HappyDays
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Posts posted by HappyDays
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The Colts were taken to the woodshed by Howie Roseman. Not a sentence I ever thought I would type but here we are.
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Jags are holding Jonathan Taylor to 2.3 YPC
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Colts haven't won in Jacksonville since 2014. Oh my god if they pull this off we could be certain to miss the Colts in the playoffs.
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Flores should at least be given a shot with another QB before he is shown the door IMO. Their front 7 is below average, their offensive skill players are average at best, their OL is terrible, their QB is backup caliber... Not sure what the regime there expects him to do with that group. If anyone should go it's their GM.
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29 minutes ago, No_Matter_What said:
@Big Blitz @Billznut @Brianmoorman4jesus @Steptide @motorj @stevestojan @RobbRiddicksTDLeap @Process @Heitz @Evian @RaoulDuke79
Not saying the model is perfect but like expected analytics says that kicking FG actually IS playing to win (more often than going for TD)
Yeah I actually don't think the kick was a terrible decision. 4th and 9 is a no win situation. Even if they had gone for it and converted a TD they still would have needed to stop KC one more time. At least kicking the FG leaves you with a chance to get the ball back and win with a TD. The bigger problem was the two shots into the endzone on 2nd and 3rd down that left them in a 4th and 9.
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Did anyone else just get a T-Mobile commercial entirely in Spanish or was that just a Hulu thing?
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Big mistake to take two shots at the end zone there. Play like it's 4 down territory and take short completions if they're there.
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4 minutes ago, Buffalo_Stampede said:
Drew Lock vs Mahomes. Was there any doubt KC was winning?
Lock has arguably outplayed Mahomes. Not his fault the run blocking totally whiffed.
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In a way this game is frustrating for Broncos fans because it makes you wonder where has this Drew Lock been all year? If he pulls off the upset it muddies their plans for the QB room next year.
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1 minute ago, Aussie Joe said:
Said this several times this year... Chiefs are a lesser team this year... Bills need not fear them in the playoffs
Only AFC team I'm especially worried about this year is the Colts. Every other team out of the AFC I feel pretty equally about, Bills can match up and beat any of them even without playing our best game.
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2 minutes ago, LeGOATski said:
Unlike their championship years, they now have a suspect OL and defense.
Their OL is perfectly fine. Mahomes hasn't been as good this year.
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2 hours ago, 716er said:
A little birdy says if round 1 is Pats @ Bills the game will likely be Saturday night.
Funny enough a little birdy told me it will be the Monday night game...
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Just now, Coach Tuesday said:
Jerry Jeudy has been a real disappointment.
Drops and injury issues in college. Not a player I would have drafted in the 1st round.
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3 minutes ago, Buffalo Bills Fan said:
If the Chiefs lost, does it help the Bills any chance?
Chiefs loss plus a Bengals loss plus a Bills win gives us the 2 seed. In that event we would play the Chargers if they beat the Raiders, or play the Colts if the Raiders beat the Chargers.
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7 hours ago, CSBill said:
It's a good thing when Coaches are way more patient with player development than fans are.
Nobody was asking for Knox to be cut, just for the Bills to bring in competition who at the very worst would be a good #2 instead of Sweeney. Not keeping Hollister or trading for Ertz still looks like a mistake to me. Luckily Knox improved quite a bit so the mistake was minimized.
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If they're going to do a 20 week season with 2 bye weeks they should also make the bye week structure more fair. Having one bye in week 6 followed by 11 straight regular season games is a distinct disadvantage.
I think they should have 4 bye week pairs with 8 teams assigned to each pair. In a 20 week schedule I would have the bye week pairs as weeks 7 and 13, weeks 8 and 14, weeks 9 and 15, and weeks 10 and 16.
With that structure:
1) Every team would have bye weeks at reasonable points in the season.
2) The most consecutive regular season games played after the 2nd bye week would be just 7.
3) A team's 2nd bye week would always be spaced 6 weeks after the 1st bye week.
4) Every team would play in the last 4 weeks of the season which would be an exciting home stretch.
Ideally the 8 teams in each bye week pair would be teams from the same two divisions. So teams in each division would have the same bye weeks as their divisional rivals.
Yeah I've given this way too much thought.
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7 minutes ago, Nextmanup said:
I get Gronk owns the Bills along with the rest of the Patriots, but is that a reason to hate him as an individual?
No. Try to keep up. The reason is that he slammed a metal brace into the back of Tre White's neck while he was laying on the ground after the play was over, a brutal hit with no justification that could have been career ending.
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If I remember the play correctly, the broadcast commentator said something to the effect of "that's what happens when you try to hold Gronkowski." That sickened me as much as the hit itself.
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This is another incarnation of the junk NFL rumors Twitter account. This guy just posts random crap and retweets himself when one of his guesses comes true.
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2 minutes ago, The Frankish Reich said:
This is an awfully tired meme.
Check, for example, the uber-nerd's analytic QB ratings:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2021-nfl-predictions/quarterbacks/?ex_cid=rrpromo
Spoiler alert: Rodgers leads the pack, with Allen/Herbert/Mahomes/Brady in a virtual tie for 2nd. And it's been like that all season.
I will never tire of seeing Trubisky as the 2nd highest rated QB in the division.
Edit: Also lmao at Mayfield being rated lower than Keenum AND Mullens.
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On 1/5/2022 at 10:08 AM, billsfan1959 said:
I think your eyes are deceiving you.
According to Next Gen Stats, here are the top 10 receivers in Yards of Separation per catch:
Rondale Moore ARI 5.7
Byron Pringle KC 4.2
Gerald Everett SEA 4.1
Noah Fant DEN 4.1
Dawson Knox BUF 4.1
Braxton Berrios NYJ 4.1
Mecole Hardman KC 4.1
Cole Beasley BUF 4
Jonnu Smith NE 4
Robert Woods LAR 3.8Yards of separation "per catch" is not a good statistic for measuring a WR's abilities, which is evident when you look at that list of players. It is almost all tight ends and slot receivers. Which makes sense when you consider the amount of screens and check downs and schemed open plays going to those types of pass catchers.
Very rarely this year have I seen Beasley break open with a sudden cut and then Allen throw him the ball. It is almost all screens or Beasley sitting in zone coverage. Last year he was a magician at separating on 3rd down with pure route running ability. I think that aspect of his game has gone away this year.
The rib injury is a possible excuse, but in a vacuum he's a small WR that will be 33 next season and he's coming off a down year. That isn't a player you spend $7.6 million on IMO. I'd accept the $1.5 million dead cap and get younger at the position.
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Joe Marino expanded on this on the latest Locked on Bills episode:
As he points out, despite Allen's stats being worse at home, the Bills win percentage is markedly better at home vs. on the road.
At home with Allen as the QB we have a 68.75% win percentage. On the road with Allen as the QB we have a 56.25% win percentage.
This is notable because over the last 3 seasons NFL teams on the whole have a win percentage of about 50% whether at home or on the road. Home field advantage has all but disappeared in recent years for most teams, but for us there's still a significant advantage.
That data is in line with what some people have theorized - Allen's stats are worse at home primarily because of Buffalo weather; since that weather tends to disrupt the other QB even more than it disrupts Allen, this leads to an overall home field advantage. Allen's rushing ability also gives us a firm advantage in bad weather compared to less mobile QBs.
Stats are cool. Wins are better.
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If the 17th game hadn't happened the Bills would likely not win the division. We would have one less win (WFT) while the Pats would have one less loss (Dallas). We would be 9-6, they would be 10-5 heading into the final week. If they beat Miami on Sunday, they would have been division champs.
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16 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:
A week where I agree with most of what Joe identifies. Especially the drop off from Harrison and Ed to our other DTs.
Losing Zimmer for the year has been more impactful than expected.
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1/9/22 Gameday Bills vs Jets 1st Half Thread
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
Uh oh Daboll lost his head again. He is still my biggest concern heading into the playoffs.