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Doc Brown

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Everything posted by Doc Brown

  1. Beane had a number of his worth and he stuck to it. We invested too heavily at that position in the draft to pay him 10 million a year even though I loved the energy he brought to the defense and the crowd.
  2. Interesting results of a herd immunity approach that has been floated as an alternative to the approach implemented here where we've essentially temporarily shut down our economy. Makes me somewhat more confident that these extreme measures taken to "flatten the curve" has been the correct course with the information we've had at our disposal. Caught Between Herd Immunity And National Lockdown, Holland Hit Hard By Covid-19 (Update) In a national address to the Dutch nation on Monday, March 16th, Prime Minister Mark Rutte said his country would aim to develop immunity to the novel coronavirus among its population by allowing large numbers to contract the illness at a controlled pace. Initially, creating herd immunity for the novel coronavirus was one of two main objectives of Dutch government policy: Controlling spread of the virus while protecting vulnerable groups, including the elderly and people with underlying health conditions. By striking this balance rather than instituting a national lockdown, the thought was the nation could avoid a situation in which post lockdown - when society returns to normal - it would be exposed to the danger of a new outbreak as too few people would have become infected and therefore immune. Faced with a pandemic as potent as Covid-19, a major problem with the herd immunity approach is that the disease has killed or made seriously ill a number of people under 60, some of whom had no serious underlying health conditions. Additionally, the approach suffers from a logistical near impossibility - the ability to separate older adults from potentially contagious younger people. Moreover, there’s the problem of not knowing whether immunity occurs after infection with the novel coronavirus, and the duration of that immunity. In the past week, Rutte has since walked back the herd immunity policy line by introducing what could be characterized as lockdown light. The Dutch government says it is imposing similar restrictions to the ones its neighbors and other European countries have instituted. It has closed schools and universities, ordered bars and restaurants to mostly shut and told people to work from home as much as possible. The country has not issued a shelter in place order to citizens and residents, or imposed travel restrictions within the country. The country’s pragmatic balancing act doesn’t appear to be working as well as intended. The numbers released by the Dutch RIVM (National Institute for Public Health and the Environment) are not especially encouraging. As of Sunday, March 29th the country has a total of 10,886 confirmed cases, with 1,104 new cases in the past 24 hours; 771 total deaths, with 132 new deaths in the past 24 hours. There are at least 972 patients in intensive care, with thousands more hospitalized. RIVM is reporting that numbers of new patients admitted to hospital and intensive care are rising less rapidly than previously this week, but they’re still increasing. While Covid-19 hasn’t wreaked nearly as much havoc in the Netherlands as in Italy and Spain, it’s still conspicuous that a healthcare system as finely tuned and well coordinated as the Dutch system would have such alarming numbers in terms of mortality and morbidity. The confirmed case fatality rate in the Netherlands of approximately 7% stands in stark contrast to its neighbor Germany’s 0.7%. The Netherlands, with a younger overall population and one that is almost 5 times smaller than Germany’s, has 60% more deaths. And, unlike Germany, the Dutch haven’t done widespread testing, so it’s likely its number of confirmed cases significantly underestimates the actual number of infections. While the number of confirmed cases in Germany is large, partly due to its testing campaign, the case fatality rate and overall death toll have been relatively small, compared not only to Holland, but also almost all other European nations. Similarly, the numbers of patients in serious or critical condition have remained very low. Both the German and Dutch healthcare systems are relatively well-funded, and score well internationally on population health indicators, such as life expectancy and morbidity. Yet, thus far, the impact from Covid-19 in Holland has been worse. It has led to a situation in which the Netherlands now faces the real possibility of an impending shortage of intensive care units. Germany officials have said they’re prepared to accept Dutch Covid-19 patients. And, in fact, this weekend two Dutch intensive care patients were transported to a hospital in Munster, Germany. The German city of Aachen’s University Clinic, which has strong ties with the medical center affiliated with the University of Maastricht in the Netherlands, has also pledged to cooperate should the need arise for more intensive care patients to be transported from Holland to Germany. Aachen’s University Clinic has made similar arrangements for a number of severely ill French and Italian patients.
  3. There was no better time for movies if you were a kid growing up in the 90's. Disney knew what they were doing back then.
  4. ESPN didn't get the memo that it takes at least three years before you should even consider grading a draft class.
  5. That was about the percentage who turned on Hillary in '16 and 25% of Hillary supporters voted for McCain in '08. The more significant part of that article is the enthusiasm gap problem which I've been warning about since he entered the damn race. This is more of a backlash against the DNC than anything else as Trump is really unpopular among Bernie supporters. Here's an Emerson poll just last month.
  6. No. I've been surprised by the comments saying it's been boring. I just caught up on it and think it's better than ever. I find the relationship between Jimmy and Kim to be more interesting than the Nacho/Gus/Mike story line. They've managed to make Kim the most interesting and conflicted character on the show at this point. Although, Gus being a ruthless villain in the guise of a reserved small business owner has been fun to watch too. The show is like watching an interesting tragedy because you know for the most part that Kim will no longer be in "Saul's" life in Breaking Bad and that Saul will eventually get in too deep with the underworld that he's going to have to go on the run. How will the Kim/Jimmy relationship end? What happens to Nacho and his father?
  7. Bills trade a 6th round pick and Trent Murphy for Laremy Tunsil.
  8. Taylor won't be there. If he is you sprint with his name to the podium (or skype or whatever they're doing).
  9. While he could still walk. There's little chance he'd return. If he did, it will pry be in 2021 with the Colts. He just doesn't seem like the kind of guy that would screw his old franchise over. Plus, the Colts still retain his rights I believe.
  10. I was screaming "get down" too knowing Fitzmagic was on the other sideline. Hyde admitted it was a mistake though. To be fair, I don't think he expected to be in that position. Live and learn. It was an incredible play though.
  11. Like I said earlier, stop with twitter and he'll cruise to reelection.
  12. With so much else going on in the sports world I'm honestly surprised at how many mock draft threads there are.
  13. The majority of his base who loves that kind of stuff. The people he needs to win over are swing voters who approve of Trump's job performance but don't like him as a person. They're weighing whether they can tolerate his vindictiveness and brashness or vote for a more digestible candidate who won't rock the boat too much.
  14. How does dunking on Mitt Romney on Twitter in the middle of a national crises help him in any way with his reelection chances? As for Obama, there wasn't a public crises of this magnitude when he was president. I prefer to see as little of a president as possible because it generally means the country is in pretty good shape.
  15. I pry wasn't clear in that I don't want to jump the gun and go about as life as usual when there's still an uptick in cases in order to overwhelm the hospitals leading to loss of lives that could've been saved. After the curve is flattened significantly only then should we talk about the pros and cons of getting back to work and a normal life. I'm hoping researchers can develop a blood test looking at antibodies to determine whether you've already had the virus and are more likely to be immune from it. That may be an eventual criteria by some companies to allow you to come back to work. Of course more studies have to be done about how strong these antibodies are in preventing reinfection. Just because my avatar is Doc Brown doesn't mean I'm a reckless driver who likes to go 88 mph. I agree with you but you made it sound from your post that we should just open everything up immediately.
  16. We do but the major difference is we're taking those chances. I'd feel horrible if I carried the virus without any symptoms and then spread it to my father in law who died because he's above 80 with heart problems. We can't just rush back from this until the curve is flattened enough where the benefits of going back to life as usual outweighs the potential loss of life from this virus. We just need more data, research, and patience at this point. It's also important we do everything we can do help small business owners as they're the one's feeling the financial impact of this the most. Ordering take out from local traditional dine in restaurants is something I think we can all do. Stuff like that.
  17. Honestly, if he put the Twitter on hiatus until November he'd win in a landslide at this point.
  18. They didn't say he was angry. I'm guessing they were trying to paint him in a negative light trying to portray him as caring about the economy more than human lives.
  19. Trump has a muddled way of talking though and the media takes advantage of that. To me they're both realistic people who understand that we may have to make tough choices in balancing possible loss of life with the state of the economy. That's why we need more data on this thing as quickly as possible.
  20. Better than I accidentally turned the channel I suppose. By the way, we're all wondering when life will return to normal so I don't even get what he's angry about.
  21. So was Brett Favre's but he won a Superbowl and two MVP's. I'm still unsure about Allen after two years but any serious person can't at this time say he doesn't have the potential to be a top 10 starter in this league. That being said, SIGN A DAMN QUALITY BACKUP!!! This team's too good.
  22. We have the world's third largest population and you can at least double China's reported cases. The only true metric after all this is over to determine the US's response to the virus is coronavirus related deaths per capita compared to other democratic countries. Even then there's so any other variables to be able to draw firm conclusions.
  23. That's how I saw it and why that motion by Sasse was just grandstanding. If it was more than four months I would agree with that sentiment but a black swan even calls for an overly aggressive measures to keep this economy somewhat functional.
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