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Everything posted by HappyDays
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Lol the Texans just had 3 false starts in a row
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Bills vs Jags Game Week Thread - MNF
HappyDays replied to Royale with Cheese's topic in The Stadium Wall
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Hurts with another turnover, this time a fumble. The Eagles offense is lost without AJ Brown
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Anthony Richardson isn't it. I think he'll be on the bench before too long. Coaching staff can't stay tied to a sinking ship.
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Will Levis is garbage.
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The Chiefs have been investing a lot of resources to try and find a #1 WR though, and they seem to have found one in Rashee Rice. Over his last 8 games he's averaging 87 YPG which would be 1,479 yards over a 17 game season. Those are Stefon Diggs in his prime numbers. Using Khalil Shakir as a point of reference, even if I'm charitable and remove last year's Dallas game from the equation he is averaging 57 YPG over his last 8 games, which is 969 yards over a 17 game season. It is a total myth that the Chiefs traded Tyreek Hill because they decided having a top WR is a waste of resources. They traded him for one simple reason - money. Their ownership has been subtly running a cheap operation over there, nothing like Pegula who has been writing blank checks that allow Beane to structure contracts in a way that kick the cap implications down the line. Under Chiefs ownership they had no means of keeping Tyreek Hill for the money he wanted. But the organization immediately started throwing ample draft picks at the position to try and find his replacement and those investments have finally paid off.
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It comes with the territory of greatness. I would bet in his own head Tom Brady was harsher on himself than anyone else. Even Josh Allen has said in interviews that he has a lot of negative self-talk. Great people aren't really chasing greatness, they're running away from failure. It should probably be classified as a mental illness. Whiplash is a great movie about this phenomenon, I recommend it to everyone I talk to. You don't become great without feeling totally miserable about yourself somewhere along the way, or maybe at all times.
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Nah man he's the greatest to ever do it. I have no shame in admitting it. He's better than Allen, Mahomes, or anyone else. He just never made any mistakes and always threw the ball to the right place. The GOAT in terms of pocket presence, reading the defense, and accuracy. Underrated arm strength too. And somehow he was playing the best football of his career in his mid-30s after tweaking his mechanics. If this post nets me a ban I accept my punishment.
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His command of the offense was very impressive, definitely a bit concerning. And he hasn't even gotten his chemistry down with Garrett Wilson yet. Their connection was off a few times last night, once they get that going their offense could be legitimately scary. I will say Sauce Gardner doesn't look as impressive as he did last year to me, their run defense is susceptible, and I think their coaching staff is bad. Still they will be a tough out if Rodgers stays healthy.
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The Pats offense is as bad as what Allen had around him as a rookie. They might as well keep Maye on ice this year. Nothing to gain from putting him behind this group of turnstiles.
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Nothing pedestrian about the way he's running this offense tonight IMO.
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Not just scheme but Brady has done a great job of asking his players to do what they do well. It's cut down on the mistakes by a lot and the whole offense looks a lot less janky than it did in Dorsey's final few games. One thing from the Dolphins game that I just can't shake though is the first drive coming out of halftime. That was the offense's chance to put the game away. Instead they punted after converting just one 1st down. The key play was 2nd and 7. Dolphins are showing a loaded box and the game situation is practically begging for play action. I think it was the easiest call of the night. Instead we handed off to Cook for 0 yards and two plays later we're giving the ball back to Miami. I was incredibly nervous at that point, knowing that the Dolphins were one TD drive away from pulling us back into a tough game. That whole sequence gets washed away because of Tua's idiotic pick six on that next drive, but it really bothered me and in the immediate aftermath of the game I was harsher on Brady than I should have been because that sequence was fresh in my mind. I know, I know, all coaches have a bad series of play calls from time to time, I just hated how we threw away a chance to shut the door on the Dolphins comeback. Can't have that against better opponents. It's also the second game in a row where I thought we missed good opportunities to mix in some play action after the defense adjusted to stop the run. Hopefully Brady mixes it in more as the season progresses because Allen is absolutely lethal on those plays. TL;DR I'm impressed with Brady's handling of his personnel, I'm less impressed with his situational play calling so far.
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Week 3, Jagoffs v. Bills, PREDICT THE SCORE!
HappyDays replied to Freddie's Dead's topic in The Stadium Wall
Bills 28 Jags 20 The Jags just don't have a lot of top tier talent right now. Josh Hines-Allen is really the only player of theirs that you can say is in a class of his own. Arik Armstead has approached that level in the past but not so far this year. Their best DB Tyson Campbell is on IR. Trevor Lawrence is a great technical passer but not a great football player. I think they are better than their 0-2 record would indicate but they just don't have a lot that scares me. We have the better coaching staff and the much better QB. The key on defense is to stop Brian Thomas Jr from getting his 1-2 explosive vertical catches per game, because other than that specific play their offense has been a slog. On offense Brady needs to have his man beaters dialed up (unlike Dorsey in the London game last year who somehow couldn't figure out this basic concept) and I think Josh will have to use his legs some to move the chains. -
Huh? This hasn't been a problem at all this year.
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I think it's more on Brandon Beane than Joe Brady. We don't have the vertical receiving talent to take advantage of his arm, unfortunately. The volume rushing/high percentage pass play offense that we've been seeing is exactly what I expected given the personnel. Admittedly it has been more efficient and productive than I expected though.
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Bills vs Jags Game Week Thread - MNF
HappyDays replied to Royale with Cheese's topic in The Stadium Wall
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Bills vs Jags Game Week Thread - MNF
HappyDays replied to Royale with Cheese's topic in The Stadium Wall
Likely going to be a good test for our WRs this week. But Josh can also run against man coverage so maybe he'll frustrate them enough to pull them out of it. -
Christian Benford appreciation thread
HappyDays replied to No_Matter_What's topic in The Stadium Wall
Yeah he is having an elite start to the season. Almost unbelievably good. In the 2nd tweet, look at Ja'Marcus Ingram just behind him. Say what you will about Sean McDermott, he is the best DB coach in the league. -
It was gameplan specific too I'm sure. Bills fans severely underrate Jalen Ramsey, probably because Allen has had some of his best performances while facing Ramsey in coverage, but make no mistake he is a very good to elite CB. The Bills wanted no part of the Coleman vs Ramsey matchup, not when the Dolphins defense has plenty of other vulnerabilities to exploit. I think at this point Coleman's ideal usage is a couple of targets on schemed free releases per game, and throw in an occasional contested opportunity in 1v1 coverage when he's facing an average or worse CB. There's no need to force targets to him. If defenses start clogging the middle of the field then we can adjust and see if he's ready to take on a bigger role.
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Bills posting "insane" offensive efficiency metrics thru 2 weeks
HappyDays replied to Big Turk's topic in The Stadium Wall
I feel like I'm too biased to have an intelligent conversation about this, seriously. It's one of the few discussions where I have to admit that I'm too close to the situation to analyze it properly. There are times where I allow myself to consider what you posted. What I've ultimately come to in my mind is that whatever difference exists between Allen and Mahomes is negligible, and certainly not the primary reason for the Chiefs success versus the Bills success since 2020. -
Bills posting "insane" offensive efficiency metrics thru 2 weeks
HappyDays replied to Big Turk's topic in The Stadium Wall
You know Alpha I don't inherently have a problem with a run heavy offense. I have never been one to say that when Josh Allen is your QB it means you have to always pass 35 times a game. I've seen people say Allen needs to throw the ball early and often to get in a rhythm and that a run heavy game plan would lead to him making more mistakes. Instead so far this season we've seen the run game help keep the offense on schedule which keeps Allen under control playing boring football until the situation calls for Superman and he dons his cape for a play or two. That formula does require mostly mistake free football across the board but so far the supporting cast has delivered. I am not a believer in pass first or run first philosophy, I'm a believer in coming into every game with a specific plan to beat that week's opponent and executing that plan. Week 1 the Cardinals have terrible run defense and bad outside CBs so that's where we attacked. Week 2 the Dolphins are soft up front and over the middle, and strong in coverage on the boundary, so we gameplanned accordingly. This has been my favorite aspect of Brady's coaching so far - he doesn't stubbornly insist on trying to follow the same game script every week, he has shown a willingness to do the simple thing and attack his opponents at their weakest points. Some weeks that means Allen will only throw the ball 20 times and I have zero issues with that. I like that so far we are asking Allen to pull a rabbit out of a hat 2-3 times a game instead of 10 times a game. At this point it's about sample size and sustainability. You can't argue with the efficiency. There are just certain game situations the offense hasn't been exposed to yet and we'll need to see how they respond when those situations inevitably come up. -
I know the point here is to show the similar ranking, but the raw numbers themselves are pretty remarkable. If I'm reading those charts correct, after averaging 0.20 EPA per play last year Allen is now averaging 0.51 EPA per play through two games. So his efficiency has gone up 2.5x. That isn't going to be sustainable over 17 games considering the leader last year didn't even eclipse 0.35 but it is notable. The eye test says Allen is playing even more efficient ball this year and the stats back it up.