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Everything posted by HappyDays
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No, there was definitely a big rift there. I can confirm this. @GunnerBill can confirm this. @nbbillsfan can confirm this. Tim Graham has alluded to it. It is a fact that they had a falling out and Allen eventually just stopped putting up with Diggs' BS. If Allen and Diggs were still close, this trade never goes down.
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Updates from Matt Parrino:
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Xavier Worthy injured during 1st practice as a Chief
HappyDays replied to transplantbillsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall
All this financial advice and not one poster on here has a TikTok showing off their spread of $1 bills. Like I'm gonna trust any of you without video proof. -
It isn't very mysterious. I wanted Troy Franklin. Okay, I don't agree with this at all. If your belief is that a backup 3T is more important than a #2 outside WR then that's your belief. Personally I would have preferred Troy Franklin even over Cole Bishop in the 2nd round, even knowing now that he was available an entire round later. But hey as I've said many many times I'm no scout. I was never married to the idea of two specific WRs. I just strategically knew that taking two in this draft was the right decision for the short and long term. I suspect that by mid-season this will be clear to everybody. I know this because we went through the same exact song and dance last year. I think we benefit from taking targets away from MVS and Hollins because that means MVS and Hollins are getting less targets.
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Diggs said point blank in an interview this year "where there's smoke there's fire" when asked directly about trade rumors. People on here said that meant nothing. So it got to a point where people were abandoning all sense of media literacy and just blatantly sticking their heads in the sand. I don't think there were over the top takes. I think Diggs is an over the top personality. All the drama over his media appearances and social media posts was entirely warranted. Clearly the team agreed. Beane didn't trade him for purely practical reasons. They flat out wanted his character out of the building. There's no reason to try and retroactively say "well, Diggs still wasn't as bad people said." He really was that bad. If you don't believe me, look at the Bills accounting sheet. You'll find 31 million pieces of hard evidence.
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I expected this year to be somewhat of a rebuild year, especially after Diggs was traded. I never thought Beane would go all in trying to find a top tier #1 WR. I'm just disappointed he only addressed the position once in the draft. In a rebuild year I figured it made a ton of sense to get two young WRs on the field with Allen and let them develop their chemistry. Not to mention double our chances of hitting the jackpot on one of them. Even if the team took a step back, at least we would enter 2025 with a lot of excitement. Taking just one WR in the draft really just didn't make any sense to me for the short or long term future of the offense. Hopefully Beane is willing to make a trade close to the deadline, I just can't understand why he put himself in that position to begin with.
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To be fair though, it turned out those narratives weren't false. He really was a problem child causing issues behind the scenes, and all the crap he did on Twitter and on the media circuit were in fact hints (not exactly subtle ones at that) that those issues were there. A large portion of the fanbase hand waved away all of those signs, and in many cases even mocked those who said there could be a potential separation coming.
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You can't even get to the Super Bowl these days without an elite pass catcher. We keep going round and round on this but the data is the data. Look at the recent history of Super Bowl participants going back at least five seasons. They all had a top tier pass catcher, and their #2 pass catcher was pretty damn good too at the very least. That is the formula. Like I've said elsewhere it is possible the Bills end up having that formula this year. Kincaid could take a big step and become an elite pass catcher. Coleman could end up hitting his potential sooner than expected. Maybe Shakir proves me wrong and can take on a much larger target share without a big drop off in his efficiency. Or the giant dark horse would be Claypool suddenly turning his career around and living up to his elite physical potential. We need two of those outcomes to happen. So yes I recognize that the Super Bowl formula remains a possibility for this group of pass catchers, but I also recognize that that formula is in fact pretty much mandatory these days. If you want to say that you're optimistic the current group of pass catchers will produce an elite player and a very good #2, cool I can respect that. It's part of being a fan. If you want to say having top tier pass catching talent is optional, I'm sorry but that statement is flat out wrong.
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This is getting dangerously close to outright saying "having a talented passing offense is bad." It's not a dichotomy. You can win and also have elite pass catching talent - you know this, right? You keep pointing to 2020 as a "luxury year." There was a pretty stark difference in how the 2020 offense was built. You can try to talk around that difference but it's clear as day.
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That's two players at training camp that have never played the sport before. Pretty weird but alright. In fact I'd bet anything he's coming to camp because he's a gold medal winner and McDermott thinks the team can learn something from that.
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McDermott trolling the media
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I think that people draw the line at very weird places. Beer and liquor commercials are commonplace, and alcohol is by far the worst social affliction this country has ever seen. Athletes can endorse fast food restaurants that contribute to the obesity epidemic. But legal gambling is the thing that makes us uncomfortable.
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But offenses aren't measured player for player. The #1 player on the offense is magnitudes more important than the #11 player. The #1 non-Josh Allen player in 2020 was Diggs, full stop. He was an elite true #1 WR, inarguably top 5 in the league. The #1 player the last half of last year was... I really am not 100% sure? I guess it was Shakir? That's a loooooooong drop off from a guy that was a top 5 player at his position. This is the old debate about top end talent versus depth. You could argue the depth of the 2023 offense was better than the depth of the 2020 offense. For the record I don't think even that is clearly true but sure you could argue it. It is undeniable however that the top end talent of 2020 was drastically better than the top end talent of 2023. Which means the offensive talent as a whole was better no matter how you want to stack the depth players. I think Allen has just become a good bit better since 2020. He was flat out a better QB in his next two playoff games against the Chiefs. That AFCCG offensive performance was absolutely not a matter of offensive skill talent. It was a combination of Allen being a bit unwilling to take underneath throws and our top three WRs entering the game injured.
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It was the defense... There was a period from the London game to the Denver game where the defense was the WORST defense in the league by DVOA. Dorsey got fired and then the defense happened to turn into a top 5ish unit again. That, not Brady taking over, was by far the biggest reason we went from nearly missing the playoffs to going on a big winning streak to steal the division. Excluding the first game where Allen melted down, the passing offense was very consistent throughout the year. It had single-game peaks and valleys but on the whole it never got markedly better or worse over the course of the season. The one thing I really thought Brady did better than Dorsey was he took out some of the offense's worst tendencies. We took some of Davis' targets and moved them to Shakir, and Kincaid became the clear primary TE over Knox who became an afterthought. Moving targets from low efficiency players to high efficiency players was smart offensive coaching but it didn't flip the passing offense on its head or anything. It just made it a bit less mistake prone.
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What to do with the post June $10 M that will be available
HappyDays replied to Magox's topic in The Stadium Wall
The other perspective is that it's malpractice to elevate Shakir above the low-target role that his skill set probably deserves. Malpractice not just for the offense but for Shakir himself by laying bigger expectations on him than he can likely deliver. In fact that is verbatim what happened with Gabe Davis. If he had remained the WR4 for his entire stint here I bet he would have gotten $18M per year this offseason. Some team would see what he did in that role and convince themselves he would explode in a more featured role, as most fans and analysts predicted after his divisional round performance. Instead we elevated his role which laid his faults out bare for everyone to see, and as a result he ended up getting Darnell Mooney money instead of Christian Kirk money. Giving players the right amount of opportunity for their skill set is best for everybody involved. -
Shakir is better after the catch but Beasley was much better before the catch. That's why I think he might just be better as an inherently low target player... He's no more than average as a separator and I appreciate that he has sure hands but he's not going to be a contested catch specialist with that body type. His is a very valuable skill set but it's complementary, not focal, IMO. So as to how I would like to see Shakir used - I want him ideally to get 4-5 targets per game. Primarily schemed throws from free releases that give him the ball in space. He plays like a greased up pig with the ball in his hands, his YAC is very deceptive and I really appreciate that about his game. For similar reasons he makes an excellent check down/outlet. If the plan is to use him more than 33% outside I think that plan will fail. Stick him where his skill set can shine and don't mess with a good thing.