williams has high bust potential written all over him, and Eberflus should have been canned before all these new players came in.
  10. good shot at a top 10 pick in the 4th next year.
  11. That may be true, but you don't replace all of that with rookies in one offseason. Last year's version of Jordan Poyer will likely be better than any safety drafted in the 4th+ round this year. Same thing with all the others.
  12. They're definitely not in a super bowl window, but a lot of folks are lying to themselves. You don't lose 6 starters including 5 captains and stay in a Super Bowl window. If this draft pans out, a new window could open in 2025, but my money is on 2026.
  13. I'd like it but not sure they'd cut Mitch and less sure they'd keep a roster spot for a 3rd QB. I wish the NFL would give teams a spot for a #3 QB. I think it would make the league way better if teams could earnestly develop reserve quarterbacks.
  14. You know that just because a receiver didn't catch a target doesn't mean it was a drop, right? He dropped 2 passes on 17 targets in the 2023 postseason and 8 on 160 targets int he regular season. If you want to compare Diggs drops to Allen's Bad Pass percentage, you might be surprised.
  15. Too bad he didn't throw to Diggs a little more. Maybe he would have led us to Conference championship instead of another Pro-am. Also, Mack Hollins is a completely serviceable WR4, especially when you have Kincaid and Knox. He'll be the 6th passing option most likley
  16. Then you have Shakir, Kincaid and Samuel. I'm not banking on Coleman to be anything more than our 4th most productive receiver. It's a bit different with RB where our #2 will likely take 35-40% of the snaps.
  17. did we not draft a WR with our first pick? Any WR you draft here is going to be #4 on the depth chart best case scenario and the #6 or #7 option in the passing game. I expect they might take a late round flier on a guy, but if they don't there are plenty of FAs available if they decide we need a player there (i don't think we do though.
  18. because players get hurt and ideally you don't want Ty Johnson as your #1 back if Cook misses time?
  19. Not sure that matters. More likely than not he's gonna play 4 years and then he'll be gone. You're still getting his best years.
  20. I sure do. He seems to have greatly enhanced his surehandedness, he has a knack for getting open and plays physical. If he's schemed as a #1/#2 type guy I don't see any reason he won't hit 1000 yards. Admittedly I had no idea who he was until we drafted him, but then I started reading about him and watching him at Boise and I couldn't really understand why he fell so far. Kinda seemed like a 2nd/3rd round kinda prospect to me. The types of weaknesses in his draft scouting are the kinds of things you see all the time from guys that are picked late and turn into really good players. https://www.nfl.com/prospects/khalil-shakir/32005348-4110-7427-f34a-bb0aa1d8e556 https://www.nfldraftbuzz.com/Player/Khalil-Shakir-WR-BoiseState
  21. We still need another Safety, CB #3/#4, a DE#3/#4, depth across the entire OL, more LBs can never hurt as we saw last year and of course another RB as you mentioned.
  22. I think there's a difference between game changing players and super stars when it comes to WRs. KC just won back to back Super Bowls with Kelce and a pile of JAGs. Shakir and Kincaid changed the game plenty last year with big plays. So did Cook. If Shakir can scale his production across more volume, Kincaid continues his progression, and Samuel hits career average numbers, we shouldn't have any issue with having enough receiving weapons to get the ball to, especially when you toss in Cook, Knox, the rookie, and a potential for Shorter to do something. FWIW I'ma big believer in Shakir. I think he'll post top 30 WR numbers. I also think Kincaid will. If Coleman can be good for 600-700 and Samuel around the same, I think we'll be in a decent spot. Could we still use another guy? Sure, most teams could. It'll only be a problem if we start suffering injuries.
  23. Not sure that's needed if your goal is winning a Super Bowl someday.
  24. Kinda seems like a Gabe Davis clone. Would that be a win or would we be disappointed if he doesn't become a more complete player?
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