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HappyDays

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Posts posted by HappyDays

  1. 46 minutes ago, Nextmanup said:

    Football disaster, eh?  Rex won 15 games in a bit less than 2 seasons with the team.

     

    McDermott?  15 wins in 2 seasons as well.

     

    McDermott and Beane came into a bad team on both sides of the ball promising to repair the salary cap and build a long term contender. It was well understood that there would be a couple painful years. Rex came in to the #2 defense and promised to improve to #1. This upcoming year is where the team really needs to show improvement.

    • Like (+1) 1
  2. On 5/1/2019 at 6:58 PM, ScottLaw said:

    these guys didn't come in their and blow up there respective teams

     

    Uh the Rams definitely blew up the team. I mean did you not pay any attention at all to what they'e done? They've been trading for players and using up cap space with reckless abandon since 2017. They're a bad example anyways because Les Snead has been the GM there since 2012 - doesn't that go completely against the narrative you're trying to prove? But since McVay took over they added Woods, Watkins, Cooks, Fowler, Peters, Talib, and Whitworth.

     

    Yeah, almost exactly the same team as Jeff Fisher had. Other than the 3 new starting receivers, the new DE, the 2 new starting CBs, and the new starting LT. And a rookie QB entering his 2nd year. And going from $21 million in dead cap in 2016 to $10 million in dead cap in 2017. Does that remind you of another team Scott?

  3. 49 minutes ago, SoTier said:

    The Bills beat the Colts in OT when McCoy ran for 65 yards for the winning score ... after the Bills allowed the Colts to score their only TD on a 19 play drive that took up nearly 10 minutes of the 4th quarter.  

     

    The Bills wouldn't have made the playoffs despite Shady's heroics against Indy if Andy Dalton didn't throw a 49 yard TD pass to Tyler Boyd on a fourth and 12 play with less than a minute to play to keep Baltimore from taking the final wild card slot.

     

    Yep. And we won 9 games. 9 win teams make the playoffs all the time and it always depends on other teams losses.

  4. 1 hour ago, Shaw66 said:

    And FOSTER's role can be to get CBs and Ss away from the line of scrimmage.  I'm not dissing Brown, but everything points to him being, at most, a piece of a larger puzzle.  He isn't likely to be the answer at #1.  

     

    There's nothing wrong with Foster and Brown offering the same skill set. It's a very important skill set and there's no such thing as too much speed on the outside. Personally I am hoping they just build a vertical offense. Obviously Allen needs to get better at choosing his shots, the check down to the RB or TE or Beasley will sometimes be the better choice. But I don't want to see us try to build a dink and dunk offense. I want our receivers 15+ yards down the field more often than not. Why not play around what Allen does well?

     

    I don't expect us to have a true #1 this year but I think Brown and Foster will essentially double as our #1.

    • Like (+1) 1
  5. 43 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

    It amazes me that after all the blowouts we saw last year that people thought that defense passed the eyeball test as one of the greatest defenses in Bills history..........which a top 2 unit would indicate it was.

     

    Well no, it doesn't indicate that. Defensive rankings are relative to the rest of the league. I don't know if you've noticed but the era of elite shutdown defenses is over. Rule changes and new offensive concepts have made it harder than ever to stop teams from scoring points. You can't compare defenses today to defenses from past decades.

  6. On 5/6/2019 at 1:35 PM, Chris66 said:

     Bills defence wasnt nearly as good as you think

     

    No, it was just as good as I think. PPG is one metric but it at least partially relies on the offense's performance as well. The Bills offense was abysmal last year which put the defense in terrible spots. But they ended 2nd in DVOA and 3rd in yards per play. Personally I'll take DVOA's ranking over any of them because it accounts for the circumstances of the play. Allowing a TD after the offense goes 3-and-out on 3 consecutive drives is not the same as allowing a TD on the opening drive of the game.

     

    If the defense performs exactly as it did last year (hopefully excluding the first two weeks - yes I know that is easier in writing than in practice), and the offense makes it to middle of the pack, 10 wins is a more than realistic prediction. Our win ceiling this year is going to be based on how much the offense improves. Any improvements made by the defense will just be gravy.

     

    35 minutes ago, ScottLaw said:

    It's really not even close.

     

    Bills defense was slightly above average.

     

    If you click the link that you quoted, you'll see that both of these statements are false. The rush defense was "slightly above average," but the pass defense was 2nd in the league, which meant the defense on the whole was 2nd in the league.

     

    The biggest thing our defense needs to improve is its consistency. Again going off of DVOA, we had the highest week to week variance in the league. If our highs stay the same and the lows become less common, it's very possible we have the best defense in the league next year. A lot of it will depend on Edmunds progressing.

    • Like (+1) 2
  7. 17 minutes ago, HappyDays said:

     

    Which receiver do you think he'll take snaps from? Foster, Brown, or Beasley? He will have to beat one of those receivers outright to get more than 50% of the snaps.

     

    Yeah looking at the numbers from last year I don't see how you can defend this. Last year after Benjamin and Holmes were cut, only Foster and Jones were given more than 50% of the snaps in the remaining games. So in our offense only the top 2 receivers are going to get more than 50% of the snaps. I guess the only wildcard right now is Foster but I think everyone agrees he contributes more to the offense than Zay Jones. John Brown is a proven NFL receiver and we're paying him $9 million a year. So I see him and Foster as the top 2, and Beasley is obviously the starting slot receiver. Barring an injury I don't see how Zay gets on the field that much. I think he'll be part of the rotation but he has a long way to go to be one of our regular starters.

    • Like (+1) 1
  8. 5 minutes ago, NoSaint said:

    There are few fan bases that would embrace the slow build in an era designed for fast turnarounds.

     

    This was not just a roster turnaround. It was an entire organizational turnaround from top to bottom. 5 years ago the Bills were a laughingstock. Players didn't want to get drafted here and we stayed well below the salary cap at all times. Our scouting department was cheap. McDermott and Beane inherited a total mess and turned it into a real NFL organization. Credit to Pegula as well for spending money on the right things and changing the way the team is seen by players around the league.

     

    All that being said this is the money year. Anything less than 9 wins will be a disappointment.

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  9. 8 hours ago, 1ManRaid said:

    Singletary and Knox will prove to be the steals of the draft in two years.

     

    I've become really fascinated with Knox since the draft. He might be my 2nd favorite pick right now next to Oliver. Having a TE that can do this...

     

     

    ...with Allen throwing down the seam could be a monster. That is arguably Allen's best throw and I think Knox will become a favorite target of his very quickly.

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