HappyDays

His targets per game is down. Last year 6.2 targets per game, this year so far 4.5 targets per game. That is a substantial difference - over a 17 game season it's 29 less targets. He is playing like a really good #3 WR right now IMO. With his targets coming down he has become more efficient which should have been the goal coming into the season. If he ends up at 4.5 targets per game, that will put him in the same company (going off of 2022 statistics) as players like Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Chase Claypool, Alec Pierce, Michael Gallup... I think Davis is at least slightly better than all of those players so I would call him a high-end #3. It remains to be seen if an offense can sustain a Super Bowl run without a true #2, but with Allen and the defense playing as well as they have over the past three weeks it may be enough to overcome that handicap.

Crazy part is he is still only 17 years old!

🤔

That is just an awful throw. Giants made a huge mistake running it back with Jones and Barkley. They should have taken a page out of McBeane's book, use the good will of an unexpected playoff season to tear it all down and go all in on a franchise QB. Now they've made the cardinal sin of having a bad season and nothing for fans to feel optimistic about.

On Rousseau - I'm told it's a foot injury, not sure exactly what kind. There was a moment near the end of the 2nd quarter where his foot was stepped on and you can see him look at his foot funny and kind of shake it, my source says this is likely when the injury occurred. He played the rest of the game though so hopefully that's a sign that it is minor.

I just looked at the PFF grades for this game. Any time I want to start giving PFF more credence I just can't do it, some of the grades they give out are too goofy. In this one they rated Ed Oliver with a 52.4, Taron Johnson with a 55.9, and Terrel Bernard with a 56.4. All below average grades. I'm sorry but that doesn't remotely match up with what I watched yesterday. I have seen players criticize PFF for failing to consider the players' jobs on a snap to snap basis. This appears to be a good example of that.

Yeah I was a little perplexed by my source's report too, I didn't see anything in the game that indicated Rousseau got hurt, but my source hasn't been wrong yet.

I don't know where else to put this, but I got this info from my usual source (I'm quoting verbatim): "Rousseau may have a lower leg injury. Something that COULD cost him a few weeks IF he feels like he can't play through it." Hopefully this doesn't turn out to be too serious. He had that high ankle sprain last year that nagged him over the final half of the season. Personally I would sit him a couple games if it comes to it, play the long game.

This is the same lesson teams had to learn about Sean McVay's offense when he first came onto the scene. Ignore all the eye candy, just play your man or zone. Once you remove the BS it's not that complicated to defend, as long as you have 7 players working as a hive mind (easier said than done of course).

Now that I've actually read your report (brilliant work as usual by the way) I wanted to comment on this line - This was the first game in a long time where I can remember multiple offensive players not named Allen or Diggs creating plays. I'll say that again - creating plays. Not catching a perfect pass and immediately getting tackled. Not getting schemed open. Creating. It's something our offense has been missing badly the past few years. You pointed out the examples. Harty's instincts to quickly get up before being touched and get to the sticks. Knox bulldozing over a man to get a 1st down. Cook smartly went deep on Allen's scramble drill and ended up in perfect position to make a huge catch with wide open grass in front of him. Murray had that one brilliant catch and run along the sideline where he picked up a bunch of YAC. (Side note - Murray might be my favorite addition of the offseason. He is the definition of a true pro and maximizes every opportunity he gets.) And then of course Allen and Diggs did what they always do, and then some. Elite QB play, elite WR1 play, and role players creating plays when they get their opportunity. That's a recipe for an offense that blows the doors off their opponent. Now I just want to see it again. I'm not holding out for another 48 point performance, I'm not THAT greedy, but I want to see the role players continue to create plays that rise above the scheme and above Allen's right arm. All offseason my biggest concern was not having a true #2 pass catcher to complement Diggs, and that concern honestly still nags at me a bit. Eventually the defenses will tighten up and we'll be in playoff football against some real juggernauts. But if we get what we got yesterday from our role players, maybe we can make it work. Maybe every week we'll have a different three-headed monster that combines to be the #2. No other Super Bowl team in recent memory has done it that way. But no other team in recent memory has had Josh Allen playing at the level we've seen him at these past three weeks.

Here's my defensive stat of the day: Brilliant work from McDermott. Getting Tua beyond his first read is most of the battle.

Shaw - You'll enjoy the first section of this article: https://www.theringer.com/nfl/2023/10/2/23899225/nfl-week-4-hot-read-josh-allen-buffalo-bills-miami-dolphins-philadelphia-eagles It discusses exactly what you've been saying, which is that when Allen takes the easy throws 80% of the time it keeps the offense on schedule, and he can still sprinkle a few 1 of 1 plays throughout the game.

This might turn out to be a very dumb statement but I'm not sure the defense has tendencies. McDermott is mixing it up constantly. We blitzed quite a few times in the first half today, then mostly dropped everyone into coverage in the 2nd half. We mostly rush 4 but it's anybody's guess which 4 are coming. When you combine that balanced play calling with a talented front 4 and a fundamentally sound back 7, and everyone is playing off of what their teammates are doing to near perfection, that's how you hold a 70 point offense to 20 points. I don't think there's some code for a genius offensive mind to crack here.

Not at all! Keep us in manageable distances on 2nd and 3rd downs and wear the defense down. Don't focus so much on the outcome of the individual play. Pass offense is about individual plays, run offense is about commitment over the course of the game. It keeps defenses from teeing off on their pass rush and ultimately pays off in the 4th quarter.

This has been my biggest compliment of Dorsey and the biggest upgrade from Daboll to him. You can't just give up on the run entirely after a couple drives. That Jags debacle in 2021 we only ran like 8 or 9 times if I remember correctly, in a game that was always within one score. It was a losing game plan from Daboll. But Dorsey understands this concept. You'll notice over the last three games in the 4th quarter our offense suddenly starts pouring it on. I believe this is directly tied to us committing to the run early in the game so that by the 4th quarter the opposing defense is gassed. That is a winning formula that I've been waiting years for us to commit to.

I don't think that's correct. Allen haa not been going rogue ignoring his read progressions. The offense was primarily a deep to short read offense last year. This year we are seeing that progression flip in favor of short reads, and then taking shots at opportune times when the defense has been baited into cheating towards the short routes. Dorsey absolutely mastered this concept today. Every shot play was perfectly timed. Allen smartly checked it down when the defense didn't bite. Brilliant combination of an OC in his bag and a QB making the right decision 100% of the time.

Nothing shocks me anymore. The refs get blinded by the star power of some teams and can't help themselves.

Well, Zack will always have that one drive to rest his laurels on. Every other drive he's been staring down his pre-snap read and generally looking uncomfortable on every snap.

You said you'd leave the board forever if we drafted Allen, right? What happened?

Hackett vs Reid is a hilarious play caller mismatch. Hackett stopped all the momentum the Jets had.

And here we go with awful Nate Hackett play calling to kill all the momentum

He sensed the New Jersey housewife cougars sitting in the crowd and got a big testosterone boost

Holy *** that is the best Zach Wilson has ever looked. Decisive, accurate, perfect release.