HappyDays

The thing that gets NFL teams excited about McCarthy is a lot of those passes came in high leverage situations. 3rd and long gotta have it moments, etc. There is a projection there for sure but 3rd down success rate is something NFL scouts and executives value much more than the general public, because that's what wins championships.

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No, Charlie Campbell consistently gets good info and as a result is usually one of the most accurate mock drafters every year.

A few nuggets from Charlie Campbell:

Correct. Samuel is the best outside WR we have which is more a testament to the state of the room than his own ability. I want us to add two WRs early that can play outside.

No I don't think Kincaid has that kind of physicality. He has excellent hip fluidity which allows for sharp cuts and immediate RAC. But I think he will always get pushed around a bit off the line. He'll mostly be in the slot though so his skill set won't be erased. For an outside WR it isn't that easy to make up for a lack of physicality.

We need a big physical WR out of this draft. Coleman, Legette, Polk. I'm sick of our WRs getting pushed around in the playoffs year after year. Shakir and Kincaid aren't that type of talent. It has to come from the draft.

Beane is the de facto front man of the organization and has done an excellent job in that role. For Pegula that almost certainly matters, maybe more than anything else. McDermott on the other hand was recently the subject of national embarrassment. I also suspect Allen is much closer with Beane on a personal level than he is with McDermott. So yes I think if McDermott eventually gets fired Beane will hire his replacement.

To win games sure, but to make it to (and win) the Super Bowl you almost certainly need at least one great option. As has been the case for every Super Bowl team going back at least a decade. Our best hope on that front is that Kincaid becomes a great pass catcher. Last year down the stretch he was a good pass catcher. If he becomes a high efficiency 100+ target pass catcher we can have a championship caliber offense. That or one of our rookie WRs hits the ground running which isn't inconceivable, other teams have gotten elite production out of rookies in recent years although it's rare.

Are you still of the opinion that you "don't care about total TDs" when evaluating QBs?

I don't know, every Super Bowl participant for the last like 10 years has had an elite pass catcher. Seems like a prerequisite. I don't think it's fair to expect a rookie WR to be elite right off the bat though so we'll have to try and make do. Drafting two WRs with physical traits high would maximize our chances.

Of all the realistic WR draft options I've seen, trading up for BTJ is my least favorite. I just don't think he's worth it. If we're trading up, go all in and do it for one of the top three. Don't half ass it for a player with real questions in his game. Trade back, stay put, or trade all the way up. I know I'm lower on BTJ than most. There is something about his game that just bothers me. Like he leans too much into the one thing that comes easy to him. He doesn't have the competitive alpha mindset that I want my WR1 to have. I also recognize that if I'm wrong about him I'm probably going to be hilariously wrong in a way that will make me want to never voice an opinion on a WR prospect again. I see the massive upside with his pure physical traits. I just am not confident the player will ever live up to those traits.

I heard he doesn't interview well and may have trouble picking up an NFL playbook.

Confirmed by Ryan Talbot:

ML Football isn't always the most reliable source, just throwing that out there. If true we've brought him and Benson in for a visit. Sounds like we will target a power RB on day three which I'm fine with.

That's reasonable, maybe they like him so much they just stick and take him. They already have DJ Moore and Keenan Allen so I think they'll decide the quantity of picks is more valuable than adding another WR.

They already have a #1 WR in DJ Moore. They have needs on both lines and at safety. I just can't see any GM feeling comfortable with 4 picks in an entire draft. I'll be surprised if they don't trade down with somebody.

I wouldn't call him safe. He's been banged up quite a bit over the past few years. https://www.cover1.net/nfl-draft-injury-impact-georgia-wr-ladd-mcconkey/ It makes you wonder, can he hold up to NFL punishment? And his ceiling is just very low IMO. If he stays healthy he probably has a high floor but I want more out of my 1st round pick. That being said I would still prefer McConkey over say Chop Robinson. I would just want us to also trade up for a more physically gifted WR in the 2nd if he is our first pick.

My appetite for trading up starts at #9. If Odunze is still there I'd pull the trigger. Next year's 1st, next year's 2nd (from Houston), maybe both of our 4ths this year. Chicago only has 4 picks in the entire draft, they are a prime trade up candidate.

Sure. I don't mean rebuild in a bad way. The Chiefs won two Super Bowls in a row during their rebuild. I just mean fill the pipeline with young talent and don't spend a lot of cap space on older players.