HappyDays

Here's my one and only Bills mock draft. I traded up with Minnesota twice to get higher quality players, under the logic that Minnesota needs more picks. In Revel I got a legitimate 1st round prospect that fills a need and has upside to become an elite player. In Kyle Williams I got the vertical WR this roster desperately needs. In Collins, Jackson, and Robinson I hopefully have rebuilt the DL. Tuten is a speedy RB that can get on the roster as a kick returner. Zy Alexander felt like too good of value to pass up that late in the draft and might knock Dane Jackson off the roster. Vinson is developmental OL depth, get him in an NFL weight building program and stash him on the PS.

Yeah WR is a big need but it has to be specifically a WR that can get vertical, otherwise it is redundant with what we already have on the roster. Unfortunately this draft doesn't have a lot of options for that type of WR. Williams is my favorite for that type of WR in this class. I'd be willing to trade into the late 3rd to make sure we get him.

You're right I don't. All we can go off of is consensus rankings and no one has him as a top 64 or even top 75 player. Maybe Williams will go much higher than projected. Tutu Atwell was seen as a 4th rounder and instead went #57. Like I said it only takes one team to fall in love with a player. But I don't see it as more likey just because Simms ranked him high.

I'm not hating on him. I like when draft analysts are willing to make bold takes that go against consensus. Simms may prove to be correct about Williams. I just don't think his ratings reflect how the NFL feels about these players.

Chris Simms had Dyami Brown as his #3 WR in 2021 and he ended up going a full round later than projected. I enjoy Simms' draft analysis even if it can be a bit predictable at certain positions, but I don't think his rankings actually influence how teams think about these players. I could definitely see Kyle Williams sneaking into round 3 partly because the WR draft class is so weak that teams will be willing to reach for one. I would love him with our early 4th or a trade up into the late 3rd. He fits the type of player we need but he isn't exactly a clean fit as a bona fide starter in the NFL. He could end up being like Marvin Mims who has been just a role player/specialist.

I don't think so. The mock draft database consensus big board has him at #107 so early 4th. It only takes one team to fall in love with him of course but teams are going to have questions about his size and the low level of competition he faced, and he's still somewhat unpolished as a route runner. He is my #1 day three target since I really like his fit for our roster but 2nd is too early.

I have the same idea but instead swap our pick 109 for their pick 94. That gets us our 3rd round pick back that we gave up for Amari Cooper and we'd still have our normal 4th round pick. The player we get at 33 would be the same caliber as whatever player we'd take at 30, and if Cleveland takes an OT we would hurt KC in the process.

It depends on what kind of character issues. Mike Green has had sexual assault allegations and rumors of more that haven't been revealed yet, so that's a player I'd have off my board. James Pearce has reportedly skipped practices without telling anyone which reminds me of Jermaine Burton so I would stay away from him as well. With Nolen the reported character concerns sound more vague. Nothing serious has been reported, just general concerns about his motivation and effort. I get that that isn't nothing, but we have a strong culture and locker room that affords us to take the risk IMO. No championship team is made up of exclusively boy scouts.

I changed my vote from Tuimoloau to Watts for one simple reason - Farmer is much more likely to still be there at 62. Even Beane I think would know this and make his decision accordingly, if these were the two players he was debating between. In general I think this area of the draft is way too high for Farmer. I know he is a bet on traits player but by pretty much any consensus ranking this would be a reach. I think fans are giving too much weight to the fact that the Bills have met with him a lot. We met with Troy Franklin a lot too and passed on him three times. We met with Justin Shorter a lot but we took him where he was projected on day three. The Bills publicly showing interest in a player doesn't mean they are going to reach for him. It may actually mean the opposite, that they have serious questions about the player and need to do more digging to round off the evaluation.

I take mock drafting to be an exercise in predicting where players will go. We're not building a big board, we're building a draft. Taking Amos over Nolen seems like a Beane move for a few reasons.

That's the curse of drafting late every year. With your 1st round pick you're selecting 2nd round prospects. With your 2nd round picks you're selecting 3rd round prospects. This exercise proves that Beane's job is hard and we can see why he often gets antsy fo trade up a few picks in the 1st round. And also I think the board made a mistake taking the safer player/cleaner roster projection (Amos) over the BPA who didn't necessarily fill an immediate need (Nolen). But that is a realistic mistake that even I voted for because I could see Beane making it. And we are seeing that that mistake has followed us all the way to our 2nd round picks and taken a possibly better option out of consideration. The exercise proves that Beane's job is hard but it also proves that taking BPA with every early pick is still the best avenue for success and the whole draft can fall apart if you don't stick to it religiously.

Honestly I can see some shades of Basham in Tuimoloau. Like I said it's not what I would do... But I feel pretty keyed in to how Beane operates.

Yeah I just think the regime feels like the safety room is complete, whether the fans agree or not. We always keep 4 safeties and Forrest, Bishop, Rapp, and Hamlin will likely be that group IMO. Maybe if Starks falls to 30 they'll take him and he'll replace Hamlin on the roster but beyond that I don't expect anything other than a late round depth addition. Beane always hunts for immediate needs in round 2.

Honestly the player that most sticks out to me on the board I'm using is Darien Porter... But we already took a CB in the 1st round so I understand leaving him out of consideration.

Not a big fan of this selection of players in general. Watts sticks out as BPA but I question if Beane will take a 2nd round safety in consecutive years. We've met with Farmer a few times but this feels too high for him. In the interest of predicting what I think Beane would do instead of going with my own preference, I voted Tuimoloau. He seems like our type of EDGE. Hand in the ground, prototypical size and length, high motor. Personally I don't get excited at all by his athletic profile so I think his ceiling is pretty limited. But it fills a need and the profile fits what we ask our EDGEs to do.

This is usually around the time I would create the NFL draft rumors thread. This year I'll just use this thread though. Here are a few that I consider relevant to the Bills from ESPN insiders: https://www.espn.com/nfl/draft2025/insider/story/_/id/44507247/2025-nfl-draft-latest-buzz-rumors-news-hunter-trades-mocks-sleepers

I hope this isn't Beane's mindset though. We aren't drafting a 1st round player for day one, it's for the next 5 years and hopefully beyond. Revel usually would be a top 20ish player that we have the opportunity to draft at 30 only because of the ACL. So that is a risk I'd be very willing to take, even knowing that he might not be able to start until the middle of the season. If it was like Benjamin Morrison's injury I'd be more concerned but recovery from ACLs for young players is pretty clean these days and there is low risk of re-injury. JMO

I wouldn't be too sure. EDGE and DT are arguably just as big of needs as CB. It's almost certainly going to be one of those 3 positions, not just because of need but because that's likely where the value is going to match up.

I've come around to really liking Harmon. Despite being projected as more of a 1T he has some pass rushing upside and in that regard I like him better than Grant. As far as trading up for him it would depend on how far. If you really like him you probably want to jump Detroit to be safe. Our later 4th should be enough to swap with Baltimore.

At least that regime kept it a secret. Beane last year publicly congratulated himself for attempting to trade up for Cole Bishop before landing him at our original pick. I mean c'mon man... He's been in the job too long to make rookie PR mistakes like that.

With the 49th pick, the Bengals select Princely Umanmielen, EDGE, Ole Miss. Seahawks @Logic are on the clock. This is our second pick in a row that feels like a no brainer. Despite Trey Hendrickson leading the NFL in sacks with 17.5 last year, as a team we ranked 24th at just 2.1 sacks per game. Hendrickson's future with the team is uncertain. Other than him we have Joseph Ossai who has developed into nothing more than a rotational depth level player. Umanmielen projects as a pass rush specialist in the NFL. He has a solid frame and great length, and natural speed and bend to get around the edge. And we aren't just betting on traits - he collected 10.5 sacks his final year at Ole Miss so the production matches the profile.

The only positions that would be crazy to draft in round 1 are QB, RB, and OL. Anything else should be on the table.

I would just keep both of them on the roster honestly. I don't worry too much about how it all fits together. Maybe if nothing else we end up with a really impactful 3rd down pass rush which would fix a big problem from last year. And since this coaching staff loves to rotate the DL no amount of investment is going to be too much.

Yeah because I do mock drafts based on what I expect, not what I want. Given the option between Amos and Nolen I would expect Beane to select Amos.