HappyDays

How exactly does Mahomes stop the coaches from the 13 seconds disaster? And if his defense this year allowed 27+ to the Bengals he would have lost the AFCCG. This is a clueless post.

No, in fact I loved the Oliver pick. Him and DK Metcalf were the two players I wanted at #9 overall that year, no preference. But I'm not paid millions of dollars to make those decisions. Every time a GM is fired it's done with the benefit of hindsight. Their job is to make good decisions without that benefit.

Yeah you could argue from a cost to value standpoint Ed Oliver is the worst pick Beane has made. 9th overall pick on a player that has made a 2nd round impact. It's made worse when the next three DTs taken - Wilkins, Lawrence, and Simmons - have all had more of an impact, as have two edge rushers taken soon after - Brian Burns and Rashan Gary. Five defensive linemen he could have had that we'd all be more pleased with as of today and he took the worst one. Hopefully Oliver can play a full season healthy next year and finally play to his full potential for more than just a couple games a year, but I'm not counting on it.

Von's contract is not the problem. He has a cap hit of $18.5 million next year, and $21.2 million in 2024. Here's the problem: Saffold $4 million cap hit 2021 Addison $10 million cap hit 2020 Butler $8 million cap hit 2020 There's $22 million wasted on the first three players that came to mind, and there's plenty more examples where that came from. Spending all of that money on one elite player is inarguably a better decision. Also we wouldn't have beat the Bengals with Von Miller anyways. Burrow was able to get the ball out quick because of our defensive scheme and the offense scored 10 points. That was a loss even with our full roster from day one IMO.

Because Beane never waits when he definitely wants someone back. White, Allen, Hyde, Dawkins - they all signed their 2nd contracts well before hitting free agency. Whereas Milano they were prepared to let walk if it came to that but he accepted a hometown discount to stay here so we got him signed at the last minute before free agency. It seems like that's the direction they're going with Edmunds. They'll bring him back for the right price but he isn't a priority. If he gets overpaid elsewhere they're willing to live with that. I'm actually hoping that's what happens and then we can invest in the offense.

Probably true, but it's also possible they want to pump up his value to maximize the comp pick they get if he signs elsewhere.

Well, they know now. If Edmunds was a priority they would have locked him up by now. I've gone back and forth on Edmunds. After the 2021 season I thought no way we would extend him. Earlier this year I thought he was a definite extension priority. Now I'm thinking we should let him walk and use his money for offense. I like Edmunds, I think the defense was much better this year when he was on the field. But what's the point if we end up in shootouts in the playoffs every year anyways? Might as well spend on offense and get a cheaper replacement at MLB. A few names I saw as potential options: Germaine Pratt Drue Tranquill Leighton Vander Esch Deion Jones Anthony Walker Bobby Okereke Take a small to moderate step back at MLB in exchange for a big investment in the OL? Count me in for that idea.

If the rumor is true, what are they waiting for? I was starting to think that since they haven't extended him yet he wants to test free agency.

You're not even gonna tell us your name and where you're from? Cop out.

This is not true. He threw 15 interceptions in 2021 with a 2.3% INT rate; 14 interceptions in 2022 with a 2.5% INT rate. He was effectively the same player with regards to turnovers, but his TD rate actually went up from 5.6% to 6.2%. In fact the offense as a whole was much more consistent under Dorsey. Our offensive rank in DVOA this year was 2nd, last year we were 10th. DVOA also measures variance which is essentially consistency week over week. Our offense was the 4th most consistent this year, last year we were the 2nd LEAST consistent. Overall this year I would say the offensive highs weren't quite as high as last year, but the floor was MUCH higher. No total flunks in the regular season like the Jags game last year. Where Dorsey's inexperience became a problem was in the playoffs. An experienced top tier DC in Lou Anarumo took him to school. Maybe Daboll would have done a better job there. Personally I wish we had a more experienced OC because our offense is too talented to waste on a new OC's training wheels. But it is what it is. Hopefully one year of experience is enough.

I assume everyone's avatar is who they are in real life. I happen to be a golfing legend with a fear of alligators.

KC has weirdly not drafted skill position players well in the Mahomes era, luckily for the rest of the league. Moore had a poor rookie season both as a WR and as a punt returner. Clyde Edwards-Helaire is a 1st round bust and they could have had Tee Higgins or Jonathan Taylor with that pick. Mecole Hardman as a 2nd round pick is somewhat underwhelming for his draft position especially considering DK Metcalf and Terry McLaurin were drafted soon after. Give the Chiefs any one of those players and their offense might be unstoppable right now. Looks like they finally hit one with Pacheco in the 7th.

Then you haven't paid attention. He was known to be a raw prospect. Players like him you expect to hit their stride in year three. Young, didn't play much in college, took an entire year off of football. The first half of this past season he was one of the best players on the team. Then Von went down so he had to play more snaps than planned and he got a high ankle sprain. So he faded down the stretch a bit. After another offseason of NFL conditioning I expect this to be his breakout year. No he isn't going to suddenly turn into Nick Bosa but I see him becoming a consistent 10+ sack a year guy who also continues to be a premier run stopper. That kind of production is a foundational player for a franchise.

Agreed, I thought he was much better this year than the coaches gave him credit for. For a rookie CB coming into a league with more great WRs than ever before I was very impressed with his play. One of just a couple defensive players that made game changing plays this year, with interceptions against KC and Miami in the wildcard game that arguably won us those games. He managed to shut down Tyreek Hill in two games. When's the last time we had a CB that could do that? He appears to have the right attitude too so I'm sure he will only get better. Elam's lack of playing time this season is one of the many reasons I have recently soured on this coaching staff. Some of their decisions just don't make any sense. Scratching him for Xavier Rhodes off the practice squad? I don't get it. Put him on the Chiefs and he probably starts the entire season and we're all talking about how Beane missed out on a promising CB. So frustrating.

I find it hard to believe Robinson will make it that far. Lesser prospects like Etienne and Najee Harris got taken sooner than pick 27. The word on Robinson is he's the best RB prospect since Saquon Barkley. To me that's a no brainer pick if he makes it to us but he won't.

Give him a chance to develop. He performed worse at the end of the year after an ankle injury and after he started getting more attention because Von wasn't there. 3rd year was always going to be his big step year anyways. He started just 13 games in college and took a year off from football during covid. He will be 23 when the season starts, younger than a lot of rookies will be. So he was never going to hit his ceiling right away. I'm really excited to see him reach his potential and I think we start to see it this year.

@GunnerBill I know you disagree with that post. But as an extreme example can you imagine the Patriots in their heyday ever looking completely unprepared for a playoff matchup? They didn't always make it to and win the Super Bowl but they were always prepared for their opponent despite not always being necessarily as talented. That's what great coaching gets you. You're always in it with a chance. This coaching staff under McDermott has not given the team a chance to win in each of the last two playoff exits. I agree the talent discrepancy between us and the Bengals is real but considering they were down three starting OL it was not as big a discrepancy as it looked on the field. Their players were put in a position for success. Ours were not. That's all I'm saying.

Part of that though is setting the players up for success. Calling runs out of shotgun on a snowy field, never getting the offense in rhythm with quick passes against a potent pass rush, the offensive line looking unprepared to handle delayed blitzes, etc. And that's just on the offensive side. On defense we were also totally out schemed. Free releases to their receivers, letting their below average run game run all over us because they managed to get Taron Johnson matched up against a pulling guard. Frankly the whole team was completely unprepared for everything the Bengals threw at us. That is not a case of their talent making a few more plays than our talent. It was a coaching mismatch as much as it was a talent mismatch.

Sadly this is where I'm at. I'll still enjoy each and every game. But none of the stats or rankings will mean anything to me. I'll be waiting for the playoffs to see if this coaching staff can finally do it when it counts.

It isn't just about winning the Super Bowl. It's about putting us in position to at least contend for a Super Bowl. 2020 I don't blame McDermott for. We were still getting our playoffs feet wet and weren't on the level of the Chiefs yet. 2021 coaching malpractice cost us a game we had won. 2022 we squeaked by a wildcard team on its 3rd string QB and had a poor gameplan on both sides of the ball in the divisional round and got blown out. So there is actually a downward trend. We are further away from a Super Bowl now than we were in 2020 despite being more experienced in playoff games. Get us to the AFCCG or the Super Bowl and we lose a heartbreaker because the other team's talent makes more plays, you can live with that from your coaches. That was 2020. Getting embarrassed for different reasons in consecutive playoff exits is not something you can live with. It falls on coaching. Next year if we still don't even sniff a Super Bowl appearance then yes I am ready to give someone else a shot.

Eagles 34 Chiefs 24 I could be wrong, I just don't like this matchup for the Chiefs. Eagles DL against Chiefs OL is probably a wash, but the reverse is a big advantage for the Eagles. I don't see how the Chiefs secondary holds up against so many talented pass catchers when they also have to worry about the run game. Whereas the Eagles secondary shouldn't have much trouble against the Chiefs receivers. Mahomes + Kelce means they will get their points but I see the Eagles pulling away fairly early and it never really gets close. The wildcard is Hurts. If he gets nervous in his first Super Bowl and regresses to his performance from the past two years then the Chiefs will probably win.

I would take Jalin Hyatt instead of Rice, if for no other reason than to keep him away from the Chiefs.

Mahomes held the Bengals to 20 points? I knew he was good but that's an unbelievable performance.

I recall three checkdown attempts when the Bengals game was still in hand. Two were tipped at the line (poor OL technique), one bounced off the hands of Singletary. There's the checkdown offense everyone has been screaming about. It isn't going to be fix our problems. I would like to see a little more short passing offense schemed up, especially getting guys like Cook and Hines intentionally involved as pass catchers, but Bills fans have all too quickly forgotten what happened in 2020. We spent much of that season throwing a lot of short crossing routes and hook routes to our less-than-dynamic receivers who more often than not got hit right away. We moved the ball but our receivers took a beating all year long. By the time we got to the AFCCG seemingly every starting receiver was banged up. That's what an offense full of unathletic route technicians gets you when you're relying on short passes. The Bills offense is not going to turn into a machine throwing 5 yard button routes to Diggs who immediately gets smacked in the back 10 times a game. Our offense was intentionally a downfield passing offense because it meshes with the QB and the receivers that we have. I also think Allen's elbow injury made him less accurate on shorter routes so they intentionally called less of those later in the year. Next year we need a better #2 WR and our offense as a whole needs to handle blitzes better. If everyone is running a vertical route and one of our OL gets confused, a delayed blitz is an automatic win for the defense. I'm begging Dorsey to figure out how to organically get the RBs involved in the passing game, not as checkdowns but with multiple designed targets every game. Use the offseason to figure out how to run a screen for the first time in a decade. Those are some of the ways we can get this offense humming with more consistency, not by throwing a million 5 yard curl routes.

Correct me if I'm wrong but I believe he only played center in college, not guard. Not sure we could rely on him to be a day one starter at guard. And he's going to be a 24 year old rookie like Boogie Basham was. So this would be a disappointing 1st round pick IMO. If he makes it to our pick in round 2, sure.