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Everything posted by HappyDays
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So like Kirby said it comes down to nitpicking the individual choices on the list. Personally I don't care about that stuff. I just used Aaron Rodgers as an example. The rest of my post is where I get frustrated. There is no excuse for elite QB play in the playoffs having such little relative success. If you want to blame Beane over McDermott or vice versa I don't care how you want to apportion the blame. I just know that the men in charge have not been close to good enough and I'm tired of wasting the best days of Allen's career hoping they figure it out.
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No words
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Mass shooters are cowards so they tend to choose targets where they will face no resistance. Parades have armed law enforcement officers posted everywhere so I'm not surprised that this is the first time. Given early reports of there being 2 shooters in custody I'm inclined to think this was not a run of the mill random mass shooting. We'll see.
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Rodgers performed as well as Allen has in the playoffs exactly once, and it was the year he won a Super Bowl with freaking Mike McCarthy. That is what generational playoff QB play should get you. Not a couple of divisional round exits. Many people in this discussion still underrate how good Allen has been in the playoffs. Most notably the 2021-2022 season playoffs and this year's. That sort of sustained elite play in the playoffs is incredibly rare. Rodgers has done it once in a 20 year career. Allen has done it twice in a 6 year career. Both times he has a divisional round exit to show for it. If that sort of elite QB play isn't enough to even get past the divisional round, everybody above him should 100% be fired. Because we aren't going to get better than that. And this is the part where someone will say "well the QB on the other side was Mahomes!!" But Mahomes himself didn't sustain that play in the playoffs except against the Bills. In 2022 he laid a clunker against the Bengals in the AFCCG. Last year he was good, not elite, in the AFCCG. This year he followed up his victory over us with two games where he led his offense to a combined 3 points in two of the four halfs. It is ONLY against the McDermott coached Bills where the Chiefs have managed to overcome an elite QB performance on the other side. Like imagine if Allen led our offense to 3 points or 0 points in any half of any playoff game that we played. Against any opponent it would be a loss. Against a good opponent it would be a blowout loss. Our coach can't even come close to beating a good playoff opponent unless Allen delivers an elite performance, and even then it isn't enough. And I'm really truly sick of it. So here's my unpopular opinion - Allen has been the best performing QB in the playoffs from the 2021 season to this year. McDermott has been the worst performing head coach in the playoffs over that same time frame. Mahomes has been marginally less elite than Allen in the playoffs over that time but Reid + Spagnuolo have been several tiers above McDermott and that's why we can't beat them
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This is a common flaw in the arguments of McDermott defenders. They'll say our roster is more to blame than McDermott's coaching, but then turn around and say "if Shanahan is better than McDermott why isn't he able to win a Super Bowl or beat Mahomes??" while shamelessly ignoring the difference between Garrappolo/Mullens/Purdy and Allen. Give Shanahan Allen and he'd already have at least one Super Bowl win. This is plainly obvious.
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Bills spent the second most in the nfl on defense
HappyDays replied to 78thealltimegreat's topic in The Stadium Wall
Found this interesting: We run a very similar defense to the Seattle scheme. Turns out it might just not work against great QBs. The end of the Super Bowl for the 49ers defense looked VERY familiar. -
I know this is an unpopular opinion but Shanahan wasn't to blame for the Super Bowl loss. Purdy was. An offense can't function consistently with a QB that has zero ability to make plays with any sort of mess in the pocket. It's a minor miracle that their offense worked as well as it did this season. Deebo Samuel also clearly wasn't close to healthy, so you take away the #1 WR combined with a limited QB going against a stellar defense, no one should be surprised by the result. His team also held the Chiefs to 3 points in the 1st half, and just 1 TD in regulation which only came off of a muffed punt. As far as coaching goes it doesn't get much better than that. I get the complaint about his unwillingness to run but the Chiefs were focusing on shutting the run down all night because they had no fear that Purdy's arm would take advantage of those favorable looks. It's silly to compare Shanahan's record against the Chiefs in the playoffs versus McDermott's. One of them has a QB capable of matching Mahomes' play in the playoffs, the other has a backup QB. At least Shanahan's team didn't get steamrolled the entire game. I mean this has got to be the only place on the internet where anybody places McDermott and Shanahan in the same conversation. So of course I would be enthralled if we somehow ended up with Kyle Shanahan. Hopefully the 49ers are dumb enough to make him the sacrificial lamb next year and then inevitably fall into purgatory when their QB problem doesn't magically solve itself. We could have our pick of the litter if McDermott fails again - Ben Johnson, Kyle Shanahan, Mike Vrabel. Who wants their chance with a top 2 QB and a good core of young talent?
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Bills spent the second most in the nfl on defense
HappyDays replied to 78thealltimegreat's topic in The Stadium Wall
Too late for that as far as 2024 is concerned. Hopefully 2025 they will have set themselves up to spend money on the offense. It will require a willingness from Beane to be especially frugal this offseason though. Cut White, re-sign none of our UFAs, maybe even cut Miller if the plan is to roll over his cap space. -
I agree. But it is hard to argue with his results. Some would say Andy Reid is not top 5 in terms of game management but his offensive scheme/play calling and ability to get the most out of his players more than makes up for it. Give Shanahan a real QB and he'll become the next version of Andy Reid IMO.
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Do you really think Purdy will earn top 5 money? Surely GMs can see plainly that he is too limited to ever be more than a bridge or backup QBs. His limitations were on display last night. I don't believe they'll be fooled by his stats.
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Its Pretty Obvious why the Chiefs win every year
HappyDays replied to gonzo1105's topic in The Stadium Wall
I am sure he thought Klein gave him the best chance to not lose. He was wrong. It was a cowardly personnel decision that sunk the defense. I've never had an issue with McDermott's 4th down decision making. Overall I think it is one of his strengths as a coach. He's aggressive when it makes sense and conservative when it makes sense. But that doesn't absolve him of the various personnel mistakes he made in his defensive game plan. I mean how many more times does his defense have to be abused by good offenses in the playoffs before we accept that he just isn't a good enough defensive coach? He regularly allows offenses to have one of their best offensive performances of the year in the playoffs. It's a trend, not a one-year blip. -
He's taken two limited backup QBs to a Super Bowl and would have won last night's if not for inexplicable player mistakes on special teams. He is easily the 2nd best head coach in the NFL.
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Its Pretty Obvious why the Chiefs win every year
HappyDays replied to gonzo1105's topic in The Stadium Wall
Our defensive gameplan was abysmal until it was too late. And this isn't hindsight. I said before the game put Neal on Kelce, and give Williams the nod over Klein unless he looks like a disaster out there. This finally happened on the one drive we forced a punt. I have no idea what McDermott was thinking before that. Eventually our defense simply has to show up against a good opponent in the playoffs. No team is winning shootouts all the way to a Super Bowl victory. -
Its Pretty Obvious why the Chiefs win every year
HappyDays replied to gonzo1105's topic in The Stadium Wall
Of course. Klein clearly could not play the position but McDermott went with the known option. He was afraid the rookie would be too inexperienced. By coaching not to lose, he lost. That's what happens. Perhaps Williams would have been a disaster, although late in the game when he was finally on the field he made a couple plays that forced the Chiefs to punt for the first time. But putting Klein on the field gave us a 0% chance to make defensive stops. Williams gave us a chance. -
Chiefs are just better than the Bills
HappyDays replied to Ethan in Cleveland's topic in The Stadium Wall
Not even close to be honest. Chris Jones L'Jarius Sneed Travis Kelce Creed Humphrey Joe Thuney All of these players are considered to be among the very best at their positions. We have nobody in that discussion outside of Allen. Milano when he's healthy would be one. That still leaves us lagging behind quite a bit though. Andy Reid and Steve Spagnuolo are also arguably the very best at their respective coaching positions. The Bills don't have a coach in that conversation either. We are way off from them. Allen is the only reason we have a chance. -
Its Pretty Obvious why the Chiefs win every year
HappyDays replied to gonzo1105's topic in The Stadium Wall
Putting AJ Klein on the field over Dorian Williams. Unfortunately that decision sunk our chances of winning the game. McDermott chose the safe comfortable option and we proceeded to get whipped up and down the field because of it. Because Allen has outplayed Mahomes in every head to head matchup since 2021. The QB is important enough to overcome every other disadvantage. If Mahomes had outplayed Allen one of those times it would have been a blowout loss. -
Right so now you've gone and changed your answer to make your argument better. Because originally I gave you the option of ranking your choices and you put one option above Allen for Mahomes. Now I'm giving you the option of making all available switches and you're saying you'd take Allen for Mahomes over that option. Which if you evaluate that logic for half a second, you'll recognize the problem.
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I just don't agree that Mahomes throwing to our group of weapons against the KC defense would be able to score 3 consecutive TD drives. That's what Allen had to do to keep us in the game. Mahomes couldn't do that against the 49ers defense with his full (and better) offensive supporting cast available. His play from yesterday's first 3 quarters would have had us blown out by KC. If you don't agree with that we'll just agree to disagree I guess.
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This is the crux of my frustration, and I'm guessing the same is true of many other Bills fans. Allen is the only QB in the league that regularly matches Mahomes' intensity in the playoffs. They both have an uncanny ability to turn it on in sudden death games. The only reason that Mahomes has been rewarded more than Allen for raising his play in the playoffs is that he has had the luxury of other players and coaches also raising their play in the playoffs. Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, Chris Jones, L'Jarius Sneed. He's always had at least 2 players on his team that have went above and beyond in the playoffs. Ditto for his coaches. When has Allen had that luxury? Never. The first time he does I believe we will win a Super Bowl. But the current coaching staff and front office have not shown that they are capable of giving him that luxury so I remain pessimistic.
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I was leading up to a point. I'm not going to debate your choices. So now imagine you had the option of switching all of those players except for Allen for Mahomes, or just switching Allen for Mahomes. Clearly you would take switching all of those players, yes? Which means you've already accepted that Allen vs Mahomes was not the driving force of that result, that the surrounding context was. So you already agree with me.
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You don't see evidence that Mahomes would lead his team to a game-tying FG sending the game into OT? Perhaps while in fact missing a read that would have been a game winning TD in regulation? As evidence I submit the exact scenario that happened about two hours ago.
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Here's another one for you. Let me know if you disagree with any of these statements. In that divisional round, the following groups performed better for the listed team: RB - Wash WR - Chiefs TE - Chiefs OL - Chiefs (slight lean, if you want to call it a wash I won't argue) DL - Chiefs LB - Chiefs Secondary - Chiefs Special teams - Chiefs Coaching - Chiefs Are we on the same page here? I'll assume we are with maybe one or two groups switching to a wash. So help me out here - Assume you're correct that the Chiefs QB also outplayed the Bills QB. How is it that a team where just about every possible factor was better than their opponent, and their opponent had no such advantages, only won by 3 points? That seems impossible. Unless of course their opponent did have an advantage somewhere, perhaps at the most important position on the team? Lol of course that isn't a homer opinion. That is a plain fact.
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I don't believe Mahomes would have scored enough times to have us in that position to begin with. Allen playing at his very best is better than Mahomes. For like 3.5 quarters Allen was at his very best in that game, and that's the only reason we even had a chance at the end. The kind of adversity Mahomes faced tonight in the 1st 3 quarters, that's what Allen was up against in the divisional round. Unlike Mahomes he kept finding a way to will his offense down the field and put points on the board. So no if anything I think switching Allen for Mahomes in that game leads to a worse outcome for us.
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Here's a question and I'm genuinely curious to hear your answer. In our playoff game against the Chiefs from this year, pretend you have the option of making one of these trades: Allen for Mahomes Kincaid for Kelce Oliver for Jones Klein for Bolton In order from most impactful to least impactful how would you rank them? Here's mine: 1) Kincaid for Kelce 2) Oliver for Jones 3) Klein for Bolton 4) Allen for Mahomes Personally I believe if you switched either of the first 2 we would have won. I'm inclined to say the same about #3 but not quite as sure. #4 I 100% believe makes no difference if everything else remains the same.
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Any time he doesn't have a perfectly clean pocket the ball either falls short of its destination or sails way over the receiver's head. Only one time in this game where I can remember him making a sort of off platform throw that was completed. You just can't win in the modern NFL without that ability and with a below average arm. And the 49ers OL is below average from the LG down so the Chiefs got Purdy off his spot more than a dozen times. Every time they did, they won the play. Tough to run an offense under those conditions, although I agree Shanahan should have leaned on McCaffrey more.