HappyDays

It's supposed to be a weak draft, though. Our last few 2nd rounders are James Cook, Boogie Basham, AJ Epenesa, Cody Ford, Zay Jones. You wouldn't give up any of those players for a two year rental of DeAndre Hopkins? To me it's a no brainer. For Jeudy I would do a 1st because he's only 24 years old and he is a better WR prospect than any WR we could conceivably draft with our 1st rounder. OBJ doesn't cost draft picks, we just need to pay him a little more than other teams are offering for a one year prove it deal. Preferences may vary but to me any one of these options is a no brainer. It isn't adding "just another WR." It's improving on Gabe Davis who was the worst #2 target of any of the remaining contenders last year. Well, we didn't. We signed Conner McGovern, that was the extent of our OL improvements this offseason. Recent history shows you can make it to the Super Bowl with elite skill positions (Bengals) or elite OL (Chiefs), or ideally both (Eagles). At this point I know there are available options that would raise our skill positions to an elite level. There is no way we are going to suddenly raise our OL to an elite level at this point. So, I take the most sensible path available - acquire one of the available players that improves our WR #2 and know for a fact that we are fielding a better offense than the one that scored 10 points in the divisional round.

The way I look at it, we know Hopkins, Jeudy, and OBJ are available. If we don't end up with one of them I consider the offseason mostly a failure. Improving the depth on the offense, but failing to improve the #2 WR when better options are available, would constitute a failure IMO.

I'm not disputing that we needed to sign a back with Harris' skill set. I'm saying it the opportunity cost of signing him is a 3rd round pick, we should have done something else. Harris isn't an elite back. He's just a pretty good downhill RB. Here's some food for thought - Beane has never spent a day three pick on a RB. That's pretty unbelievable. If signing Harris means we spent yet another 3rd round pick on a RB, this time for a one-year deal, it is very poor valuation of the position.

Singletary will likely qualify as a lost UFA, it just hasn't been updated on there yet because his official contract numbers haven't been announced. It was reported as one year "up to $3.75 million." The thought is that it will be at least $2.5 million base. I guess if it isn't then we probably lose out on the comp pick regardless. In that event Poyer not getting a better contract elsewhere is ultimately what will have cost us the comp pick and I won't blame Beane for that.

I'm still hopeful that it won't be. I guess the actual threshold for players that qualify for the comp pick formula is believed to be around $2.5 million this year. If we got him for $2 million or less I think it's a good signing. If we paid more than that, and next year we're talking about a free top 100 pick that we lost, the signing will have been inexcusable IMO.

It does matter. We're talking about a free top 100 pick. Signing an injury ridden RB with a limited skill set to a one year deal is not worth losing that pick. We could have signed Elliott to play the same role, or just drafted one on day three like most teams do for that skill set. Even if you're correct that we would have had to spend that 3rd round pick on a RB (although I will mention this obviously isn't inherently true), there's a big difference between a cost controlled RB on a multi-year rookie contract and a veteran on a one year contract. Let's be real. A one season rental of almost any RB is not worth a 3rd round pick. It's arguable that not a single RB is worth that trade off. For Damien Harris the suggestion is laughable.

I don't want to believe that Beane threw away a free 3rd round pick to sign an injury ridden RB with a limited skill set. Personally when I saw the announcement I assumed we were giving him like $1.6 million. A RB signing this late in free agency isn't typically getting more than that. Seeing some of the discussion about his value admittedly makes me nervous now. Hopefully I'm right.

I don't know yet. If it's more than $1.75 million I'm not a fan of the signing. That would be the same as effectively trading a 2024 3rd rounder for him. We've been willing to roll with starters from rounds 4-7 at seemingly every position other than RB. If we yet again spent a 3rd round pick (indirectly, but still) on a no-more-than-decent RB, I give up.

Being ranked 7th behind a has-been like Kareem Hunt isn't impressive. The 7th best RB available in any given free agency period is almost always a JAG. Even taking that author's opinion as accurate that doesn't tell me anything about Harris's value. And Spotrac's market valuations have notoriously been all over the place. Their market value is calculated from some algorithm they use, presumably based on stats and the player's age. They had Edmunds' market value as $11 million AAV before the offseason. Anyone who pays attention to the market could have told you a young athletic specimen coming off his best year, and entering a weak free agent class, was bound to earn at least $15 million AAV from a team with cap space to burn. Lo and behold he gets $18 million AAV. Similarly, but on the opposite end of the spectrum, a downhill only RB coming off his second injury ridden season is not getting anything close to the $7.1 million AAV Spotrac's algorithm laughably predicted for him.

I think people on here are way overrating a decent RB with a one-trick skill set who's missed several games a year to injury. That kind of player goes for $2 million or less. If we paid $5 million per year and cost ourselves a 3rd round pick in 2024 I have no clue what Beane was thinking.

It continues a trend of the scouting staff and Beane finding good role players for low salaries. It's definitely been a strength of this regime. I wish they did a better job finding the elite talent that puts you over the hump for a championship. But no one can question their ability to find solid role players and fill holes before the draft.

I like the signing. I'm assuming it's going to be for less than $2 million. He fills a role we didn't have on the roster for cheap. I'm good with it.

If it lasts longer than 4 hours, call 911.

It isn't that exciting. He fills a hole, that's all. I think Bills fans' feelings about him are skewed by some of the big runs he's had against us. For his "type" of RB he's basically a JAG. Nothing wrong with that. Analytics say JAG backs are probably better values than highly paid ones.

Yeah this is my thought on it as well. Harris is just good enough to be part of the rotation if no one better comes along. But if we draft a RB that looks better in camp we can cut Harris without losing anything meaningful.

3rd round comp pick here we come! I'm assuming Sherfield came in under $1.75 million.

No, we are 2 gained and 2 lost right now. 1 year contracts with a salary of under $1.75 million don't count towards the formula. So far the only qualified gains are Harty and McGovern, the only qualified losses are Keenum and Edmunds. I'm guessing Jaquan Johnson and Sherfield will both make less than $1.75 million so that doesn't change anything. Fingers crossed Houston signs Singletary for $2 million and we are in good shape to get that 3rd rounder.

Depends. If the contract is for less than $1.75 million it won't count against us. That's what I'd expect.