HappyDays

We telegraphed the safety blitz and Goff smartly threw right to that spot. It was an incredibly stupid play call.

Enough with the blitzes on 3rd and long! Where did this version of Frazier come from?

Josh Allen is back!

The Offside didn't even matter, they converted it anyways. Same old Bills - the opponent is down key starters which supposedly gives us a favorable matchup and somehow the backups still dominate us.

Please get Elam out there. Dane Jackson was picked on that entire drive.

Get Elam out there. Jackson can't press.

Runs up the middle with Singletary are not a good choice today. Attack the edges. Another offensive series blown up with Cook standing on the sidelines.

Tre's wife:

I heard they turned all of the locker room lights off and when Zach Wilson walked in they turned them on and everyone said "Surprise!" and to the tune of Happy Birthday they sang "You've been benched for Mike White."

The clip of Josh Allen after the Jets loss saying "it's hard to win when your QB plays like s***" went somewhat viral on Jets social media over the last week. And there were reports that Jets players weren't happy with Wilson's lack of accountability. When you lose the fans and the players, the coach has no choice but to make a change.

Chris Simms said on his podcast yesterday that he has heard several teams were shocked with what OBJ was asking for in terms of salary. Whichever team lands him will have to overpay him and probably give him more than just a one year deal. We might have to overpay even more than other teams if the report about him wanting to avoid cold weather is correct. Personally I would bite the bullet and just get it done. Beane has been ever so careful about preserving cap space and draft picks. The time is right to make a small sacrifice for the future to win now.

If he returns at all this season I consider this good news.

I remember that happening in the away Pats game and I remember thinking we should kick the FG. Going for it on 4th down always looks good when you convert but over the course of a season I would still take the points every time until it becomes obvious that you have to be aggressive. Instead of trying to predict that I'll need more points later and possibly lose points now in the process, I will just take my points now. There are always going to be examples in both directions of the decision winning a team the game or losing a team the game. So instead of trying to guess what will happen I personally would play it safe. I think if you stretch your logic far enough you could make an argument to always go for 2 point conversions. This isn't a good analogy because in blackjack it's 2 options - win or lose. We're talking about 3 options - 0 points, some points, or extra points. We're talking about risking some points to possibly get extra points or come away with 0 points. Give me the middleground every time until it's no longer viable. And I'll say in general you have to feel out the game. If you're playing against a great offensive team and you drive to 4th and goal from the 1 on your opening drive I understand going for it. There was a point in the Chiefs/Chargers game where Staley decided to punt on 4th and 1 from around his own 40 yard line. At that point the Chiefs had swung the momentum back to them and their offense was starting to look unstoppable. That's a situation where I understand the argument that he should have gone for it. But the 2 point conversion against the Browns or the 4th and 2 attempt against the Vikings were NOT that situation. We were already winning by multiple scores and there was no big momentum swing going on. In that case I always take the points.

As I mentioned earlier in the thread going up by 13 means that you need a FG to go up by 16 points which puts a lot of pressure on the opposing offense. That isn't nothing. The only reason that final onside kick mattered is that the Browns were within 8 points. That was because we didn't take the XP earlier. I get the thought that going up by 14 looks better than going up by 13, but there are other possessions in the future that will change the math.

Just feels like every time I see a coach do the hyper-aggressive thing it ends up hurting them more than it helps them. I know what all of the charts say but no one seems to be able to explain how those things are calculated, it just looks smart so people trust it. The thing about the math is that you don't know if your play call will be successful so the algorithms they use are assigning a probability to the success rate. But if you fail to convert you've lowered your win probability, whereas if you take the easy points you've increased it. I would rather just take the points and worry about the rest later.

Being up 8 > being up 7. You could use this logic to always go for 2 point conversions and 4th down attempts. Practically the game doesn't work that way. Stack points and worry about being aggressive when it becomes necessary.

"We're all encouraging Tre" feels like fairly intentional wording.

Scoring 30+ points without gifting the other team short fields is what I prefer. The offense had become too much feast or famine over the first half of the season. Against the Browns we got back to fundamentals which is ultimately what wins championships.

This is crazy.

Nothing summarizes the collective intelligence of this board better than the multiple posters in this thread clamoring to bring Cole Beasley back into the fold. Just utterly clueless about who he is on and off the field right now.