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Figster

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Posts posted by Figster

  1. I'm not sure that I think McD is good or bad or whatever. I guess I hope for the best.

     

    To me, it seems that a franchise that is willing to clear everyone else out and hand the reigns to a first time head coach lacks a compass. By way of example, the Steelers didn't hire Mike Tomlin and hand him the keys to the franchise. Instead, they have a sense of what they are as an organization and they hire personnel to fit their formula. It smacks as desperation that we are willing to put so much responsibility at the feet of an unproven coach. What does that say about the Bills?

    I'm only speculating, but it appears McDermott may not have used much help from the Bills scouting department or GM in determing how the 2017 draft was carried out. If the draft itself turns out to be one of the better Bills drafts in recent history,

     

    what does that tell you?

  2. I thought HC McD taking time out to visit with the leaders of the team that went to 4 straight superbowls showed just how far McD is willing to go in search of a Champion.

     

    The attention to detail, the demand for respect, the high priority in obtaining players of good character, all very Marv Levy like in my humble opinion.

     

    but is McD as good in the X's and O's department is the question...

  3. Wow... you really go to some extreme efforts to completely dismiss Fahey's findings.

     

    Passive aggressive? I thought I was pretty direct, actually.

    To get the most out of raw data its important to understand how misleading some of it can be in my humble opinion transplantbillsfan.

     

    Rochester brought up an important point I think in evaluating QB's and I believe it goes hand in hand with how well a signal caller is seeing the football field. Scoring how well a QB can determine the most lucrative place to go with the football would show you what QB is playing at the highest level IMO. Eye test tells me Matt Ryan is probably near or on the top of the list (2016) when it comes to attacking the football field with big play capabilities IMO. (Julio Jones might have something to do with it.)

     

    Myself personally, I've grown to trust Rochesterfans opinions/post because of how much thought and research goes into them.

     

    I'm not saying he's always correct...

  4.  

     

    To me it is the same light - PFF does a great job at looking at film and trying to create a scorecard from that data they glean. The issue is it is very difficult to know if what conclusions they draw actually mean anything.

     

    Your example of John Miller (whether exact or not) is correct - they would look at plays and decide if it is successful and give a grade, but never really know if that was the correct block or not.

     

    Fahey catalogs throws and decides things like accuracy and interceptable percentage and does a nice job of putting the numbers together, but what does it really mean. Is anyone surprised that TT was the 3rd best in percentage of passes that were not interceptable - I actually would of thought it was even better. TT is very careful with the ball and although he has few turnovers - he also takes very few chances with throws and therefore his numbers should be good.

     

    The same issue occurs with Accuracy % - it is not incorrect (it is somewhat subjective, but not incorrect) when you look at the values, but what is missed is what throws and where those throws are - so I would not complain that TT is inaccurate in the throws he makes, but I do get disgusted with the continual choice of throws. It also impacts things like YAC because of where and who he throws the ball to. Typically PFF does not try to quantitate this because they do not know the play call - so you have to watch the plays and then listen to what people in the know - like the former coach, both former OC's, and the former GM say and that was they were looking for more from the passing game and were looking specifically for more throws in the middle of the field and more anticipatory throws - those things kept coming up in interviews.

     

    The comments from the coach, OC, and GM tell me that although the passing game was simplistic and they left throws in that they knew TT was comfortable with - they also had other options that he did not take advantage enough and that is where I think the analysis falls flat. They can tell me he completes a lot of throws and does not throw balls that can be picked off, but they can not tell me (nor should they) if there were other or better options and how that compares to other QBs. Therefore we are stuck with subjective data that does not provide through information and everyone's use eye test.

    You guys are making it very interesting, thanks :thumbsup:

  5. good discussion. In other words there's a lot that we don't know and what we don't know keeps some of this data from being reliable.

     

    I go back to correlation. Does this data correlate with good quarterbacking? If it doesnt, then the data may be useful to coaches but not so much in evaluating the value of a qb.

    Some data can be misleading , especially when totals come into play. Buffalo having the lowest YAC total in the league for example is a product of the lowest overall pass attempts in the league. Even averages can be misleading because 2 or 3 more big YAC plays is all it takes to put the Bills in closer proximity to league average. So naturally throwing the ball more would in all likelihood put the Bills higher up in most statistical categories IMO.

  6. My problem is if 2017 goes South quickly its not an indication that HC Sean knows what he is doing

    Either as HC or as one with say in team moves

    Folks like me will point out that his first two trades in the draft that we didn't get full value back

    Or that he gave away too many picks moving up twice

    And that he gave away two potential 2018 draft picks to sign very marginal FA's

    And that his remake of our secondary didn't work

    Etc Etc...

    It won;t be a confidence builder for us fans

    Then again if he gets out and win 10 games no one will remember all the above...

     

    jc

    Its the 2nd season fans should be more concerned with in my humble opinion jc

  7. Same old tired useless excuse.

     

    Didn't matter one bit who suited up and lined up at WR for the Bills as they were open a lot.

     

    So even though they were open but because they were "arena league players" is the reason Tyrod didn't throw them the ball. Whatever, lame excuse!

    Big Taylor fan, but I'm not making excuses for him.

     

    Tyrod Taylor has to start seeing more of the football field/ open receivers.

     

    Or Peterman is going to take his job...

  8. Whether one has advanced degrees in math and science shouldn't preclude the idea that individuals don't tighten up or lose confidence after a succession of bad plays. Rather than use mathematics or hard science as a proof of momentum's existence, the psychology of pressure and (waxing or waning confidence) could explain a lot. As could better coaching and more experience in the big game.

     

     

    Something caused the succession of bad plays. Lacking endurance, getting out coached, getting out played by superior players, maybe a combination. You brought up confidence, wouldn't it be more descriptive to say one team is gaining or losing confidence then momentum?

     

    Momentum change is a lazy way to describe what really happened in my humble opinion Lothar.

     

    with all due respect...

  9.  

    What are your thoughts on: confidence, the effect crowds can have on players' mentalities, and how mood alters performance,

     

    If you don't believe in momentum in sports then you're saying you don't believe that any of the above exist.

    Did the Falcons lose momentum in the second half of the Superbowl, or did superior coaching make the better adjustments?

  10. He made some great throws and plays. It was his best game ever! He also made a dozen terrible throws and several horrible plays. Some of his incompletions were great throws and some of his completions were bad throws. He made a lot of bad throws and a lot of nifty ones. Watching it, I would never say this screams NFL QB though. At all. Watch it. It's every pass play, including ones he ran on, some of which were very nice.

     

    Is it just me or is Peterman playing with zero pass protection in this game?

  11. The three people making the most important football decisions for this franchise have neither the acumen nor the background to be doing so and likely never will.

    The Pegulas and Russ Brandon are probably a long term disaster for both of our sports franchises (although I'm not as hopeless for the Sabres).

    McDermott has a legitimate chance to be a very good NFL coach but if he doesn't get a handle on the holier than thou, develop some humility and recognize that he's not always the smartest person in the room it's only a matter of time before it all blows up in hi face.

    When it does we'll be right back to Duncan, Lady Macbeth and Wormtongue making football decisions that they are eminently unqualified to make.

    I'm not making any bold prediction, but is it possible Russ Brandons days could be numbered?

  12.  

    Peyton in his final year...

    Good answer row

     

    There are a few examples, not many, of players whose arm strength noticeably increased over the years. Brady had decent arm strength (low end but just good enough) when he started. Over the years he got significantly stronger. Now he can gun it anywhere. Not a lot of examples of that.

    See above. He's one of very few. Not sure I can think of another. He went from barely enough to pretty strong. If Peterman is as strong as Brady I guess he has a chance. I haven't even seen that yet.

    I was waiting to see if anybody makes this comparison because If I remember correctly Bradys arm strength was in question despite showing excellent anticipation and accuracy.

  13. No, that's fine. Thanks for not insulting me for raising the question. But honestly, I would think any coach but Rex would probably act in a similar way. I'm a huge Andy Reid fan, so the fact that McDermott worked under him has me optimistic, but i'll still wait and see. I think he has quite a bit a talent to work with, we should compete this season.

    No it shouldn't. There shouldn't be competition at QB, FB, RB, WR(1), TE, LT, LG, K, DE, DT's....

    One of the most intelligent posters I know has asked the same question.

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