538 model which I cling to in games like these to try and not overreact like I did after the Jags game last year.
Playoffs - 96%
Division - 68%
1st round bye - 44%
Win Super Bowl - 17%
I think that's about right as Josh has traditionally been able to bounce back and things aren't as always bad as they seem. If he puts up another clunker though it's absolutely time to panic. McDermott's team going through their usual middle season wtf happened to our run defense before getting it figured out. I like having Miami and the Jets at home in December. I'm not panicking....yet.