HappyDays

Siran Neal casually comes into the game and shuts down all of his targets in coverage. That's the product of excellent coaching from top to bottom.

I can't believe in a real NFL game Isaiah Hodgins is catching passes from Case Keenum. The depth on this team right down to the practice squad is unbelievable.

Blitz more! Soft zone! 13 seconds! I think I hit it all.

Put Keenum in. I have no interest in watching Pittsburgh retaliate for the hit on Pickett.

This offense is at another level when Davis is healthy.

It's crazy how every single game so far the defense has given up one early drive and then completely shut down our opponent for the rest of the game. It's like we go vanilla for one drive just to see what the opposing offense will do and then we have enough info to take over the game.

Waste of a 1st round pick!!

The Khalil Shakir game!! We got a star, folks.

Shakir's instincts are amazing. He has an incredible feel for maximizing YAC.

Elam has had tight coverage on a lot of these plays, it's just tough to beat a catch radius like what Pickens has

Davis is an absolute monster today.

This game is going how I expected. Offense looks lethargic but the defense is starting to dominate them. We absolutely suck in our own stadium in wind.

Moss is so bad. That's at least a 10 yard gain for almost any other RB in the league.

Ugh Hamlin just cost us about 40 yards of field position

Please go root for another team

That was actually good coverage from Elam there, he made it a very difficult completion and it turned into an incompletion as a result. Tough drive there for the rookie but it happens.

Bates has been a major disappointment. It's not just minor regression, he looks like a 3rd string guard.

Well at least our entire DL is healthy for the first time since week 1. We need them to wreck the game today.

No one is angry that Edmunds is playing at a more consistent level. I've been waiting 4 years to see him take a step. He hasn't reached the ceiling that his physical abilities promised and probably never will at this point, but he is no longer an outright vulnerability like he has been in the past.

Signing Hodgins to the active roster is a break glass in case of emergency kind of situation. Whether it be through trade or taking a flier on one of the available veteran FAs they need to get someone else on the roster, at least until Kumerow's ankle heals.

Good advice.

If anything they should start an official minor league in Europe. A full time NFL team across the ocean wouldn't work, too many logistical issues and players don't want to spend that much time on the other side of the world away from their friends and family.

I don't necessarily mind going for it on 4th down there in OT, but throwing the ball on 3rd down on their last offensive drive of the 4th quarter was inexcusable. Russ was playing terribly and there was no reason to think Matt Ryan could will his offense into the end zone. In that situation you run the ball on 3rd down to play it safe, then kick the FG to go up by 6 points. That would have just about ended the game.

You're ascribing a trend to a statistic that doesn't have one. One score games are 50% games, period, over a large enough sample size. If you take any massive sample size of an event with 50/50 odds and you split that sample size into random chunks, the individual chunks are not likely to all come out 50/50. One chunk might even come out 90/10 just because of random chance. But there is not inherently something meaningful about any one of those individual chunks, it is just how statistical dispersion works. As an example Josh Allen was 9-0 in his opening coin tosses last year. If you were told that something with 50/50 odds happened 9 times to zero you might assume some human element was involved. But there wasn't one. It's just a coin flip. Also, one score games are not inherently meaningful results. If the Chiefs lead by 14 points in 3 games and give up a garbage time TD in each, they are 3-0 in close games over that period. I don't know if that's what happened in a large number of their one score game wins, but we can agree those games shouldn't count, yes? And the issue is you haven't separated the games that should count from the games that shouldn't. Similarly there were several close games where the Bills scored a late TD to pull ahead by two scores and as a result they don't get credit for a one score win because they played too well to get that result. So the records you posted simultaneously have too much data and not enough data. Even if you managed to separate all of the meaningful data out and post the resulting records, we still come back to the coin flip problem. It's human nature to find trends. But a lot of data is just random. You want to know the best way to avoid losing a close game? Don't end up in one. Close games become coin flips. One drop, one blown coverage, one missed FG decides the game. When the Bills lose one score games it isn't typically because of one bad coaching moment in crunch time, it's because of a series of bad coaching decisions or bad player execution that led to the game becoming a coin flip game, or sometimes it's because we simply played an equal game with an equal opponent and came down on the wrong side at the end. And all of that is true in close games that we won except we came down on the right side.

Usually I don't like analysis that pretends to know what the reads were. But it looks like Hamler's route on the right is a designed pick play that worked perfectly and Russ never looked in that direction.