HappyDays

The Jets offense would stink even with Rodgers. Bad OL, bad weapons, and Nate Hackett. Terrible.

Oh Zack... winding up to throw with a 350 pound man directly in your face. Come on man.

There have been at least 3 catches in this game that would be the best catch of our season.

We gotta invest in some weapons, man. The plays these other pass catchers pull out of their rear end on a weekly basis is absurd.

The Chiefs have somehow always managed to lock down Diggs 1v1. First Charvarius Ward, now L'Jarius Sneed.

Sigh, Mullens is a disaster. Took 6 points off the board so far.

Keep in mind when grading Brady he is running an offense with below average personnel. Diggs has been playing more like a WR2 than WR1 over the past 3 games. Davis like a WR4. All the other WRs are JAGs. Kincaid has been very good but still just a rookie. If anyone is expecting us to pass the ball at will against talented defenses, that is not a reasonable expectation. My one criticism of Brady from the Chiefs game is the same criticism I've had of several OCs in a row now - he inexplicably stopped committing to the run, specifically with Cook, in the 2nd half. Cook was our best skill player in the 1st half and we just took him off the field. I find that with many coaches it's the really simple stuff they mess up more than the complicated stuff. But Brady did a better job committing to the run in the previous two games so hopefully Chiefs 2nd half was just an anomaly for him.

Three games today, all with potential playoff implications for the Bills: 1PM - Minnesota at Cincinnati 4:30PM - Pittsburgh at Indy 8:15PM - Denver at Detroit

He does need more help around him, no question. But he also has not been his usual dominant #1 WR self recently. This is the first article I've seen where someone directly asked him about his struggles over the past few games. That being said I should have known better than to buy in to a clickbait headline from Tim Graham of all people...

I did not listen to the interview. If Tim Graham took quotes out of context to make it look worse than it was, I'll take the L on this one.

https://theathletic.com/5138908/2023/12/15/stefon-diggs-buffalo-bills-drops-cowboys?source=user-shared-article I'll be honest, I've been getting a little sick of Diggs lately. If you're gonna dish out your frustrations to other player you have to be willing to take accountability when you're not playing well. This whole interview rubs me the wrong way. EDIT: I did not listen to the interview. Based on comments below it sounds like Tim Graham took quotes out of context to make it look worse. Nothing to see here...

Texans are probably going to lose at least 2 more games so that takes them out of the wildcard race. Steelers are done. Bengals unfortunately are very much in it. I think they will beat Vikings and Steelers, so they would need to lose the last two against Chiefs and Browns to get them to 9-8. Browns are not losing 3 out of their last 4 so might as well root for them to win out. Colts have a very easy finish - Falcons, Steelers, Raiders, Texans. I think they'll go 3-1 and make a wildcard spot. I wouldn't be shocked to see them steal the division and push Jags to a wildcard spot. Unfortunately the Broncos have a very easy finish too. Lions, Pats, Chargers, Raiders. 3-1 is my guess so they're in. Our 10-7 wildcard chances depend on 2 of the Broncos, Bengals, or Colts losing a game they should win. Taking the division is our best bet, even at 10-7 because I think the Dolphins losing 2 of their next 3 is more likely than one of the presumed wildcard teams slipping up. Most realistic path IMO is we lose to Cowboys but win out the rest of the way, and Dolphins lose 2 of Jets/Cowboys/Ravens.

Really?? Even before this season I found that popular prognostication hard to believe, and now... The Chiefs gave $10M AAV to MVS. I am certain that is Davis's ceiling. My guess is 3 years $30M but with an easy out after year 2. I'll guess the Ravens as his next team. A blocking WR fits their team.

Even though it's clearly a pick, it isn't OPI. The WR just has to sell the route to avoid the penalty. The Bills have had many identical plays this season. Murrary got called on one against the Pats because he didn't act like he was running a route.

No because he can't run those routes effectively. He runs like 3 routes pretty well. He is not a consistent separator against CB1 or CB2 man coverage.

And when teams run the ball a lot they win the game more often... I think you are smart enough to understand cause and effect here, right?

Cowboys 33 Bills 30 I just don't like our matchup in this game at all. I am not convinced that our defense played as well as the final score last week made it look, and now we're without Epenesa and Hyde. Dak is playing the best football of his career and the Cowboys offense has been rolling. So I think we would need to win a shootout to steal this one and I just don't think our weapons are good enough to get it done unfortunately. I foresee a very similar game script to the Eagles loss.

I don't see how it could be because Brady took over. His route depth has gone up slightly since week 10 so it isn't just because we're throwing more screens. His drop percentage skyrocketing isn't because of Brady. For whatever reason he has just been off his game for a few weeks, I don't think there is an explanation.

This is crazy:

Unfortunately that isn't how it works. If Kincaid was Allen's 1st or 2nd read and he liked the matchup, he has to throw the ball to him, especially with pressure getting there. He isn't quickly checking to see if Davis is wide open, he's already starting to prepare his body to throw to Kincaid and would never have gotten to Davis next. If Allen misread the read pre-snap that's one thing but no one other than him or Brady know if that's true.

The stats indicate what a lot of us have been seeing. Most alarming is that in the last 4 games he has a NEGATIVE EPA per target. A 9.7% drop rate which rivals even Davis's worst stretches. He has not played like a #1 WR for several weeks now IMO. Here's the full text of that tweet for those who can't see it:

I will pardon Brady somewhat because I thought our WRs and our OL were both dreadful in this game. It's tough to do anything on offense when you're up against that kind of vulnerability. I agree that his biggest failing was abandoning the run game and passes to Cook in the 2nd half. I don't really understand what he was thinking there but hopefully he learned something.

I'm feeling much better about this now. We don't even need to beat the Cowboys to have a good chance at the division. Dolphins lose 2 of 3 to the Jets, Cowboys, and Ravens, we win our last 3 games. That gives us the division.

Spagnuolo badly out coached him in the 2nd half, but Spagnuolo is probably the best defensive mind in the league. So far this year only Matt Lafleur has straight up out coached him. If we want an offensive mind that can match up against him it will have to come from the top because OCs that good don't remain OCs for long. Alternatively we can actually just try to build an elite offensive supporting cast around Allen, and that will trump coaching every time.