HappyDays

Watching the Jags/Texans game makes me really appreciate Joe Brady. These are two coaches that seemingly don't know the strengths of their own players.

Lmao one of the most pathetic QB draw attempts you'll ever see on 4th down

3rd down they target Gabe Davis who easily gets the ball knocked out of his hands by Stingley.

Doug Pederson calling a Ken Dorsey special, two runs from shotgun at the goal line. Shockingly they don't get into the endzone.

Demeco Ryans isn't impressing me. 3rd and 10 they call a WR screen. Not terrible, I assume they're doing it to bring up a manageable 4th down, which they do at 4th and 4. Instead he punts from midfield...

Jalen Hurts another QB that got a stupid contract that he has zero chance of living up to.

Meanwhile the Jaguars defense isn't nearly as bad as we made them look. They start the 2nd half with two consecutive 3 and outs against Houston.

They paid him $275M after losing 5 of his last 6 games... Dumb franchises do dumb things.

The Texans defense really is not playing well. Lawrence missing throws, drops, dumb penalties, the Jags are playing defense against themselves. As I type this Lawrence tries to pull a Josh Allen and escape a free rusher. Instead he runs straight back and gets taken down immediately lol

Lawrence is missing wide open WRs. Just missed a deep TD to Christian Kirk

Not entirely sure. The refs correctly called the Packers WR down at the 1, and he ran onto the field red faced screaming and threw his headset.

Wow MATT LAFLEUR just got called for unsportsmanlike conduct. That takes them from the half yard line to the 15 yard line.

Technically he does everything right, but he's not a football player. It's the antithesis of Josh Allen coming out of college.

Trevor Lawrence sucks. He isn't made for the modern NFL.

Laremy Tunsil went to the locker room after being injured. Houston might be without their LT next week.

Jaguars secondary is hopelessly bad

I see plays like this every week, a pass rusher tries to basically run away from the pocket and gets held up for a tick. The officials will never call it unless the offensive lineman continues holding on. If you let your guy go they aren't calling it. The Jags rusher knows it - he doesn't even try pleading his case. Unsurprisingly you see these plays come up most frequently against the Bills and Chiefs.

He had the edge rusher turned around when Josh went to scramble right, and for a half second had him held there. However he let go as soon as the edge rusher tried to chase after Josh and that's what the officials are looking for. If officials were calling that holding every final score would be 9-6. Offensive linemen have a right to use their hands to hold a pass rusher in place. It gets called holding only if they are clearly holding in a way that impacts the direction the edge rusher is trying to go.

Just say you don't know what a hold is! You'll fit in with 90% of fans.

Joe Mixon out again, Tank Dell too. It would be nice if the Jaguars could put up any kind of fight against Houston.

PFF does measure first read throws and beyond first read throws, but I don't have access to that data. It's for premium subscribers only.

It isn't just about the ball being thrown to the sideline, it's about WRs lining up outside and getting open. Tyreek Hill was lining up outside even on those deep middle throws. That is the part of our offense that hasn't had to be tested much yet. I will agree it is easier said than done for a defense to make our offense run through our outside WRs. None of the teams we've faced have forced the issue. Maybe we can just continue totally scheming around it.

Having an elite talent on the field can't make a team worse. That doesn't make any sense. Having a headcase loser on the field/in the locker room can make a team worse. Diggs leaving and the offense performing better is not evidence that having elite WRs on the field is worse for an offense.

Sorry that you haven't seen that stat before. The reason it's measured is that (and this goes without saying) QBs are less efficient when throwing the ball beyond their first read. Some are affected more than others of course. For example it's been a known weakness in Tua's game that his efficiency drops off a cliff when forced past his first read. For that reason it's notable that the Bills are the NFL's most efficient offense while being dead last in first read percentage. https://www.fantasypoints.com/nfl/articles/2023/first-read-targets-and-fantasy-football#/ As a point of reference, the difference between 7.9 YPA and 6.9 YPA was the difference between the 5th best QB and the 20th best QB last year. This is what the article concludes after some statistical analysis: I don't mean to use this stat to criticize. I commend Josh, Brady, and the OL for making this sort of inherently less efficient style the most efficient offense in the NFL. I credit the pass catchers for executing on the plays that go to them. But there is an implication here that we are not throwing to the first read a lot because of skill position talent deficiency.

There are two conversations here. The first is about Diggs the person. I advocated for moving on from him well before the Bills actually did. I got sick of his act and how he was clearly affecting the chemistry of the team. This year Josh clearly looks a lot more comfortable and a lot more free on the field. I can't say there's a 100% correlation there, but definitely there is some kind of correlation. Getting Diggs out of this locker room and out of Josh's head has been a clear improvement. The second conversation is about Diggs the WR. This is where you lose me. There is a pervasive belief on here that every #1 WR is a locker room problem and/or a ball hog. I don't agree with that at all. I've even see people say that about DeAndre Hopkins in the thread about him. Maybe I missed something but when has Hopkins ever been a locker room problem? I don't want a WR that needs to be fed the ball 170 times a season, but it's sure nice to have one that has the ability to take over games when you need somebody to. So far no one other than Josh has needed to take over a game. If or when that is needed, there is reason to doubt that the current personnel can step up to the task. But like I've said that isn't a problem until it becomes one. Maybe we'll keep threading that needle all the way to the Super Bowl. I certainly have more optimism about that possibility now than I ever thought I would.